Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.95
assuming max odds 3.50
assuming max odds 4.12
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SC Verl (Local): 48.26%; SV Meppen (Visit): 27.50%; Draw: 24.24%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.13. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.12, with an expected value of -0.149%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -5.89%E -3.02%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -3.75%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -7.90%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-08 18:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.02%EV -6.85%E -3.55%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -6.50%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-09 12:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.94%EV -6.85%E -3.55%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.03%EV -9.25%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -6.69%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-09 12:26 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.02%EV -7.33%E -3.82%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -11.54%E -3.16%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-08 19:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.02%EV -7.33%E -3.82%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -11.54%E -3.16%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-08 19:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.02%EV -7.33%E -3.82%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -11.54%E -3.16%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-08 19:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.02%EV -7.33%E -3.82%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -11.54%E -3.16%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-08 19:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.02%EV -7.33%E -3.82%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -11.54%E -3.16%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-08 19:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.02%EV -7.33%E -3.82%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -11.54%E -3.16%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-08 19:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.02%EV -7.33%E -3.82%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -11.54%E -3.16%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-08 19:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.02%EV -7.33%E -3.82%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -11.54%E -3.16%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-08 19:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.02%EV -7.33%E -3.82%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -11.54%E -3.16%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-08 19:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.02%EV -7.33%E -3.82%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -11.54%E -3.16%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-08 19:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.83%EV -7.33%E -3.82%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -6.50%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -11.54%E -3.16%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 05:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.83%EV -7.33%E -3.82%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -6.50%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -11.54%E -3.16%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 05:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.96%EV -7.82%E -4.09%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -9.25%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 4.12I 24.27%NM 22.70%EV -0.149%E -0.036%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 12:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -7.82%E -4.09%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -9.25%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -3.06%E -0.764%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-09 15:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -7.82%E -4.09%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -9.25%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -3.06%E -0.764%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-09 15:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -7.82%E -4.09%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -14.75%E -4.76%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -3.06%E -0.764%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-09 09:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.34%EV -8.30%E -4.37%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -10.62%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -12.75%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-09 06:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.70%EV -8.78%E -4.65%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -6.50%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -7.90%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-09 11:04 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.97%EV -9.26%E -4.93%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -9.25%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -11.54%E -3.16%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-09 05:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.93%EV -9.26%E -4.93%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.72%EV -10.62%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -10.33%E -2.79%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-09 16:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.26%EV -9.75%E -5.21%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -9.25%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -10.33%E -2.79%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-09 12:26 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.03%EV -10.23%E -5.50%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -10.62%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.48%EV -11.54%E -3.16%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-08 14:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -10.71%E -5.79%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -9.25%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -7.90%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-09 10:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -10.71%E -5.79%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -9.25%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -7.90%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-09 10:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.73%EV -10.71%E -5.79%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.91%EV -7.87%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.36%EV -10.33%E -2.79%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-09 16:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.53%EV -10.71%E -5.79%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -9.25%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.26%EV -10.33%E -2.79%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-09 09:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.53%EV -10.71%E -5.79%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -9.25%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.26%EV -10.33%E -2.79%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-09 09:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.53%EV -10.71%E -5.79%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -9.25%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.26%EV -10.33%E -2.79%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-09 09:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -10.71%E -5.79%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -9.25%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -12.75%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-09 11:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -10.71%E -5.79%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -9.25%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -12.75%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-09 11:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -10.71%E -5.79%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -9.25%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -12.75%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-09 11:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -10.71%E -5.79%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -9.25%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -12.75%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-09 11:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -11.68%E -6.38%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 26.45%EV -5.40%E -1.57%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 23.82%EV -7.42%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-09 16:31 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.41%EV -11.68%E -6.38%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.58%EV -14.75%E -4.76%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.01%EV -6.69%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-09 12:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.14%EV -11.68%E -6.38%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.69%EV -9.25%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -15.17%E -4.34%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-09-08 19:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.87%EV -12.64%E -6.99%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -10.62%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.91%EV -10.33%E -2.79%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-09 10:32 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 47.73%EV -13.13%E -7.29%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.72%EV -14.75%E -4.76%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.55%EV -15.17%E -4.34%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-09-09 10:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 47.62%EV -13.13%E -7.29%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -17.50%E -5.83%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.81%EV -12.75%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-09-09 02:45 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.30% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.59% | 10.7% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.30% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.59% | 10.7% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.30% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.59% | 10.7% | 2026-09-09 14:26 |