The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

SG Sonnenhof Großaspach v Rot-Weiss Essen

Kickoff: 2026-11-01 15:30 UTC

Final: SG Sonnenhof Großaspach 0–1 Rot-Weiss Essen

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

43 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

SG Sonnenhof Großaspach (Local)

Prediction 26.55%3.77fair odd
EV +0.908%
Edge +0.239%
Kelly +0.324%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.53%26.38%26.54%27.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.443.403.8032.26%29.05%29.41%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rot-Weiss Essen (Visit)

Prediction 48.68%2.05fair odd
EV -4.59%
Edge -2.34%
Kelly -4.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.96

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.94%48.73%48.88%50.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.861.851.9657.14%53.75%54.05%51.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.76%4.04fair odd
EV -3.42%
Edge -0.877%
Kelly -1.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.97%24.89%24.58%26.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.613.603.9030.77%27.66%27.78%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SG Sonnenhof Großaspach (Local): 26.55%; Rot-Weiss Essen (Visit): 48.68%; Draw: 24.76%. For SG Sonnenhof Großaspach (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.77. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.908%.

Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV +0.908%E +0.239%K +0.324%G +0.003%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -10.91%E -5.96%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.90%E -1.55%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-01 09:05
Pinnacle🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.48%EV -0.419%E -0.112%K -0.152%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.02%EV -7.02%E -3.68%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.50%EV -3.42%E -0.877%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-01 15:10
Unibet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -4.40%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.52%EV -9.45%E -5.08%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -8.37%E -2.26%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-01 08:40
Virgin Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -4.40%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.52%EV -9.45%E -5.08%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -8.37%E -2.26%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-01 08:39
LiveScore Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -4.40%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.52%EV -9.45%E -5.08%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -8.37%E -2.26%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-01 08:39
TABtouch🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -4.40%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -9.94%E -5.37%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -8.37%E -2.26%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-01 08:40
Casumo🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -4.40%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -9.94%E -5.37%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -8.37%E -2.26%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-01 08:39
Grosvenor🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -4.40%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -9.94%E -5.37%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -8.37%E -2.26%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-01 08:40
Unibet (NL)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -4.40%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -9.94%E -5.37%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -8.37%E -2.26%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-01 08:39
Unibet (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -4.40%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -9.94%E -5.37%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -8.37%E -2.26%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-01 08:40
Svenska Spel🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -4.40%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -9.94%E -5.37%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -8.37%E -2.26%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-01 08:40
ATG (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -4.40%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -9.94%E -5.37%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -8.37%E -2.26%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-01 08:40
BetOnline.ag🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.46%EV -5.73%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.45%EV -7.51%E -3.95%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -3.42%E -0.877%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-01 14:35
LowVig.ag🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.46%EV -5.73%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.45%EV -7.51%E -3.95%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -3.42%E -0.877%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-01 14:35
1xBet🎯3.52I 28.41%NM 25.70%EV -6.53%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.44%EV -10.91%E -5.96%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 24.86%EV -9.86%E -2.71%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.5%2026-11-01 09:30
Coolbet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -7.51%E -3.95%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -7.13%E -1.90%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-01 07:30
NordicBet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -8.39%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.94%EV -5.07%E -2.60%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -14.56%E -4.22%K -5.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-01 02:25
Betsson🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -8.39%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.94%EV -5.07%E -2.60%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -14.56%E -4.22%K -5.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-01 02:25
Bovada🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.20%EV -8.39%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -8.97%E -4.79%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -12.09%E -3.40%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.6%2026-11-01 15:03
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 25.65%EV -8.39%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 49.43%EV -12.86%E -7.18%K -16.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.92%EV -12.09%E -3.40%K -4.74%G +0.000%13.0%2026-11-01 08:39
Winamax (DE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.48%EV -4.59%E -2.34%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.15%EV -8.37%E -2.26%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-01 02:25
Unibet (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -5.07%E -2.60%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -10.85%E -3.01%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-01 02:25
Fanatics🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.70%EV -7.99%E -4.23%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -5.90%E -1.55%K -2.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-01 07:10
Codere (IT)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.95%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.24%EV -5.56%E -2.87%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -12.09%E -3.40%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-01 03:35
Betway🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -9.94%E -5.37%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -5.90%E -1.55%K -2.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-01 12:55
PlayUp🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.02%EV -8.48%E -4.51%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.43%EV -12.09%E -3.40%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.8%2026-11-01 15:25
theScore Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.19%EV -10.91%E -5.96%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -8.37%E -2.26%K -3.10%G +0.000%11.1%2026-11-01 07:30
888sport🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.94%E -5.37%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -13.33%E -3.81%K -5.33%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-01 15:00
888sport (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.94%E -5.37%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -13.33%E -3.81%K -5.33%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-01 15:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.94%E -5.37%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -13.33%E -3.81%K -5.33%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-01 15:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.94%E -5.37%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -13.33%E -3.81%K -5.33%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-01 07:00
Neds🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.94%E -5.37%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -13.33%E -3.81%K -5.33%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-01 07:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.94%E -5.37%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -13.33%E -3.81%K -5.33%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-01 07:00
Coral🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.94%E -5.37%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -13.33%E -3.81%K -5.33%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-01 07:05
LeoVegas🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -12.37%E -3.75%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.24%EV -7.02%E -3.68%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -12.09%E -3.40%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.8%2026-11-01 08:51
Paddy Power🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -12.37%E -3.75%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -9.94%E -5.37%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -10.85%E -3.01%K -4.17%G +0.000%12.1%2026-11-01 12:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -12.37%E -3.75%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -9.94%E -5.37%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -10.85%E -3.01%K -4.17%G +0.000%12.1%2026-11-01 15:15
betfred_uk🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -12.37%E -3.75%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.48%EV -10.91%E -5.96%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -10.85%E -3.01%K -4.17%G +0.000%12.7%2026-11-01 07:30
SportsBet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 26.92%EV -13.70%E -4.21%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 48.08%EV -11.40%E -6.26%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -13.33%E -3.81%K -5.33%G +0.000%14.3%2026-11-01 12:35
Sky Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.10%EV -15.02%E -4.70%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 47.39%EV -10.91%E -5.96%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.51%EV -15.80%E -4.65%K -6.58%G +0.000%15.3%2026-11-01 07:05
BoyleSports🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -17.68%E -5.70%K -8.42%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.06%EV -12.37%E -6.87%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.03%EV -10.85%E -3.01%K -4.17%G +0.000%15.6%2026-11-01 07:05
betano_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 26.84%EV -17.68%E -5.70%K -8.42%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 47.55%EV -14.81%E -8.46%K -19.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.60%EV -19.52%E -6.01%K -8.67%G +0.000%20.2%2026-11-01 07:05
Bet Victor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 26.84%EV -17.68%E -5.70%K -8.42%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 47.55%EV -14.81%E -8.46%K -19.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.60%EV -19.52%E -6.01%K -8.67%G +0.000%20.2%2026-11-01 07:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.90I 25.64%NM 25.37%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.49%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%1.1%2026-11-01 15:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.95I 25.32%NM 24.85%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.60%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.54%1.9%2026-11-01 15:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.90I 25.64%NM 25.09%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.44%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.46%2.2%2026-11-01 15:25

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