SG Sonnenhof Großaspach v SC Fortuna Köln

2026-08-08 14:30 UTC — 3. Liga - Germany

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

42%

32%

26%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

SG Sonnenhof Großaspach (Local)

Prediction 41.95%2.38fair odd

EV -7.71%

Edge -3.51%

Kelly -6.43%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

40.52%41.95%42.07%42.20%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.152.182.202.2047%46%45%45%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

SC Fortuna Köln (Visit)

Prediction 31.60%3.16fair odd

EV -5.20%

Edge -1.73%

Kelly -2.60%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

30.56%31.60%32.08%32.30%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.702.822.803.0037%35%36%33%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 26.45%3.78fair odd

EV -4.78%

Edge -1.33%

Kelly -1.84%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

25.79%26.45%25.85%27.78%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

3.203.393.403.6031%30%29%28%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
Tipico (DE)	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -7.71%E -3.51%K -6.43%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -8.36%E -2.88%K -4.40%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -4.78%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-07-21 17:00
Fanatics	2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.71%E -3.51%K -6.43%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -5.20%E -1.73%K -2.60%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.53%G +0.000%	9.1%	2026-07-21 17:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)	2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -7.71%E -3.51%K -6.43%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -11.52%E -4.11%K -6.40%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%	10.6%	2026-07-21 17:00
Paddy Power	2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -7.71%E -3.51%K -6.43%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -11.52%E -4.11%K -6.40%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%	10.6%	2026-07-21 17:00
theScore Bet	2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -9.81%E -4.56%K -8.53%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -11.52%E -4.11%K -6.40%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%	10.8%	2026-07-21 17:45
SportsBet	2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -9.81%E -4.56%K -8.53%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -13.10%E -4.76%K -7.48%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.53%G +0.000%	13.2%	2026-07-21 17:00
Sky Bet	2.15I 46.51%NM 40.52%EV -9.81%E -4.56%K -8.53%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 32.26%EV -14.68%E -5.44%K -8.63%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 27.22%EV -15.36%E -4.80%K -6.98%G +0.000%	14.8%	2026-07-21 17:00

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.