Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

SG Sonnenhof Großaspach v Rot-Weiss Essen

2026-10-31 13:00 UTC — 3. Liga - Germany

Head to Head

1 sportsbook (1 in analysis )

27%

48%

25%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

SG Sonnenhof Großaspach (Local)

Prediction 27.30%3.66fair odd

EV -7.17%

Edge -2.11%

Kelly -2.99%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

27.30%27.30%27.30%27.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.403.403.403.4029.41%29.41%29.41%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rot-Weiss Essen (Visit)

Prediction 47.61%2.10fair odd

EV -7.17%

Edge -3.68%

Kelly -7.54%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

47.61%47.61%47.61%47.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.951.951.951.9551.28%51.28%51.28%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.09%3.99fair odd

EV -7.17%

Edge -1.94%

Kelly -2.65%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

25.09%25.09%25.09%25.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.703.703.703.7027.03%27.03%27.03%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: SG Sonnenhof Großaspach (Local): 27.30%; Rot-Weiss Essen (Visit): 47.61%; Draw: 25.09%. For Rot-Weiss Essen (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.10. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.95, with an expected value of -7.17%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbook)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
Tipico (DE)🎯	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -7.17%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -7.17%E -3.68%K -7.54%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.17%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-10-18 21:29

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.