Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Schweinfurt v TSV 1860 München

Kickoff: 2026-05-02 12:00 UTC

Final: Schweinfurt 1–1 TSV 1860 München

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

41 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Schweinfurt (Local)

Prediction 21.03%4.75fair odd
EV -1.15%
Edge -0.246%
Kelly -0.312%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.88%21.08%20.89%22.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.264.354.7026.67%23.48%22.99%21.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

TSV 1860 München (Visit)

Prediction 56.53%1.77fair odd
EV -5.59%
Edge -3.35%
Kelly -8.35%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.35%56.55%56.62%58.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.621.631.6765.36%61.87%61.35%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.44%4.46fair odd
EV -2.84%
Edge -0.657%
Kelly -0.854%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.96%22.37%22.48%24.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.963.904.3329.41%25.22%25.64%23.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Schweinfurt (Local): 21.03%; TSV 1860 München (Visit): 56.53%; Draw: 22.44%. For Schweinfurt (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.75. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.70, with an expected value of -1.15%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV -1.15%E -0.246%K -0.312%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.39%EV -9.55%E -5.97%K -15.92%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -3.52%E -0.818%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 11:50
Pinnacle🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.68%EV -3.26%E -0.708%K -0.905%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.30%EV -6.16%E -3.71%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.02%EV -3.07%E -0.710%K -0.924%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 11:51
BetOnline.ag🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -5.36%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.38%EV -6.16%E -3.71%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -8.00%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 11:35
LowVig.ag🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -5.36%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.38%EV -6.16%E -3.71%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -8.00%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 11:35
Fanatics🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -5.36%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -5.59%E -3.35%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -10.25%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 11:40
Coolbet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -5.36%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.28%EV -8.42%E -5.20%K -13.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -5.76%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 09:46
theScore Bet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.54%EV -7.46%E -1.70%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.94%EV -11.81%E -7.57%K -21.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -5.76%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-02 09:45
NordicBet🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.35%EV -8.52%E -1.96%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.28%EV -6.72%E -4.08%K -10.34%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.38%EV -6.88%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 09:10
Betsson🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.35%EV -8.52%E -1.96%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.28%EV -6.72%E -4.08%K -10.34%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.38%EV -6.88%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 09:10
LeoVegas🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.04%EV -8.52%E -1.96%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.80%EV -7.29%E -4.44%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.17%EV -11.37%E -2.88%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 11:30
Unibet🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 20.90%EV -8.52%E -1.96%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.78%EV -7.85%E -4.82%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -12.49%E -3.20%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 11:30
Virgin Bet🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 20.90%EV -8.52%E -1.96%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.78%EV -7.85%E -4.82%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -12.49%E -3.20%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 11:31
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 20.90%EV -8.52%E -1.96%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.78%EV -7.85%E -4.82%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -12.49%E -3.20%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 11:30
Unibet (SE)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 20.90%EV -8.52%E -1.96%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.78%EV -7.85%E -4.82%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -12.49%E -3.20%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 11:30
LiveScore Bet🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 20.90%EV -8.52%E -1.96%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.78%EV -7.85%E -4.82%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -12.49%E -3.20%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 11:30
Casumo🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 20.90%EV -8.52%E -1.96%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.78%EV -7.85%E -4.82%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -12.49%E -3.20%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 11:30
Grosvenor🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 20.90%EV -8.52%E -1.96%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.78%EV -7.85%E -4.82%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -12.49%E -3.20%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 11:30
Unibet (NL)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 20.90%EV -8.52%E -1.96%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.78%EV -7.85%E -4.82%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -12.49%E -3.20%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 11:30
TABtouch🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 20.90%EV -8.52%E -1.96%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.78%EV -7.85%E -4.82%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -12.49%E -3.20%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 11:31
Svenska Spel🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 20.90%EV -8.52%E -1.96%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.78%EV -7.85%E -4.82%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -12.49%E -3.20%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 11:30
ATG (SE)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 20.90%EV -8.52%E -1.96%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.78%EV -7.85%E -4.82%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -12.49%E -3.20%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 11:30
Paddy Power🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.66%EV -8.94%E -2.06%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.98%EV -11.25%E -7.16%K -19.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -10.25%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-02 09:51
PlayUp🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.03%EV -9.57%E -2.22%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.48%EV -7.85%E -4.82%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.49%EV -13.61%E -3.54%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-02 11:46
Unibet (UK)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV -10.62%E -2.50%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -6.72%E -4.08%K -10.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -10.25%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 09:10
Winamax (DE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -11.67%E -2.78%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.14%EV -6.16%E -3.71%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -3.52%E -0.818%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 09:11
Codere (IT)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -11.67%E -2.78%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.39%EV -6.72%E -4.08%K -10.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -10.25%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-02 09:15
Bovada🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -11.67%E -2.78%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.15%EV -8.42%E -5.20%K -13.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -8.00%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-02 11:41
betfred_uk🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -11.67%E -2.78%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.15%EV -9.55%E -5.97%K -15.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -10.25%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-02 09:45
888sport🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -11.67%E -2.78%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.34%EV -8.99%E -5.58%K -14.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -14.74%E -3.88%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-02 11:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -11.67%E -2.78%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.34%EV -8.99%E -5.58%K -14.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -14.74%E -3.88%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-02 11:31
888sport (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -11.67%E -2.78%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.34%EV -8.99%E -5.58%K -14.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -14.74%E -3.88%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-02 11:30
SportsBet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 20.74%EV -11.67%E -2.78%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 56.93%EV -13.51%E -8.83%K -25.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.33%EV -12.49%E -3.20%K -4.31%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-02 09:50
Betway🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -15.88%E -3.97%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.36%EV -8.99%E -5.58%K -14.73%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.96%EV -2.84%E -0.657%K -0.854%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 09:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.25%EV -15.88%E -3.97%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 54.93%EV -8.42%E -5.20%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.82%EV -12.49%E -3.20%K -4.31%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-02 09:06
Neds🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.25%EV -15.88%E -3.97%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 54.93%EV -8.42%E -5.20%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.82%EV -12.49%E -3.20%K -4.31%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-02 09:05
Coral🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.17%EV -15.88%E -3.97%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.09%EV -8.99%E -5.58%K -14.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -12.49%E -3.20%K -4.31%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-02 09:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.17%EV -15.88%E -3.97%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.09%EV -8.99%E -5.58%K -14.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -12.49%E -3.20%K -4.31%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-02 09:05
Sky Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 21.58%EV -15.88%E -3.97%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 55.70%EV -12.38%E -7.99%K -22.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.72%EV -14.74%E -3.88%K -5.26%G +0.000%15.8%2026-05-02 09:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 20.87%EV -15.88%E -3.97%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 54.57%EV -13.51%E -8.83%K -25.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.56%EV -23.71%E -6.97%K -9.88%G +0.000%19.8%2026-05-02 09:51
Bet Victor🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 21.88%EV -20.08%E -5.28%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 54.35%EV -13.51%E -8.83%K -25.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.76%EV -21.47%E -6.13%K -8.59%G +0.000%20.2%2026-05-02 09:48
BoyleSports🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 22.95%EV -21.13%E -5.64%K -7.68%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 55.53%EV -12.38%E -7.99%K -22.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.52%EV -10.25%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000%16.2%2026-05-02 08:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.48%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.16%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.37%1.7%2026-05-02 11:51
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.48%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.16%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.37%1.7%2026-05-02 11:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.48%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.16%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.37%1.7%2026-05-02 11:51