Language:English
SC Preußen Münster v Rot-Weiss Essen
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
SC Preußen Münster (Local)
Prediction 27.42%3.65fair odd
EV -5.96%
Edge -1.74%
Kelly -2.45%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.43
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.85%27.40%27.35%30.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.173.203.4334.72%31.55%31.25%29.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Rot-Weiss Essen (Visit)
Prediction 47.24%2.12fair odd
EV -3.15%
Edge -1.54%
Kelly -3.00%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.77%47.30%47.22%48.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.941.912.0555.56%51.54%52.36%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.34%3.95fair odd
EV -3.70%
Edge -0.973%
Kelly -1.32%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.81%25.30%25.42%25.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.603.603.8030.77%27.76%27.78%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SC Preußen Münster (Local): 27.42%; Rot-Weiss Essen (Visit): 47.24%; Draw: 25.34%. For Rot-Weiss Essen (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.12. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.05, with an expected value of -3.15%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.24%EV -5.96%E -1.74%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.17%EV -8.35%E -4.30%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -3.70%E -0.973%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-02 18:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -7.88%E -4.04%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -6.23%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-03 10:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -9.77%E -5.11%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-05 12:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -8.16%E -2.44%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -7.88%E -4.04%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -10.03%E -2.83%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-05 12:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -8.16%E -2.44%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -7.88%E -4.04%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -10.03%E -2.83%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-05 12:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -8.16%E -2.44%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.59%EV -12.13%E -6.52%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -6.23%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-05 10:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.88%E -4.04%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-05 12:01 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -9.77%E -5.11%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -11.30%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-05 12:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -9.77%E -5.11%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -11.30%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-05 12:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -9.77%E -5.11%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -11.30%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-05 12:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.04%EV -10.90%E -3.35%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.97%EV -10.24%E -5.39%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.99%EV -3.70%E -0.973%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-05 12:18 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.04%EV -10.90%E -3.35%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.97%EV -10.24%E -5.39%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.99%EV -3.70%E -0.973%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-05 12:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -10.90%E -3.35%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.78%EV -8.82%E -4.57%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.43%EV -10.03%E -2.83%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-05 12:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -10.90%E -3.35%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -9.77%E -5.11%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-05 12:27 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -10.90%E -3.35%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -9.77%E -5.11%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-05 08:20 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 3.21I 31.15%NM 27.55%EV -12.00%E -3.74%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.54%EV -12.13%E -6.52%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.91%EV -10.03%E -2.83%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-10-02 17:38 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -12.27%E -3.83%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -9.77%E -5.11%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-05 12:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -12.27%E -3.83%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -9.77%E -5.11%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-05 12:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -12.27%E -3.83%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -9.77%E -5.11%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-05 12:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -12.27%E -3.83%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -9.77%E -5.11%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-05 12:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -12.27%E -3.83%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -9.77%E -5.11%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-05 12:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.40%EV -13.64%E -4.33%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.09%EV -10.24%E -5.39%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.51%EV -7.50%E -2.05%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-05 12:01 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.14%EV -13.64%E -4.33%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.91%EV -12.60%E -6.81%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.95%EV -6.23%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-10-05 12:18 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -16.38%E -5.37%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -3.15%E -1.54%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -7.50%E -2.05%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-04 18:01 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -16.38%E -5.37%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -3.15%E -1.54%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -7.50%E -2.05%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-04 20:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -16.38%E -5.37%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -3.15%E -1.54%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -7.50%E -2.05%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-04 20:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -16.38%E -5.37%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -3.15%E -1.54%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -7.50%E -2.05%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-04 20:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -16.38%E -5.37%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -3.15%E -1.54%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -7.50%E -2.05%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-04 20:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -16.38%E -5.37%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -3.15%E -1.54%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -7.50%E -2.05%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-04 20:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -16.38%E -5.37%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -3.15%E -1.54%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -7.50%E -2.05%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-04 20:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -16.38%E -5.37%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -3.15%E -1.54%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -7.50%E -2.05%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-04 20:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -16.38%E -5.37%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -3.15%E -1.54%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -7.50%E -2.05%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-04 20:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -16.38%E -5.37%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -3.15%E -1.54%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -7.50%E -2.05%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-04 20:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.75%EV -17.75%E -5.92%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 46.61%EV -12.60%E -6.81%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.64%EV -11.30%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-10-05 13:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -17.75%E -5.92%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 47.62%EV -14.96%E -8.31%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.81%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-10-02 17:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.04%EV -19.12%E -6.48%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.99%EV -6.93%E -3.52%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.97%EV -10.03%E -2.83%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-10-04 20:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.90%EV -21.04%E -7.31%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 45.49%EV -13.55%E -7.40%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 25.61%EV -17.64%E -5.43%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 20.1% | 2026-10-05 14:16 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.90%EV -21.04%E -7.31%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 45.49%EV -13.55%E -7.40%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 25.61%EV -17.64%E -5.43%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 20.1% | 2026-10-05 14:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.