The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

SG Sonnenhof Großaspach v Waldhof Mannheim

Kickoff: 2026-10-10 12:00 UTC

Final: SG Sonnenhof Großaspach 1–5 Waldhof Mannheim

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

37 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

SG Sonnenhof Großaspach (Local)

Prediction 40.65%2.46fair odd
EV -2.45%
Edge -1.02%
Kelly -1.75%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.16%40.52%40.73%41.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.272.252.4048.78%44.15%44.44%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Waldhof Mannheim (Visit)

Prediction 34.24%2.92fair odd
EV -5.84%
Edge -2.12%
Kelly -3.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.11%34.48%34.16%36.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.622.602.7540.00%38.20%38.46%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.12%3.98fair odd
EV -4.56%
Edge -1.20%
Kelly -1.63%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.31%25.00%25.11%26.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.573.583.8029.85%28.03%27.93%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SG Sonnenhof Großaspach (Local): 40.65%; Waldhof Mannheim (Visit): 34.24%; Draw: 25.12%. For SG Sonnenhof Großaspach (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.46. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.40, with an expected value of -2.45%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
ATG (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -2.45%E -1.02%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -10.98%E -4.22%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -12.10%E -3.46%K -4.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-05 12:05
Casumo🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -2.45%E -1.02%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -10.98%E -4.22%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -12.10%E -3.46%K -4.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-05 12:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -2.45%E -1.02%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -10.98%E -4.22%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -12.10%E -3.46%K -4.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-05 12:10
TABtouch🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -2.45%E -1.02%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -10.98%E -4.22%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -12.10%E -3.46%K -4.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-05 12:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -2.45%E -1.02%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -10.98%E -4.22%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -12.10%E -3.46%K -4.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-05 12:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -2.45%E -1.02%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -10.98%E -4.22%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -12.10%E -3.46%K -4.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-05 12:10
Grosvenor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -2.45%E -1.02%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -10.98%E -4.22%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -12.10%E -3.46%K -4.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-05 12:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -2.45%E -1.02%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -10.98%E -4.22%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -12.10%E -3.46%K -4.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-05 12:10
Unibet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -2.45%E -1.02%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -10.98%E -4.22%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -12.10%E -3.46%K -4.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-05 12:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -2.45%E -1.02%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -10.98%E -4.22%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -12.10%E -3.46%K -4.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-05 12:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.37%EV -4.48%E -1.91%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.28%EV -12.69%E -4.98%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -4.56%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-03 21:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.16%EV -5.70%E -2.46%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.41%EV -14.40%E -5.76%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.43%EV -15.86%E -4.74%K -6.75%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-05 12:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.19%EV -6.52%E -2.83%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.49%EV -8.24%E -3.07%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -8.33%E -2.28%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-04 16:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.19%EV -6.52%E -2.83%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.49%EV -8.24%E -3.07%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -8.33%E -2.28%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-04 16:19
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -6.52%E -2.83%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.53%EV -10.98%E -4.22%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -4.56%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-05 12:31
Pinnacle🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -7.33%E -3.21%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -5.84%E -2.12%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 24.75%EV -4.81%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-04 16:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -8.55%E -3.80%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -7.55%E -2.80%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -9.58%E -2.66%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-05 15:04
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.55%E -3.80%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.61%EV -6.87%E -2.53%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -10.84%E -3.05%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-05 15:04
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.55%E -3.80%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.61%EV -6.87%E -2.53%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -10.84%E -3.05%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-05 15:03
Codere (IT)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 40.60%EV -9.77%E -4.40%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.01%EV -9.27%E -3.50%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -10.84%E -3.05%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-05 15:04
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.22%EV -10.58%E -4.81%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -7.55%E -2.80%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -9.58%E -2.66%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-05 15:08
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.86%EV -10.58%E -4.81%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.18%EV -9.95%E -3.78%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -9.58%E -2.66%K -3.69%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-05 07:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.83%EV -10.58%E -4.81%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.55%EV -10.98%E -4.22%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.61%EV -8.33%E -2.28%K -3.14%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-05 15:05
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.80%EV -10.58%E -4.81%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.26%EV -10.29%E -3.93%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -9.58%E -2.66%K -3.69%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-03 16:29
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.80%EV -10.58%E -4.81%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.26%EV -10.29%E -3.93%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -9.58%E -2.66%K -3.69%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-03 13:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -10.58%E -4.81%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.43%EV -10.98%E -4.22%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.87%EV -9.58%E -2.66%K -3.69%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-05 15:05
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -10.58%E -4.81%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.43%EV -10.98%E -4.22%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.87%EV -9.58%E -2.66%K -3.69%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-05 15:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -10.58%E -4.81%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.43%EV -10.98%E -4.22%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.87%EV -9.58%E -2.66%K -3.69%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-05 15:05
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -10.58%E -4.81%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.43%EV -10.98%E -4.22%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.87%EV -9.58%E -2.66%K -3.69%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-05 15:05
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.14%EV -10.58%E -4.81%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.63%EV -12.69%E -4.98%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.23%EV -12.10%E -3.46%K -4.84%G +0.000%13.2%2026-10-03 16:30
1xBet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.65%EV -11.80%E -5.44%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 33.11%EV -6.53%E -2.39%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.25%EV -10.09%E -2.82%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-05 10:40
Suprabets🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 40.79%EV -11.80%E -5.44%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 33.92%EV -10.64%E -4.07%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.29%EV -12.10%E -3.46%K -4.84%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-03 13:16
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.36%EV -12.61%E -5.87%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.94%EV -10.29%E -3.93%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.70%EV -9.58%E -2.66%K -3.69%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-04 20:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.36%EV -12.61%E -5.87%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.94%EV -10.29%E -3.93%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.70%EV -9.58%E -2.66%K -3.69%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-04 20:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.36%EV -12.61%E -5.87%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.94%EV -10.29%E -3.93%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.70%EV -9.58%E -2.66%K -3.69%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-04 20:40
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.12%EV -12.61%E -5.87%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.51%EV -14.40%E -5.76%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.37%EV -14.61%E -4.30%K -6.09%G +0.000%15.9%2026-10-03 16:45
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 41.57%EV -16.68%E -8.14%K -15.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.09%EV -14.40%E -5.76%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.35%EV -12.10%E -3.46%K -4.84%G +0.000%17.4%2026-10-03 13:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.15I 86.96%NM 33.33%1.15I 86.96%NM 33.33%1.15I 86.96%NM 33.33%160.9%2026-10-05 13:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.15I 86.96%NM 33.33%1.15I 86.96%NM 33.33%1.15I 86.96%NM 33.33%160.9%2026-10-05 13:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.15I 86.96%NM 33.33%1.15I 86.96%NM 33.33%1.15I 86.96%NM 33.33%160.9%2026-10-05 13:45