L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
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SG Sonnenhof Großaspach v SC Verl

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-15 17:00 UTC

Score final : SG Sonnenhof Großaspach 1–1 SC Verl

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

44 opérateurs (11 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

SG Sonnenhof Großaspach (Local)

Prévision 45.38%2.20cote équitable
EV -4.69%
Avantage -2.23%
Kelly -4.27%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.45%45.46%45.26%47.96%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.831.992.002.1054.64%50.27%50.00%47.62%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

SC Verl (Visiteur)

Prévision 31.03%3.22cote équitable
EV -0.093%
Avantage -0.029%
Kelly -0.042%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.22

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.23%30.95%30.99%33.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.702.952.953.2237.04%33.94%33.90%31.06%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 23.59%4.24cote équitable
EV -0.928%
Avantage -0.221%
Kelly -0.290%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.43%23.59%23.75%24.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.503.813.804.2028.57%26.27%26.32%23.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : SG Sonnenhof Großaspach (Local) : 45.38% ; SC Verl (Visiteur) : 31.03% ; Match nul : 23.59%. Pour SC Verl (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.223. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.220, pour une espérance de -0.093% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.18%EV -4.69%E -2.23%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -14.68%E -5.34%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -0.928%E -0.221%K -0.290%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-15 16:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.60%EV -5.60%E -2.69%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.21%EV -10.64%E -3.70%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -5.65%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-15 16:40
Codere (IT)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.30%EV -6.05%E -2.92%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.18%EV -11.57%E -4.06%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.52%EV -8.00%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-15 16:40
Coolbet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.06%EV -6.96%E -3.40%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -10.02%E -3.46%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -5.65%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-15 14:51
LeoVegas🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.02%EV -6.96%E -3.40%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -13.12%E -4.69%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-15 16:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.49%EV -6.96%E -3.40%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.42%EV -14.68%E -5.34%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.09%EV -12.72%E -3.44%K -4.71%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-15 16:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.49%EV -6.96%E -3.40%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.42%EV -14.68%E -5.34%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.09%EV -12.72%E -3.44%K -4.71%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-15 16:35
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.49%EV -6.96%E -3.40%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.42%EV -14.68%E -5.34%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.09%EV -12.72%E -3.44%K -4.71%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-15 16:35
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.49%EV -6.96%E -3.40%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.42%EV -14.68%E -5.34%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.09%EV -12.72%E -3.44%K -4.71%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-15 16:35
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.45%EV -6.96%E -3.40%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.81%EV -13.12%E -4.69%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -15.08%E -4.19%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-15 16:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.45%EV -6.96%E -3.40%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.81%EV -13.12%E -4.69%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -15.08%E -4.19%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-15 16:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.45%EV -6.96%E -3.40%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.81%EV -13.12%E -4.69%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -15.08%E -4.19%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-15 16:45
Pinnacle🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.62%EV -7.42%E -3.64%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.54%EV -0.093%E -0.029%K -0.042%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 23.84%EV -5.88%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 16:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.99%EV -7.42%E -3.64%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.26%EV -3.82%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -6.82%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-15 16:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.99%EV -7.42%E -3.64%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.26%EV -3.82%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -6.82%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-15 16:45
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.26%EV -8.32%E -4.12%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.99%EV -8.47%E -2.87%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.75%EV -9.18%E -2.39%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-15 14:40
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.26%EV -8.32%E -4.12%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.99%EV -8.47%E -2.87%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.75%EV -9.18%E -2.39%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-15 14:40
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -9.23%E -4.62%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -3.82%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-15 16:50
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -9.23%E -4.62%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -6.92%E -2.31%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-15 16:40
PlayUp🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -9.23%E -4.62%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -6.92%E -2.31%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -12.72%E -3.44%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-15 16:45
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.16%EV -9.23%E -4.62%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -13.12%E -4.69%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -5.65%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-15 14:55
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.16%EV -9.23%E -4.62%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -13.12%E -4.69%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -5.65%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-15 14:55
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.84%EV -9.23%E -4.62%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -10.02%E -3.46%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -12.72%E -3.44%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-15 16:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.30%EV -10.14%E -5.12%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -3.82%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-15 16:35
Unibet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.30%EV -10.14%E -5.12%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -3.82%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-15 16:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.30%EV -10.14%E -5.12%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -3.82%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-15 16:35
Grosvenor🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.43%EV -10.59%E -5.38%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.50%EV -3.82%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.07%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-15 16:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.43%EV -10.59%E -5.38%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.50%EV -3.82%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.07%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-15 16:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.43%EV -10.59%E -5.38%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.50%EV -3.82%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.07%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-15 16:35
Casumo🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.43%EV -10.59%E -5.38%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.50%EV -3.82%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.07%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-15 16:35
TABtouch🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.43%EV -10.59%E -5.38%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.50%EV -3.82%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.07%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-15 16:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.43%EV -10.59%E -5.38%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.50%EV -3.82%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.07%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-15 16:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.43%EV -10.59%E -5.38%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.50%EV -3.82%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.07%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-15 16:35
Suprabets🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.16%EV -10.59%E -5.38%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 29.72%EV -5.06%E -1.65%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 24.12%EV -11.07%E -2.94%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-15 16:45
1xBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.11%EV -11.05%E -5.64%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 29.73%EV -5.68%E -1.87%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.16%EV -11.78%E -3.15%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-15 16:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -11.50%E -5.90%K -12.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -0.714%E -0.223%K -0.325%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -3.29%E -0.802%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 16:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.03%EV -13.32%E -6.97%K -14.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -6.92%E -2.31%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -8.00%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-15 16:45
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.74%EV -13.32%E -6.97%K -14.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -6.92%E -2.31%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.50%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-15 16:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.22%EV -13.32%E -6.97%K -14.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.92%EV -8.47%E -2.87%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.86%EV -12.72%E -3.44%K -4.71%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-15 16:35
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 45.58%EV -13.32%E -6.97%K -14.63%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.23%EV -10.64%E -3.70%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.18%EV -15.08%E -4.19%K -5.80%G +0.000%14.9%2026-09-15 16:45
SportsBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 46.66%EV -14.68%E -7.81%K -16.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.25%EV -10.02%E -3.46%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-15 16:45
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 45.17%EV -16.04%E -8.67%K -18.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.95%EV -16.23%E -6.01%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.88%EV -17.44%E -4.98%K -6.98%G +0.000%19.7%2026-09-15 16:49
betano_uk🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 45.17%EV -16.04%E -8.67%K -18.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.95%EV -16.23%E -6.01%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.88%EV -17.44%E -4.98%K -6.98%G +0.000%19.7%2026-09-15 16:50
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 46.83%EV -16.95%E -9.26%K -20.42%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.74%EV -16.23%E -6.01%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.43%EV -5.65%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000%16.7%2026-09-15 16:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.51%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.50%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98%1.2%2026-09-15 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.51%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.50%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98%1.2%2026-09-15 16:56
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.76%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.37%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88%1.7%2026-09-15 16:50