The School of Odds
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SC Verl v Jahn Regensburg

Kickoff: 2026-10-14 17:00 UTC

Final: SC Verl 2–2 Jahn Regensburg

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

43 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

SC Verl (Local)

Prediction 38.47%2.60fair odd
EV -3.44%
Edge -1.37%
Kelly -2.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.51

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.71%38.50%38.33%40.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.322.302.5147.62%43.06%43.48%39.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Jahn Regensburg (Visit)

Prediction 36.47%2.74fair odd
EV -3.00%
Edge -1.13%
Kelly -1.81%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.66

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.30%36.53%36.51%37.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.502.502.6644.44%39.96%40.00%37.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.07%3.99fair odd
EV +0.260%
Edge +0.065%
Kelly +0.087%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.07%24.96%25.16%26.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.643.654.0029.41%27.50%27.40%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SC Verl (Local): 38.47%; Jahn Regensburg (Visit): 36.47%; Draw: 25.07%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.99. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.260%.

Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.27%EV -9.60%E -4.08%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -10.66%E -4.35%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07%EV +0.260%E +0.065%K +0.087%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-14 16:44
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.28%EV -8.84%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -2.25%E -0.576%K -0.775%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-14 16:44
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.25%EV -11.52%E -5.01%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.61%EV -12.48%E -5.20%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -2.25%E -0.576%K -0.775%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-14 16:45
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -9.60%E -4.08%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.74%EV -8.84%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -4.75%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-14 16:44
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.92%EV -8.84%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -6.01%E -1.60%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-14 16:45
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.89%EV -11.52%E -5.01%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.27%EV -12.48%E -5.20%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -6.01%E -1.60%K -2.18%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-14 16:45
1xBet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.21%EV -12.29%E -5.39%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 36.94%EV -11.75%E -4.86%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.84%EV -6.01%E -1.60%K -2.18%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-14 16:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.89%EV -5.19%E -2.00%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -7.26%E -1.96%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-14 16:54
Unibet (NL)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -11.52%E -5.01%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.30%EV -5.19%E -2.00%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -7.26%E -1.96%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-14 15:39
Casumo🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -11.52%E -5.01%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.30%EV -5.19%E -2.00%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -7.26%E -1.96%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-14 15:35
Unibet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -11.52%E -5.01%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.30%EV -5.19%E -2.00%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -7.26%E -1.96%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-14 15:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -11.52%E -5.01%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.30%EV -5.19%E -2.00%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -7.26%E -1.96%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-14 15:39
Virgin Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -11.52%E -5.01%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.30%EV -5.19%E -2.00%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -7.26%E -1.96%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-14 15:35
Grosvenor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -11.52%E -5.01%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.30%EV -5.19%E -2.00%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -7.26%E -1.96%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-14 15:40
TABtouch🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -11.52%E -5.01%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.30%EV -5.19%E -2.00%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -7.26%E -1.96%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-14 15:39
LiveScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -11.52%E -5.01%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.30%EV -5.19%E -2.00%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -7.26%E -1.96%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-14 15:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -11.52%E -5.01%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.30%EV -5.19%E -2.00%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -7.26%E -1.96%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-14 15:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -11.52%E -5.01%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.30%EV -5.19%E -2.00%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -7.26%E -1.96%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-14 15:39
Codere (IT)🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 38.38%EV -8.06%E -3.37%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 36.83%EV -9.20%E -3.70%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -7.26%E -1.96%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-14 16:45
LeoVegas🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.55%EV -9.60%E -4.08%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.97%EV -10.66%E -4.35%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.48%EV -7.26%E -1.96%K -2.69%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-14 16:54
Betsson🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.32%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.49%EV -8.11%E -3.22%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -8.51%E -2.33%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-14 16:45
NordicBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.32%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.49%EV -8.11%E -3.22%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -8.51%E -2.33%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-14 16:45
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.93%EV -11.52%E -5.01%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.54%EV -10.66%E -4.35%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.53%EV -8.51%E -2.33%K -3.21%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-14 16:44
Pinnacle🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 37.93%EV -3.44%E -1.37%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.92%EV -3.37%E -1.27%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.15%EV -8.76%E -2.41%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-14 16:45
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.84%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -9.77%E -2.71%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-14 16:45
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.79%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -10.66%E -4.35%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -9.77%E -2.71%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-14 16:54
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -11.52%E -5.01%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.95%EV -8.84%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -9.77%E -2.71%K -3.76%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-14 16:49
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -11.52%E -5.01%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -10.66%E -4.35%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.79%EV -9.77%E -2.71%K -3.76%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-14 16:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -11.52%E -5.01%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -10.66%E -4.35%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.79%EV -9.77%E -2.71%K -3.76%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-14 16:45
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -11.52%E -5.01%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -10.66%E -4.35%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.79%EV -9.77%E -2.71%K -3.76%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-14 16:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -11.52%E -5.01%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -10.66%E -4.35%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.79%EV -9.77%E -2.71%K -3.76%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-14 16:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.70%EV -14.21%E -6.37%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.70%EV -9.57%E -3.86%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.59%EV -9.77%E -2.71%K -3.76%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-14 15:39
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.06%EV -19.21%E -9.15%K -17.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.57%EV -16.13%E -7.01%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.37%EV -9.77%E -2.71%K -3.76%G +0.000%18.9%2026-10-14 16:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.20%EV -5.36%E -2.18%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.33%EV -3.00%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -11.02%E -3.10%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-14 16:44
LowVig.ag🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.20%EV -5.36%E -2.18%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.33%EV -3.00%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -11.02%E -3.10%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-14 16:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.33%EV -13.44%E -5.97%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.39%EV -8.84%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -12.27%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-14 16:49
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.90%EV -13.44%E -5.97%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.73%EV -10.66%E -4.35%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.37%EV -13.53%E -3.92%K -5.52%G +0.000%14.2%2026-10-14 16:50
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -8.44%E -3.55%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -8.84%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -14.78%E -4.35%K -6.16%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-14 16:54
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -8.44%E -3.55%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -8.84%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -14.78%E -4.35%K -6.16%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-14 16:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -8.44%E -3.55%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -8.84%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -14.78%E -4.35%K -6.16%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-14 16:54
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.76%EV -13.44%E -5.97%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.59%EV -10.66%E -4.35%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.65%EV -14.78%E -4.35%K -6.16%G +0.000%14.7%2026-10-14 16:55
betano_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 38.64%EV -17.29%E -8.04%K -15.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 36.92%EV -17.95%E -7.98%K -14.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.43%EV -14.78%E -4.35%K -6.16%G +0.000%20.4%2026-10-14 15:59
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 38.64%EV -17.29%E -8.04%K -15.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 36.92%EV -17.95%E -7.98%K -14.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.43%EV -14.78%E -4.35%K -6.16%G +0.000%20.4%2026-10-14 15:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.54I 39.37%NM 38.99%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.62%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%1.0%2026-10-14 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.54I 39.37%NM 38.99%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.62%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%1.0%2026-10-14 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.54I 39.37%NM 38.99%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.62%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%1.0%2026-10-14 16:50