Language:English
SSV Ulm 1846 v FC Viktoria Köln 1904
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
SSV Ulm 1846 (Local)
Prediction 40.69%2.46fair odd
EV -4.78%
Edge -2.04%
Kelly -3.57%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.34
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.92%40.80%40.70%42.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.262.252.3448.78%44.25%44.44%42.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
FC Viktoria Köln 1904 (Visit)
Prediction 33.63%2.97fair odd
EV -2.47%
Edge -0.851%
Kelly -1.30%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.24%33.62%33.56%34.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.682.702.9040.00%37.27%37.04%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.67%3.89fair odd
EV -2.18%
Edge -0.572%
Kelly -0.776%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.81
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.94%25.58%25.75%28.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.473.403.8134.72%28.85%29.41%26.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SSV Ulm 1846 (Local): 40.69%; FC Viktoria Köln 1904 (Visit): 33.63%; Draw: 25.67%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.89. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.81, with an expected value of -2.18%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.28%EV -4.78%E -2.04%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.90%EV -6.50%E -2.34%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.82%EV -6.29%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 14:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.28%EV -4.78%E -2.04%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.90%EV -6.50%E -2.34%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.82%EV -6.29%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 14:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.24%EV -5.19%E -2.23%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.86%EV -9.19%E -3.40%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.89%EV -12.71%E -3.74%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-02 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.35%EV -5.59%E -2.41%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.81%EV -9.19%E -3.40%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -12.71%E -3.74%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-02 14:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.35%EV -5.59%E -2.41%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.81%EV -9.19%E -3.40%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -12.71%E -3.74%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-02 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.35%EV -5.59%E -2.41%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.81%EV -9.19%E -3.40%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -12.71%E -3.74%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-02 14:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.35%EV -5.59%E -2.41%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.81%EV -9.19%E -3.40%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -12.71%E -3.74%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-02 14:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.35%EV -5.59%E -2.41%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.81%EV -9.19%E -3.40%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -12.71%E -3.74%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-02 14:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.35%EV -5.59%E -2.41%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.81%EV -9.19%E -3.40%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -12.71%E -3.74%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-02 14:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.35%EV -5.59%E -2.41%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.81%EV -9.19%E -3.40%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -12.71%E -3.74%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-02 14:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.35%EV -5.59%E -2.41%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.81%EV -9.19%E -3.40%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -12.71%E -3.74%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-02 14:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.35%EV -5.59%E -2.41%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.81%EV -9.19%E -3.40%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -12.71%E -3.74%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-02 14:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.35%EV -5.59%E -2.41%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.81%EV -9.19%E -3.40%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -12.71%E -3.74%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-02 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.35%EV -5.59%E -2.41%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.81%EV -9.19%E -3.40%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -12.71%E -3.74%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-02 14:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.41%E -2.79%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.48%EV -4.15%E -1.46%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 25.04%EV -2.18%E -0.572%K -0.776%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-02 14:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -6.41%E -2.79%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -9.19%E -3.40%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -7.57%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-02 14:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -6.41%E -2.79%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -7.51%E -2.73%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.14%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-02 14:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.75%EV -6.41%E -2.79%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.50%EV -10.87%E -4.10%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -8.85%E -2.49%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-02 14:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.61%EV -7.22%E -3.17%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.31%EV -6.50%E -2.34%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -8.85%E -2.49%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 14:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.61%EV -7.22%E -3.17%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.31%EV -6.50%E -2.34%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -8.85%E -2.49%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 14:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.22%EV -8.44%E -3.75%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -7.51%E -2.73%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -5.00%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-02 14:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -8.44%E -3.75%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -5.83%E -2.08%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.57%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-02 14:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.44%E -3.75%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -7.51%E -2.73%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -8.85%E -2.49%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 14:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -8.44%E -3.75%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -9.19%E -3.40%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -7.57%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 14:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -8.44%E -3.75%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -9.19%E -3.40%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -10.14%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-02 14:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -8.44%E -3.75%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.33%EV -11.88%E -4.54%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -10.14%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-02 14:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -8.44%E -3.75%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.99%EV -11.55%E -4.39%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -12.71%E -3.74%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-02 14:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -8.44%E -3.75%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.99%EV -11.55%E -4.39%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -12.71%E -3.74%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-02 14:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -8.44%E -3.75%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -11.88%E -4.54%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.71%E -3.74%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-02 14:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -8.44%E -3.75%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -11.88%E -4.54%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.71%E -3.74%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-02 14:11 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -8.44%E -3.75%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -11.88%E -4.54%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.71%E -3.74%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-02 14:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -8.44%E -3.75%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -11.88%E -4.54%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.71%E -3.74%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-02 14:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -8.44%E -3.75%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -11.88%E -4.54%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.71%E -3.74%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-02 14:00 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.76%EV -9.25%E -4.15%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 33.79%EV -9.53%E -3.54%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 25.46%EV -8.34%E -2.34%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 14:12 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -10.48%E -4.76%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -2.47%E -0.851%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -5.00%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 14:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.35%EV -10.48%E -4.76%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.72%EV -11.88%E -4.54%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -2.44%E -0.641%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-02 14:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -10.48%E -4.76%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.02%EV -11.88%E -4.54%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -10.14%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-02 14:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.40%EV -12.51%E -5.82%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.06%EV -14.24%E -5.58%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.54%EV -12.71%E -3.74%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-02 14:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.35%EV -12.51%E -5.82%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.36%EV -12.56%E -4.83%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.29%EV -15.27%E -4.63%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-05-02 14:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.69%EV -14.54%E -6.93%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.18%EV -15.92%E -6.37%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.13%EV -12.71%E -3.74%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-05-02 14:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 38.92%EV -14.54%E -6.93%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 32.70%EV -15.92%E -6.37%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.38%EV -26.06%E -9.05%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 22.3% | 2026-05-02 14:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 40.63%EV -16.58%E -8.09%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 32.67%EV -14.24%E -5.58%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 26.70%EV -19.89%E -6.38%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 20.0% | 2026-05-02 14:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.74% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.31% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.95% | 1.4% | 2026-05-02 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.74% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.31% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.95% | 1.4% | 2026-05-02 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.74% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.31% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.95% | 1.4% | 2026-05-02 14:20 |