La escuela de los momiosEspañol
SSV Ulm 1846 v SC Verl
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
SSV Ulm 1846 (Local)
Predicción 25.38%3.94momio equitativo
EV +4.06%
Ventaja +0.991%
Kelly +1.31%
Crecimiento +0.053%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.41%25.35%25.40%26.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.703.604.1031.25%27.00%27.78%24.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
SC Verl (Visitante)
Predicción 51.58%1.94momio equitativo
EV -5.61%
Ventaja -3.07%
Kelly -6.76%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.83
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.87%51.66%51.43%54.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.621.731.731.8361.73%57.65%57.80%54.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 23.04%4.34momio equitativo
EV -3.23%
Ventaja -0.770%
Kelly -1.01%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.06%22.99%23.16%25.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.903.904.2030.77%25.67%25.64%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (40 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV +4.06%E +0.991%K +1.31%G +0.053% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.04%EV -12.32%E -7.25%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -10.14%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-05 11:00 |
| Unibet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV +1.53%E +0.382%K +0.509%G +0.008% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.03%EV -13.35%E -7.95%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -10.14%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-05 11:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV +1.53%E +0.382%K +0.509%G +0.008% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.03%EV -13.35%E -7.95%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -10.14%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-05 10:59 |
| Grosvenor | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV +1.53%E +0.382%K +0.509%G +0.008% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.03%EV -13.35%E -7.95%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -10.14%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-05 11:00 |
| TABtouch | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV +1.53%E +0.382%K +0.509%G +0.008% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.03%EV -13.35%E -7.95%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -10.14%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-05 10:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV +1.53%E +0.382%K +0.509%G +0.008% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.03%EV -13.35%E -7.95%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -10.14%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-05 11:00 |
| Casumo | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV +1.53%E +0.382%K +0.509%G +0.008% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.03%EV -13.35%E -7.95%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -10.14%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-05 10:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV +1.53%E +0.382%K +0.509%G +0.008% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.03%EV -13.35%E -7.95%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -10.14%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-05 11:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV +1.53%E +0.382%K +0.509%G +0.008% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.03%EV -13.35%E -7.95%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -10.14%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-05 10:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV +1.53%E +0.382%K +0.509%G +0.008% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.03%EV -13.35%E -7.95%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -10.14%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-05 11:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV +1.53%E +0.382%K +0.509%G +0.008% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.03%EV -13.35%E -7.95%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -10.14%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-05 11:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV +1.53%E +0.382%K +0.509%G +0.008% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.03%EV -13.35%E -7.95%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -10.14%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-05 11:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -1.01%E -0.259%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -9.74%E -5.56%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -5.54%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-05 10:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.87%EV -2.28%E -0.592%K -0.800%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.33%EV -5.61%E -3.07%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.80%EV -3.23%E -0.770%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-05 11:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.87%EV -2.28%E -0.592%K -0.800%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.33%EV -5.61%E -3.07%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.80%EV -3.23%E -0.770%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-05 11:04 |
| Pinnacle | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.24%EV -4.31%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.00%EV -5.61%E -3.07%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 4.18I 23.92%NM 22.76%EV -3.69%E -0.884%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-05 11:15 |
| Coolbet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -4.82%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.09%EV -8.19%E -4.60%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -7.84%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-05 09:10 |
| theScore Bet | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.54%EV -6.09%E -1.65%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.18%EV -10.25%E -5.89%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -10.14%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-05 09:09 |
| Paddy Power | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -6.09%E -1.65%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.01%EV -10.77%E -6.22%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -12.45%E -3.28%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-05 09:09 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -8.63%E -2.40%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.01%EV -6.13%E -3.37%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -7.84%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-05 09:24 |
| Betsson | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -8.63%E -2.40%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.86%EV -6.13%E -3.37%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.43%EV -8.99%E -2.28%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-05 09:29 |
| NordicBet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -8.63%E -2.40%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.86%EV -6.13%E -3.37%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.43%EV -8.99%E -2.28%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-05 09:25 |
| SportsBet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.22%EV -8.63%E -2.40%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 52.53%EV -14.38%E -8.66%K -21.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.25%EV -13.60%E -3.63%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-04-05 09:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -9.90%E -2.79%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.39%EV -7.16%E -3.98%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.56%EV -5.54%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-05 09:24 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -9.90%E -2.79%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -7.16%E -3.98%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -8.99%E -2.28%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-05 09:29 |
| PlayUp | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -9.90%E -2.79%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.06%EV -8.71%E -4.92%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.48%EV -11.30%E -2.93%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-05 09:39 |
| Suprabets | 3.53I 28.33%NM 25.72%EV -10.40%E -2.95%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.29%EV -8.71%E -4.92%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.99%EV -8.99%E -2.28%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-05 11:02 |
| Betway | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -11.16%E -3.19%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -7.16%E -3.98%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -3.23%E -0.770%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-05 11:00 |
| Fanatics | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -11.16%E -3.19%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -7.16%E -3.98%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -5.54%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-05 10:19 |
| Coral | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.51%EV -11.16%E -3.19%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.60%EV -10.77%E -6.22%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.89%EV -10.14%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-05 08:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.51%EV -11.16%E -3.19%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.60%EV -10.77%E -6.22%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.89%EV -10.14%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-05 08:55 |
| Neds | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.51%EV -11.16%E -3.19%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.60%EV -10.77%E -6.22%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.89%EV -10.14%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-05 08:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.51%EV -11.16%E -3.19%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.60%EV -10.77%E -6.22%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.89%EV -10.14%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-05 08:54 |
| 888sport | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -11.16%E -3.19%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -9.74%E -5.56%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -13.60%E -3.63%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-05 11:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -11.16%E -3.19%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -9.74%E -5.56%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -13.60%E -3.63%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-05 11:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -11.16%E -3.19%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -9.74%E -5.56%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -13.60%E -3.63%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-05 11:00 |
| Sky Bet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.81%EV -11.16%E -3.19%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.07%EV -12.32%E -7.25%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.12%EV -17.06%E -4.74%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-04-05 09:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.60%EV -11.16%E -3.19%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 50.99%EV -16.44%E -10.15%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 25.41%EV -25.12%E -7.73%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 21.1% | 2026-04-05 09:09 |
| Bet Victor | 3.25I 30.77%NM 25.63%EV -17.51%E -5.39%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 49.87%EV -13.86%E -8.30%K -20.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.50%EV -21.66%E -6.37%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 20.1% | 2026-04-05 11:04 |
| BoyleSports | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.77%EV -18.78%E -5.87%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 50.39%EV -12.32%E -7.25%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.84%EV -13.60%E -3.63%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-04-05 11:04 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.41% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.51% | 1.0% | 2026-04-05 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.32% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.24% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44% | 1.3% | 2026-04-05 11:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.81% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.85% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.33% | 2.0% | 2026-04-05 11:25 |