L’École des cotesFrançais
SSV Ulm 1846 v SC Verl
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
SSV Ulm 1846 (Local)
Prévision 25.38%3.94cote équitable
EV +4.06%
Avantage +0.991%
Kelly +1.31%
Croissance +0.053%
avec la cote maximale 4.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.41%25.35%25.40%26.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.703.604.1031.25%27.00%27.78%24.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
SC Verl (Visiteur)
Prévision 51.58%1.94cote équitable
EV -5.61%
Avantage -3.07%
Kelly -6.76%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.83
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.87%51.66%51.43%54.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.621.731.731.8361.73%57.65%57.80%54.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 23.04%4.34cote équitable
EV -3.23%
Avantage -0.770%
Kelly -1.01%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.06%22.99%23.16%25.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.903.904.2030.77%25.67%25.64%23.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (40 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV +4.06%E +0.991%K +1.31%G +0.053% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.04%EV -12.32%E -7.25%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -10.14%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-05 11:00 |
| Unibet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV +1.53%E +0.382%K +0.509%G +0.008% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.03%EV -13.35%E -7.95%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -10.14%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-05 11:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV +1.53%E +0.382%K +0.509%G +0.008% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.03%EV -13.35%E -7.95%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -10.14%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-05 10:59 |
| Grosvenor | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV +1.53%E +0.382%K +0.509%G +0.008% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.03%EV -13.35%E -7.95%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -10.14%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-05 11:00 |
| TABtouch | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV +1.53%E +0.382%K +0.509%G +0.008% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.03%EV -13.35%E -7.95%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -10.14%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-05 10:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV +1.53%E +0.382%K +0.509%G +0.008% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.03%EV -13.35%E -7.95%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -10.14%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-05 11:00 |
| Casumo | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV +1.53%E +0.382%K +0.509%G +0.008% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.03%EV -13.35%E -7.95%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -10.14%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-05 10:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV +1.53%E +0.382%K +0.509%G +0.008% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.03%EV -13.35%E -7.95%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -10.14%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-05 11:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV +1.53%E +0.382%K +0.509%G +0.008% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.03%EV -13.35%E -7.95%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -10.14%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-05 10:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV +1.53%E +0.382%K +0.509%G +0.008% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.03%EV -13.35%E -7.95%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -10.14%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-05 11:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV +1.53%E +0.382%K +0.509%G +0.008% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.03%EV -13.35%E -7.95%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -10.14%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-05 11:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV +1.53%E +0.382%K +0.509%G +0.008% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.03%EV -13.35%E -7.95%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -10.14%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-05 11:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -1.01%E -0.259%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -9.74%E -5.56%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -5.54%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-05 10:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.87%EV -2.28%E -0.592%K -0.800%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.33%EV -5.61%E -3.07%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.80%EV -3.23%E -0.770%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-05 11:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.87%EV -2.28%E -0.592%K -0.800%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.33%EV -5.61%E -3.07%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.80%EV -3.23%E -0.770%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-05 11:04 |
| Pinnacle | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.24%EV -4.31%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.00%EV -5.61%E -3.07%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 4.18I 23.92%NM 22.76%EV -3.69%E -0.884%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-05 11:15 |
| Coolbet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -4.82%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.09%EV -8.19%E -4.60%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -7.84%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-05 09:10 |
| theScore Bet | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.54%EV -6.09%E -1.65%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.18%EV -10.25%E -5.89%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -10.14%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-05 09:09 |
| Paddy Power | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -6.09%E -1.65%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.01%EV -10.77%E -6.22%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -12.45%E -3.28%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-05 09:09 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -8.63%E -2.40%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.01%EV -6.13%E -3.37%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -7.84%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-05 09:24 |
| Betsson | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -8.63%E -2.40%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.86%EV -6.13%E -3.37%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.43%EV -8.99%E -2.28%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-05 09:29 |
| NordicBet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -8.63%E -2.40%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.86%EV -6.13%E -3.37%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.43%EV -8.99%E -2.28%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-05 09:25 |
| SportsBet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.22%EV -8.63%E -2.40%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 52.53%EV -14.38%E -8.66%K -21.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.25%EV -13.60%E -3.63%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-04-05 09:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -9.90%E -2.79%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.39%EV -7.16%E -3.98%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.56%EV -5.54%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-05 09:24 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -9.90%E -2.79%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -7.16%E -3.98%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -8.99%E -2.28%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-05 09:29 |
| PlayUp | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -9.90%E -2.79%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.06%EV -8.71%E -4.92%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.48%EV -11.30%E -2.93%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-05 09:39 |
| Suprabets | 3.53I 28.33%NM 25.72%EV -10.40%E -2.95%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.29%EV -8.71%E -4.92%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.99%EV -8.99%E -2.28%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-05 11:02 |
| Betway | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -11.16%E -3.19%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -7.16%E -3.98%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -3.23%E -0.770%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-05 11:00 |
| Fanatics | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -11.16%E -3.19%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -7.16%E -3.98%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -5.54%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-05 10:19 |
| Coral | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.51%EV -11.16%E -3.19%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.60%EV -10.77%E -6.22%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.89%EV -10.14%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-05 08:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.51%EV -11.16%E -3.19%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.60%EV -10.77%E -6.22%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.89%EV -10.14%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-05 08:55 |
| Neds | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.51%EV -11.16%E -3.19%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.60%EV -10.77%E -6.22%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.89%EV -10.14%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-05 08:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.51%EV -11.16%E -3.19%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.60%EV -10.77%E -6.22%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.89%EV -10.14%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-05 08:54 |
| 888sport | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -11.16%E -3.19%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -9.74%E -5.56%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -13.60%E -3.63%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-05 11:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -11.16%E -3.19%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -9.74%E -5.56%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -13.60%E -3.63%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-05 11:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -11.16%E -3.19%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -9.74%E -5.56%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -13.60%E -3.63%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-05 11:00 |
| Sky Bet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.81%EV -11.16%E -3.19%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.07%EV -12.32%E -7.25%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.12%EV -17.06%E -4.74%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-04-05 09:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.60%EV -11.16%E -3.19%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 50.99%EV -16.44%E -10.15%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 25.41%EV -25.12%E -7.73%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 21.1% | 2026-04-05 09:09 |
| Bet Victor | 3.25I 30.77%NM 25.63%EV -17.51%E -5.39%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 49.87%EV -13.86%E -8.30%K -20.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.50%EV -21.66%E -6.37%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 20.1% | 2026-04-05 11:04 |
| BoyleSports | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.77%EV -18.78%E -5.87%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 50.39%EV -12.32%E -7.25%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.84%EV -13.60%E -3.63%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-04-05 11:04 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (3)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.41% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.51% | 1.0% | 2026-04-05 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.32% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.24% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44% | 1.3% | 2026-04-05 11:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.81% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.85% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.33% | 2.0% | 2026-04-05 11:25 |