The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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SV Meppen v FC Würzburger Kickers

Kickoff: 2026-10-24 12:00 UTC

Final: SV Meppen 4–0 FC Würzburger Kickers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

43 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

SV Meppen (Local)

Prediction 53.46%1.87fair odd
EV -1.63%
Edge -0.883%
Kelly -1.94%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.84

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.79%53.61%53.57%55.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.741.721.8460.61%57.53%58.14%54.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Würzburger Kickers (Visit)

Prediction 23.54%4.25fair odd
EV +2.17%
Edge +0.501%
Kelly +0.651%
Growth +0.014%

assuming max odds 4.34

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.87%23.40%23.51%26.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.763.804.3430.30%26.63%26.32%23.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.99%4.35fair odd
EV -2.05%
Edge -0.481%
Kelly -0.629%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.13%22.99%22.92%24.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.823.754.2629.41%26.20%26.67%23.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SV Meppen (Local): 53.46%; FC Würzburger Kickers (Visit): 23.54%; Draw: 22.99%. For FC Würzburger Kickers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.25. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.34, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.17%.

Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -9.11%E -5.36%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 21.87%EV +2.17%E +0.501%K +0.651%G +0.014%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.28%EV -2.05%E -0.481%K -0.629%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-24 11:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -6.44%E -3.68%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -3.48%E -0.848%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-24 11:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -9.11%E -5.36%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -3.48%E -0.848%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -3.43%E -0.816%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-24 11:53
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.37%E -3.03%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-24 11:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.51%E -4.34%K -10.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-24 11:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.34%EV -5.90%E -3.35%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -7.01%E -1.77%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-24 11:55
NordicBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -9.11%E -5.36%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -7.01%E -1.77%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -9.18%E -2.32%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-24 11:45
Betsson🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -9.11%E -5.36%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -7.01%E -1.77%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -9.18%E -2.32%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-24 11:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.04%EV -8.04%E -4.68%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -3.43%E -0.816%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-24 11:45
Codere (IT)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.59%EV -8.58%E -5.02%K -12.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-24 11:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -10.71%E -6.42%K -15.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -12.63%E -3.32%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-24 11:53
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.85%EV -6.44%E -3.68%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -9.36%E -2.43%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-24 11:45
Bovada🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.10%EV -9.11%E -5.36%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -9.36%E -2.43%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -11.48%E -2.98%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-24 11:44
1xBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.55%EV -8.04%E -4.68%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 23.54%EV -9.60%E -2.50%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 23.91%EV -13.09%E -3.46%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-24 11:45
Betway🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -7.51%E -4.34%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -10.54%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-24 11:55
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 53.56%EV -9.65%E -5.71%K -13.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.82%EV -10.54%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-24 11:45
LeoVegas🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.10%EV -9.11%E -5.36%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -10.54%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.15%EV -10.33%E -2.65%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-24 11:55
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.18%EV -7.51%E -4.34%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -10.54%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -13.78%E -3.67%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-24 11:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.18%EV -7.51%E -4.34%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -10.54%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -13.78%E -3.67%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-24 11:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.18%EV -7.51%E -4.34%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -10.54%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -13.78%E -3.67%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-24 11:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -9.11%E -5.36%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.54%EV -10.54%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -13.78%E -3.67%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-24 11:45
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -9.11%E -5.36%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.54%EV -10.54%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -13.78%E -3.67%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-24 11:45
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -9.11%E -5.36%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.54%EV -10.54%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -13.78%E -3.67%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-24 11:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -9.11%E -5.36%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.54%EV -10.54%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -13.78%E -3.67%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-24 11:45
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.22%EV -10.71%E -6.42%K -15.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -10.54%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -12.63%E -3.32%K -4.51%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-24 11:45
SportsBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.21%EV -11.25%E -6.78%K -17.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.24%EV -10.54%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.55%EV -13.78%E -3.67%K -5.01%G +0.000%13.2%2026-10-24 11:53
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.48%EV -8.04%E -4.68%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -11.72%E -3.12%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -11.48%E -2.98%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-24 11:55
betfred_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.45%EV -9.11%E -5.36%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -11.72%E -3.12%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -13.78%E -3.67%K -5.01%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-24 11:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.79%EV -1.63%E -0.883%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -15.25%E -4.24%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -14.93%E -4.03%K -5.53%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-24 11:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.79%EV -1.63%E -0.883%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -15.25%E -4.24%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -14.93%E -4.03%K -5.53%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-24 11:45
Unibet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.79%EV -1.63%E -0.883%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -15.25%E -4.24%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -14.93%E -4.03%K -5.53%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-24 11:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.93%EV -2.16%E -1.18%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -15.25%E -4.24%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.69%EV -14.93%E -4.03%K -5.53%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-24 11:45
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.93%EV -2.16%E -1.18%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -15.25%E -4.24%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.69%EV -14.93%E -4.03%K -5.53%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-24 11:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.93%EV -2.16%E -1.18%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -15.25%E -4.24%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.69%EV -14.93%E -4.03%K -5.53%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-24 11:31
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.93%EV -2.16%E -1.18%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -15.25%E -4.24%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.69%EV -14.93%E -4.03%K -5.53%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-24 11:45
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.93%EV -2.16%E -1.18%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -15.25%E -4.24%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.69%EV -14.93%E -4.03%K -5.53%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-24 11:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.93%EV -2.16%E -1.18%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -15.25%E -4.24%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.69%EV -14.93%E -4.03%K -5.53%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-24 11:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.93%EV -2.16%E -1.18%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -15.25%E -4.24%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.69%EV -14.93%E -4.03%K -5.53%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-24 11:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 49.88%EV -5.37%E -3.03%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.59%EV -18.78%E -5.44%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.53%EV -17.22%E -4.78%K -6.62%G +0.000%13.3%2026-10-24 11:31
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 51.64%EV -10.71%E -6.42%K -15.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.36%EV -19.96%E -5.87%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.00%EV -13.78%E -3.67%K -5.01%G +0.000%16.0%2026-10-24 11:52
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 49.88%EV -7.51%E -4.34%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.15%EV -22.31%E -6.76%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.97%EV -17.22%E -4.78%K -6.62%G +0.000%15.9%2026-10-24 11:45
betano_uk🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 50.37%EV -11.78%E -7.14%K -18.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.19%EV -22.31%E -6.76%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.44%EV -21.82%E -6.42%K -9.09%G +0.000%20.3%2026-10-24 11:50
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 50.37%EV -11.78%E -7.14%K -18.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.19%EV -22.31%E -6.76%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.44%EV -21.82%E -6.42%K -9.09%G +0.000%20.3%2026-10-24 11:51
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.29%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.85%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.85%1.8%2026-10-24 11:53
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.29%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.85%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.85%1.8%2026-10-24 11:53
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.29%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.85%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.85%1.8%2026-10-24 11:53