Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

SG Sonnenhof Großaspach v FC Ingolstadt 04

2026-08-29 12:00 UTC — 3. Liga - Germany

Head to Head

1 sportsbook (1 in analysis )

32%

44%

24%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

SG Sonnenhof Großaspach (Local)

Prediction 31.81%3.14fair odd

EV -7.76%

Edge -2.68%

Kelly -4.09%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

31.81%31.81%31.81%31.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.902.902.902.9034.48%34.48%34.48%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Ingolstadt 04 (Visit)

Prediction 43.92%2.28fair odd

EV -7.76%

Edge -3.70%

Kelly -7.06%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

43.92%43.92%43.92%43.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.102.102.102.1047.62%47.62%47.62%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.27%4.12fair odd

EV -7.76%

Edge -2.04%

Kelly -2.77%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

24.27%24.27%24.27%24.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.803.803.803.8026.32%26.32%26.32%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: SG Sonnenhof Großaspach (Local): 31.81%; FC Ingolstadt 04 (Visit): 43.92%; Draw: 24.27%. For SG Sonnenhof Großaspach (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.14. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.90, with an expected value of -7.76%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbook)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
Tipico (DE)🎯	2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -7.76%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 43.92%EV -7.76%E -3.70%K -7.06%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -7.76%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-08-09 22:05

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.