The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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SG Sonnenhof Großaspach v SC Preußen Münster

Kickoff: 2026-10-17 12:00 UTC

Final: SG Sonnenhof Großaspach 3–2 SC Preußen Münster

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

42 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

SG Sonnenhof Großaspach (Local)

Prediction 45.65%2.19fair odd
EV -5.04%
Edge -2.43%
Kelly -4.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.25%45.88%45.61%48.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.902.002.002.0852.63%50.04%50.00%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

SC Preußen Münster (Visit)

Prediction 29.37%3.40fair odd
EV -1.32%
Edge -0.392%
Kelly -0.558%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.48%29.31%29.32%31.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.113.103.3636.36%32.20%32.26%29.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.98%4.00fair odd
EV +1.66%
Edge +0.408%
Kelly +0.541%
Growth +0.009%

assuming max odds 4.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.03%24.82%25.07%26.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.543.554.0730.77%28.25%28.17%24.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SG Sonnenhof Großaspach (Local): 45.65%; SC Preußen Münster (Visit): 29.37%; Draw: 24.98%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.00. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.07, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.66%.

Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.30%EV -10.07%E -5.11%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.32%EV -1.32%E -0.392%K -0.558%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.38%EV +1.66%E +0.408%K +0.541%G +0.009%5.1%2026-10-17 11:50
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -10.98%E -5.63%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -8.95%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -0.087%E -0.022%K -0.029%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-17 11:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.92%EV -8.70%E -4.35%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -6.02%E -1.88%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76%EV -1.34%E -0.338%K -0.453%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-17 11:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.92%EV -8.70%E -4.35%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -6.02%E -1.88%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76%EV -1.34%E -0.338%K -0.453%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-17 11:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.22%EV -6.41%E -3.13%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -10.42%E -3.42%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -5.08%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-17 11:45
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -8.70%E -4.35%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -6.02%E -1.88%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -6.33%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-17 11:50
1xBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.60%EV -11.44%E -5.89%K -12.17%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.97%EV -8.37%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -7.58%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-17 11:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -6.41%E -3.13%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -3.08%E -0.933%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -10.08%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-17 11:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.47%EV -5.04%E -2.43%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.84%EV -8.95%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -10.08%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-17 11:45
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -6.41%E -3.13%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.95%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -10.08%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-17 11:45
Codere (IT)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.49%EV -5.96%E -2.89%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -10.42%E -3.42%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -10.08%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-17 11:50
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -10.98%E -5.63%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -8.95%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -10.08%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-17 11:50
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -10.98%E -5.63%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -8.95%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -10.08%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-17 11:50
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -10.98%E -5.63%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -8.95%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -10.08%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-17 11:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -10.98%E -5.63%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -8.95%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -10.08%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-17 11:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -10.98%E -5.63%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -8.95%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -10.08%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-17 11:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -10.98%E -5.63%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -8.95%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -10.08%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-17 11:49
NordicBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.45%EV -6.41%E -3.13%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -10.42%E -3.42%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -11.33%E -3.19%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-17 11:45
Betsson🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.45%EV -6.41%E -3.13%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -10.42%E -3.42%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -11.33%E -3.19%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-17 11:45
PlayUp🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.98%EV -11.89%E -6.16%K -12.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -3.08%E -0.933%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -11.33%E -3.19%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-17 11:50
LeoVegas🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.60%EV -7.78%E -3.85%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.03%EV -11.89%E -3.96%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.38%EV -11.33%E -3.19%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-17 11:50
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.84%EV -8.70%E -4.35%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.89%E -3.96%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -11.33%E -3.19%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-17 11:48
SportsBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 45.56%EV -11.89%E -6.16%K -12.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.31%EV -11.89%E -3.96%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.12%EV -12.58%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000%13.7%2026-10-17 11:50
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 44.64%EV -12.81%E -6.70%K -14.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.00%EV -19.23%E -6.99%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.36%EV -12.58%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000%17.3%2026-10-17 11:54
LiveScore Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.89%EV -6.87%E -3.37%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -4.55%E -1.40%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -15.07%E -4.43%K -6.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-17 11:45
TABtouch🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.89%EV -6.87%E -3.37%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -4.55%E -1.40%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -15.07%E -4.43%K -6.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-17 11:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.89%EV -6.87%E -3.37%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -4.55%E -1.40%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -15.07%E -4.43%K -6.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-17 11:45
Grosvenor🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.89%EV -6.87%E -3.37%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -4.55%E -1.40%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -15.07%E -4.43%K -6.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-17 11:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.89%EV -6.87%E -3.37%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -4.55%E -1.40%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -15.07%E -4.43%K -6.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-17 11:45
Casumo🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.89%EV -6.87%E -3.37%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -4.55%E -1.40%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -15.07%E -4.43%K -6.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-17 11:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.89%EV -6.87%E -3.37%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -4.55%E -1.40%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -15.07%E -4.43%K -6.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-17 11:45
Unibet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.89%EV -6.87%E -3.37%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -4.55%E -1.40%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -15.07%E -4.43%K -6.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-17 11:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.89%EV -6.87%E -3.37%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -4.55%E -1.40%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -15.07%E -4.43%K -6.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-17 11:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.89%EV -6.87%E -3.37%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -4.55%E -1.40%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -15.07%E -4.43%K -6.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-17 11:45
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -8.70%E -4.35%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -11.89%E -3.96%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -15.07%E -4.43%K -6.28%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-17 11:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -8.70%E -4.35%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -11.89%E -3.96%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -15.07%E -4.43%K -6.28%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-17 11:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -8.70%E -4.35%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -11.89%E -3.96%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -15.07%E -4.43%K -6.28%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-17 11:45
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -8.70%E -4.35%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -11.89%E -3.96%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -15.07%E -4.43%K -6.28%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-17 11:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.25%EV -10.98%E -5.63%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.01%EV -7.48%E -2.38%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.74%EV -17.57%E -5.32%K -7.64%G +0.000%13.3%2026-10-17 11:45
Sky Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.25%EV -6.41%E -3.13%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.50%EV -19.23%E -6.99%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.25%EV -17.57%E -5.32%K -7.64%G +0.000%15.4%2026-10-17 11:45
betano_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 43.95%EV -13.26%E -6.98%K -14.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.36%EV -19.23%E -6.99%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.69%EV -18.82%E -5.79%K -8.36%G +0.000%19.8%2026-10-17 11:44
Bet Victor🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 43.95%EV -13.26%E -6.98%K -14.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.36%EV -19.23%E -6.99%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.69%EV -18.82%E -5.79%K -8.36%G +0.000%19.8%2026-10-17 11:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.39%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04%1.5%2026-10-17 11:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.39%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04%1.5%2026-10-17 11:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.39%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04%1.5%2026-10-17 11:45