Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

SC Preußen Münster v Fortuna Düsseldorf

2026-10-14 17:00 UTC — 3. Liga - Germany

Head to Head

1 sportsbook (1 in analysis )

30%

44%

26%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

SC Preußen Münster (Local)

Prediction 29.75%3.36fair odd

EV -7.79%

Edge -2.51%

Kelly -3.71%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

29.75%29.75%29.75%29.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.103.103.103.1032.26%32.26%32.26%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Fortuna Düsseldorf (Visit)

Prediction 43.91%2.28fair odd

EV -7.79%

Edge -3.71%

Kelly -7.08%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

43.91%43.91%43.91%43.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.102.102.102.1047.62%47.62%47.62%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.35%3.80fair odd

EV -7.79%

Edge -2.23%

Kelly -3.12%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

26.35%26.35%26.35%26.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.503.503.503.5028.57%28.57%28.57%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: SC Preußen Münster (Local): 29.75%; Fortuna Düsseldorf (Visit): 43.91%; Draw: 26.35%. For SC Preußen Münster (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.36. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.10, with an expected value of -7.79%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbook)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
Tipico (DE)🎯	3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.79%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -7.79%E -3.71%K -7.08%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.79%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-09-26 00:20

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.