The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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SC Preußen Münster v SC Fortuna Köln

Kickoff: 2026-10-25 15:30 UTC

Final: SC Preußen Münster 1–0 SC Fortuna Köln

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

42 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

SC Preußen Münster (Local)

Prediction 43.54%2.30fair odd
EV -4.22%
Edge -1.92%
Kelly -3.52%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.54%43.47%43.38%47.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.882.052.062.2053.19%48.80%48.54%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

SC Fortuna Köln (Visit)

Prediction 29.06%3.44fair odd
EV +0.243%
Edge +0.071%
Kelly +0.099%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.67%28.87%29.31%30.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.173.103.4535.71%31.51%32.26%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.41%3.65fair odd
EV -1.88%
Edge -0.524%
Kelly -0.728%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.58

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.91%27.66%27.31%29.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.333.333.5833.33%30.00%30.08%27.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SC Preußen Münster (Local): 43.54%; SC Fortuna Köln (Visit): 29.06%; Draw: 27.41%. For SC Fortuna Köln (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.44. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.243%.

Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -5.09%E -2.34%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV +0.243%E +0.071%K +0.099%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -12.29%E -3.84%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-25 15:23
LowVig.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -5.09%E -2.34%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV +0.243%E +0.071%K +0.099%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -12.29%E -3.84%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-25 15:23
LiveScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.29%EV -15.11%E -7.75%K -15.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV +0.243%E +0.071%K +0.099%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -2.70%E -0.760%K -1.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-20 15:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.29%EV -15.11%E -7.75%K -15.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV +0.243%E +0.071%K +0.099%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -2.70%E -0.760%K -1.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-20 15:35
Unibet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.29%EV -15.11%E -7.75%K -15.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV +0.243%E +0.071%K +0.099%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -2.70%E -0.760%K -1.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-20 15:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.42%EV -15.54%E -8.01%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV +0.243%E +0.071%K +0.099%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -2.70%E -0.760%K -1.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-20 15:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.42%EV -15.54%E -8.01%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV +0.243%E +0.071%K +0.099%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -2.70%E -0.760%K -1.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-20 15:35
Grosvenor🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.42%EV -15.54%E -8.01%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV +0.243%E +0.071%K +0.099%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -2.70%E -0.760%K -1.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-20 15:35
Casumo🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.42%EV -15.54%E -8.01%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV +0.243%E +0.071%K +0.099%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -2.70%E -0.760%K -1.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-20 15:35
TABtouch🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.42%EV -15.54%E -8.01%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV +0.243%E +0.071%K +0.099%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -2.70%E -0.760%K -1.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-20 15:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.42%EV -15.54%E -8.01%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV +0.243%E +0.071%K +0.099%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -2.70%E -0.760%K -1.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-20 15:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.42%EV -15.54%E -8.01%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV +0.243%E +0.071%K +0.099%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -2.70%E -0.760%K -1.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-20 15:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -10.75%E -5.25%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -1.21%E -0.356%K -0.504%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.07%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-25 01:24
Pinnacle🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.71%EV -7.27%E -3.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.69%EV -3.53%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.60%EV -1.88%E -0.524%K -0.728%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-25 14:45
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -8.58%E -4.08%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -4.11%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -10.92%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-25 15:23
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.11%EV -18.15%E -9.66%K -20.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -4.11%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -6.81%E -2.00%K -2.84%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-20 15:35
1xBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.71%EV -9.88%E -4.77%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -5.57%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.45%EV -12.84%E -4.04%K -5.89%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-25 15:25
Coolbet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.56%EV -9.45%E -4.54%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -7.02%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -4.07%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-25 15:23
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.40%E -2.98%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -9.93%E -3.20%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.81%E -2.00%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-22 15:32
Codere (IT)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -7.70%E -3.63%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.93%E -3.20%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -6.81%E -2.00%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-25 03:35
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -6.40%E -2.98%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -9.93%E -3.20%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.55%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-25 15:22
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.16%EV -7.70%E -3.63%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.93%E -3.20%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -8.18%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-18 15:49
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.16%EV -7.70%E -3.63%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.93%E -3.20%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -8.18%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-18 15:50
PlayUp🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.63%EV -9.45%E -4.54%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.93%E -3.20%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -8.18%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-25 14:35
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -8.58%E -4.08%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -9.93%E -3.20%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -12.29%E -3.84%K -5.59%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-25 15:25
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -12.93%E -6.46%K -12.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -9.93%E -3.20%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -9.55%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-25 15:23
LeoVegas🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.60%EV -7.70%E -3.63%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.61%EV -11.38%E -3.73%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -10.92%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-25 15:23
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -10.75%E -5.25%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.83%E -4.28%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -6.81%E -2.00%K -2.84%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-25 12:33
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -8.58%E -4.08%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.83%E -4.28%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -10.92%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-25 04:10
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -8.58%E -4.08%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.83%E -4.28%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -10.92%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-25 04:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -8.58%E -4.08%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.83%E -4.28%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -10.92%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-25 04:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -8.58%E -4.08%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.83%E -4.28%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -10.92%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-25 04:10
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -4.22%E -1.92%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.83%E -4.28%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -17.77%E -5.92%K -8.89%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-25 15:23
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -4.22%E -1.92%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.83%E -4.28%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -17.77%E -5.92%K -8.89%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-25 15:23
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -4.22%E -1.92%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.83%E -4.28%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -17.77%E -5.92%K -8.89%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-25 15:23
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -12.93%E -6.46%K -12.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -12.83%E -4.28%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -9.55%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%13.6%2026-10-25 15:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.52%EV -10.75%E -5.25%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.24%EV -14.28%E -4.84%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -6.81%E -2.00%K -2.84%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-20 10:55
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.78%EV -12.93%E -6.46%K -12.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.68%EV -14.28%E -4.84%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -9.55%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%14.2%2026-10-25 12:33
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.20%EV -12.93%E -6.46%K -12.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.80%EV -15.74%E -5.43%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.00%EV -12.29%E -3.84%K -5.59%G +0.000%15.7%2026-10-24 04:15
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.11%EV -12.93%E -6.46%K -12.93%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.94%EV -16.32%E -5.67%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.95%EV -12.29%E -3.84%K -5.59%G +0.000%16.0%2026-10-25 15:23
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 42.62%EV -15.11%E -7.75%K -15.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.68%EV -18.64%E -6.66%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.70%EV -17.77%E -5.92%K -8.89%G +0.000%20.3%2026-10-25 09:50
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 42.62%EV -15.11%E -7.75%K -15.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.68%EV -18.64%E -6.66%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.70%EV -17.77%E -5.92%K -8.89%G +0.000%20.3%2026-10-25 09:53
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.26I 44.25%NM 43.80%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%1.0%2026-10-25 15:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.26I 44.25%NM 43.80%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%1.0%2026-10-25 15:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.26I 44.25%NM 43.80%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%1.0%2026-10-25 15:25