Language:English
SC Preußen Münster v Fortuna Düsseldorf
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
SC Preußen Münster (Local)
Prediction 34.09%2.93fair odd
EV -4.56%
Edge -1.63%
Kelly -2.53%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.75%34.07%34.12%34.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.662.702.8040.82%37.56%37.04%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Fortuna Düsseldorf (Visit)
Prediction 39.29%2.55fair odd
EV -4.14%
Edge -1.70%
Kelly -2.88%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.44
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.03%39.38%39.21%41.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.322.352.4447.62%43.14%42.55%40.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.63%3.76fair odd
EV -2.27%
Edge -0.619%
Kelly -0.850%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.67
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.47%26.55%26.67%27.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.363.303.6732.26%29.76%30.30%27.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SC Preußen Münster (Local): 34.09%; Fortuna Düsseldorf (Visit): 39.29%; Draw: 26.63%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.76. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.67, with an expected value of -2.27%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -4.56%E -1.63%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -9.64%E -4.19%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -4.13%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-14 16:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.16%EV -4.90%E -1.76%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.87%EV -6.11%E -2.56%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.97%EV -2.27%E -0.619%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-14 16:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 32.75%EV -5.92%E -2.15%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.18%EV -11.61%E -5.16%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.07%EV -11.06%E -3.31%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-14 16:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -6.26%E -2.28%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-14 16:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.81%EV -7.29%E -2.68%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-14 16:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.81%EV -7.29%E -2.68%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-14 16:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -7.97%E -2.95%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.59%EV -4.14%E -1.70%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.53%EV -5.47%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-14 16:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -7.97%E -2.95%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.59%EV -4.14%E -1.70%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.53%EV -5.47%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-14 16:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -7.97%E -2.95%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.49%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -5.47%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-14 16:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -7.97%E -2.95%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.34%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-14 16:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -7.97%E -2.95%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -9.64%E -4.19%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -4.13%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-14 16:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.92%EV -7.97%E -2.95%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.14%EV -8.07%E -3.45%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-14 16:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.87%EV -7.97%E -2.95%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -6.50%E -2.73%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.12%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-14 13:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.87%EV -7.97%E -2.95%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -6.50%E -2.73%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.12%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-14 13:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.87%EV -7.97%E -2.95%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -6.50%E -2.73%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.12%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-14 13:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.87%EV -7.97%E -2.95%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -6.50%E -2.73%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.12%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-14 13:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.87%EV -7.97%E -2.95%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -6.50%E -2.73%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.12%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-14 13:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.87%EV -7.97%E -2.95%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -6.50%E -2.73%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.12%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-14 13:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.87%EV -7.97%E -2.95%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -6.50%E -2.73%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.12%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-14 13:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.87%EV -7.97%E -2.95%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -6.50%E -2.73%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.12%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-14 13:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.87%EV -7.97%E -2.95%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -6.50%E -2.73%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.12%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-14 13:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.87%EV -7.97%E -2.95%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -6.50%E -2.73%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.12%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-14 13:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -9.67%E -3.65%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.79%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-14 16:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.12%EV -9.67%E -3.65%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.48%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -12.12%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-14 16:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -9.67%E -3.65%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -9.64%E -4.19%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-14 16:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -9.67%E -3.65%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -9.64%E -4.19%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -10.79%E -3.22%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-14 16:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.28%EV -10.35%E -3.94%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.20%EV -9.64%E -4.19%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-14 16:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.28%EV -10.35%E -3.94%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.20%EV -9.64%E -4.19%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-14 16:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -10.35%E -3.94%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.41%EV -11.61%E -5.16%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -12.12%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-10-14 16:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -10.70%E -4.08%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -9.64%E -4.19%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-14 16:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -10.70%E -4.08%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -9.64%E -4.19%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -12.12%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-14 16:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -10.70%E -4.08%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -9.64%E -4.19%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -12.12%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-14 16:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -10.70%E -4.08%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -9.64%E -4.19%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -12.12%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-14 16:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -10.70%E -4.08%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -11.61%E -5.16%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-14 16:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.66%EV -11.38%E -4.38%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.03%EV -6.89%E -2.91%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.31%EV -12.12%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-14 14:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.66%EV -11.38%E -4.38%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.03%EV -6.89%E -2.91%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.31%EV -12.12%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-14 14:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.98%EV -11.38%E -4.38%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.41%EV -9.64%E -4.19%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.61%EV -14.79%E -4.62%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-10-14 13:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.40%EV -11.38%E -4.38%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.47%EV -13.57%E -6.17%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.13%EV -14.79%E -4.62%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-10-14 16:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.30%EV -11.38%E -4.38%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.23%EV -17.50%E -8.33%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.47%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-10-14 16:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.11%EV -13.08%E -5.13%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.53%EV -13.57%E -6.17%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.36%EV -12.12%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-10-14 16:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.37%EV -14.79%E -5.91%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 39.72%EV -17.50%E -8.33%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 26.91%EV -17.45%E -5.63%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 19.9% | 2026-10-14 16:48 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 33.82%EV -16.49%E -6.73%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 39.45%EV -17.50%E -8.33%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 26.73%EV -17.45%E -5.63%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 20.7% | 2026-10-14 16:52 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.52% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.01% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46% | 0.8% | 2026-10-14 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.66% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.59% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75% | 1.0% | 2026-10-14 16:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.66% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.59% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75% | 1.0% | 2026-10-14 16:45 |