Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 4.50
assuming max odds 1.87
assuming max odds 4.10
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Schweinfurt (Local): 23.30%; SSV Ulm 1846 (Visit): 52.58%; Draw: 24.12%. For Schweinfurt (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.29. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.85%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV +4.85%E +1.08%K +1.39%G +0.067% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.53%EV -13.24%E -8.02%K -20.37%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -1.11%E -0.271%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 12:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -2.14%E -0.510%K -0.669%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.19%EV -14.82%E -9.15%K -23.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -8.35%E -2.20%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-07 12:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.14I 24.15%NM 22.97%EV -3.54%E -0.855%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.43%EV -6.40%E -3.60%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.60%EV -2.80%E -0.695%K -0.924%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 12:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24%EV -4.47%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -6.40%E -3.60%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24%EV -1.11%E -0.271%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-07 12:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24%EV -4.47%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -6.40%E -3.60%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24%EV -1.11%E -0.271%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-07 12:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV -4.47%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.83%EV -11.66%E -6.94%K -17.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -9.55%E -2.55%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-07 12:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.48%EV -4.47%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.04%EV -15.87%E -9.92%K -26.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.48%EV -9.55%E -2.55%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-03-07 12:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -6.80%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -6.93%E -3.92%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -8.35%E -2.20%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 12:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -6.80%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.09%EV -6.40%E -3.60%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -9.55%E -2.55%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 12:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.01%EV -6.80%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 53.53%EV -17.45%E -11.11%K -30.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.47%EV -20.41%E -6.18%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 19.0% | 2026-03-07 12:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -9.13%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.95%EV -6.40%E -3.60%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -8.35%E -2.20%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-07 12:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -9.13%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.95%EV -6.40%E -3.60%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -8.35%E -2.20%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-07 12:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -9.13%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.95%EV -6.40%E -3.60%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -8.35%E -2.20%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-07 12:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -9.13%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.93%EV -6.93%E -3.92%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -9.55%E -2.55%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-07 12:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -9.13%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.61%EV -10.09%E -5.90%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -10.76%E -2.91%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-07 12:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -9.13%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.97%EV -9.03%E -5.22%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -13.17%E -3.66%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-07 12:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -9.13%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.97%EV -9.03%E -5.22%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -13.17%E -3.66%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-07 12:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -9.13%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.97%EV -9.03%E -5.22%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -13.17%E -3.66%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-07 12:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.27%EV -9.13%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 53.61%EV -14.82%E -9.15%K -23.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.12%EV -13.17%E -3.66%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-03-07 12:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -10.30%E -2.67%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -6.40%E -3.60%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -4.73%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 12:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -11.46%E -3.02%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -10.61%E -6.24%K -15.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -3.52%E -0.881%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-07 12:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -11.46%E -3.02%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.44%EV -10.61%E -6.24%K -15.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.10%EV -10.76%E -2.91%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-07 12:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -11.46%E -3.02%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.44%EV -10.61%E -6.24%K -15.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.10%EV -10.76%E -2.91%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-07 12:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -11.46%E -3.02%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.44%EV -10.61%E -6.24%K -15.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.10%EV -10.76%E -2.91%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-07 12:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -11.46%E -3.02%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.44%EV -10.61%E -6.24%K -15.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.10%EV -10.76%E -2.91%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-07 12:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.18%EV -12.63%E -3.37%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 53.65%EV -14.82%E -9.15%K -23.90%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.18%EV -9.55%E -2.55%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-03-07 12:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 22.55%EV -13.79%E -3.73%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 52.16%EV -15.87%E -9.92%K -26.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.29%EV -20.41%E -6.18%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 19.8% | 2026-03-07 12:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -18.45%E -5.27%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.03%EV -1.67%E -0.894%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -10.76%E -2.91%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-07 12:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -18.45%E -5.27%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.00%EV -2.20%E -1.18%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -11.97%E -3.28%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-07 12:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -18.45%E -5.27%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.00%EV -2.20%E -1.18%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -11.97%E -3.28%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-07 12:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -18.45%E -5.27%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.00%EV -2.20%E -1.18%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -11.97%E -3.28%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-07 12:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -18.45%E -5.27%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.13%EV -2.72%E -1.47%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -11.97%E -3.28%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-07 12:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -18.45%E -5.27%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.13%EV -2.72%E -1.47%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -11.97%E -3.28%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-07 12:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -18.45%E -5.27%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.13%EV -2.72%E -1.47%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -11.97%E -3.28%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-07 12:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -18.45%E -5.27%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.13%EV -2.72%E -1.47%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -11.97%E -3.28%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-07 12:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -18.45%E -5.27%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.13%EV -2.72%E -1.47%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -11.97%E -3.28%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-07 12:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -18.45%E -5.27%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.13%EV -2.72%E -1.47%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -11.97%E -3.28%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-07 12:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -18.45%E -5.27%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.13%EV -2.72%E -1.47%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -11.97%E -3.28%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-07 12:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -18.45%E -5.27%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.13%EV -2.72%E -1.47%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -11.97%E -3.28%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-07 12:34 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.58% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.45% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97% | 1.2% | 2026-03-07 12:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.51% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.59% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.90% | 1.6% | 2026-03-07 12:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.51% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.59% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.90% | 1.6% | 2026-03-07 12:50 |