Language:English
SC Fortuna Köln v Fortuna Düsseldorf
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
SC Fortuna Köln (Local)
Prediction 30.38%3.29fair odd
EV -1.25%
Edge -0.386%
Kelly -0.558%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.78%30.39%30.43%32.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.622.952.953.2538.17%33.94%33.90%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Fortuna Düsseldorf (Visit)
Prediction 41.17%2.43fair odd
EV -0.775%
Edge -0.322%
Kelly -0.550%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.41
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.45%41.11%41.22%42.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.202.202.4148.78%45.41%45.45%41.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.44%3.52fair odd
EV -3.29%
Edge -0.967%
Kelly -1.37%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.64%28.51%28.35%30.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.233.253.4034.48%30.95%30.77%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SC Fortuna Köln (Local): 30.38%; Fortuna Düsseldorf (Visit): 41.17%; Draw: 28.44%. For Fortuna Düsseldorf (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.43. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.41, with an expected value of -0.775%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -1.25%E -0.386%K -0.558%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.64%EV -6.95%E -3.08%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -8.98%E -2.81%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 17:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -2.77%E -0.867%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.85%EV -7.77%E -3.47%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -7.55%E -2.32%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 17:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -2.77%E -0.867%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -5.30%E -2.31%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -11.82%E -3.81%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 17:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.98%EV -5.20%E -1.67%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.94%EV -8.19%E -3.67%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.09%EV -5.28%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-06 17:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -9.42%E -4.28%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.13%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-06 17:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -10.24%E -4.70%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -8.98%E -2.81%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-06 17:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -11.48%E -5.34%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.98%E -2.81%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-06 17:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -11.48%E -5.34%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -14.67%E -4.89%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-06 17:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -11.48%E -5.34%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -14.67%E -4.89%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-06 17:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -11.48%E -5.34%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -14.67%E -4.89%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-06 17:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.34%EV -7.64%E -2.51%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.53%EV -0.775%E -0.322%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.13%EV -6.99%E -2.14%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-06 17:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -5.30%E -2.31%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -7.55%E -2.32%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-06 17:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -9.42%E -4.28%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -3.29%E -0.967%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-06 17:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -9.42%E -4.28%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -6.13%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-06 17:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -10.37%E -3.52%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -5.30%E -2.31%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -3.29%E -0.967%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-06 17:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.15%EV -10.37%E -3.52%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.13%EV -5.72%E -2.50%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.72%EV -8.98%E -2.81%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-06 17:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -10.37%E -3.52%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -9.42%E -4.28%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -4.71%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-05 23:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -10.37%E -3.52%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -9.42%E -4.28%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -4.71%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-05 23:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -10.37%E -3.52%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -9.42%E -4.28%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -4.71%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-05 23:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -10.37%E -3.52%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -9.42%E -4.28%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -4.71%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-05 23:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -10.37%E -3.52%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -9.42%E -4.28%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -4.71%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-05 23:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -10.37%E -3.52%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -9.42%E -4.28%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -4.71%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-05 23:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -10.37%E -3.52%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -9.42%E -4.28%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -4.71%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-05 23:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -10.37%E -3.52%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -9.42%E -4.28%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -4.71%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-05 23:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -10.37%E -3.52%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -9.42%E -4.28%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -4.71%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-05 23:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -10.37%E -3.52%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -9.42%E -4.28%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -4.71%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-05 23:40 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.84%EV -10.37%E -3.52%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.90%EV -6.13%E -2.69%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 29.25%EV -11.54%E -3.71%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-06 17:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -11.89%E -4.10%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -11.48%E -5.34%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -3.29%E -0.967%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-06 17:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -12.50%E -4.34%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -9.42%E -4.28%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.98%E -2.81%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-06 17:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -12.50%E -4.34%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -9.42%E -4.28%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.98%E -2.81%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-06 17:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -12.50%E -4.34%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -11.48%E -5.34%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -6.13%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-06 17:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.82%EV -12.50%E -4.34%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.27%EV -13.54%E -6.45%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.90%EV -6.13%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-06 17:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.82%EV -12.50%E -4.34%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.27%EV -13.54%E -6.45%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.90%EV -6.13%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-06 17:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -12.80%E -4.46%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.75%EV -9.42%E -4.28%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -8.98%E -2.81%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-06 17:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -12.80%E -4.46%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.75%EV -9.42%E -4.28%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -8.98%E -2.81%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-06 17:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -13.41%E -4.70%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.90%EV -3.25%E -1.38%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -10.40%E -3.30%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-06 17:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.53%EV -13.41%E -4.70%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.94%EV -7.36%E -3.27%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV -10.40%E -3.30%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-06 17:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.04%EV -13.41%E -4.70%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.73%EV -12.72%E -6.00%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -7.55%E -2.32%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-05 23:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.18%EV -14.93%E -5.33%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 41.97%EV -14.36%E -6.90%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.86%EV -7.55%E -2.32%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-09-06 17:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.90%EV -14.93%E -5.33%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.20%EV -13.54%E -6.45%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -11.82%E -3.81%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-09-06 17:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -16.45%E -5.98%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -3.25%E -1.38%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -10.40%E -3.30%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-06 17:23 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.28%EV -17.97%E -6.65%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.61%EV -9.42%E -4.28%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.11%EV -11.82%E -3.81%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-09-06 17:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 31.74%EV -20.40%E -7.78%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 39.59%EV -13.54%E -6.45%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 28.67%EV -17.51%E -6.04%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 20.3% | 2026-09-06 17:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 31.73%EV -20.40%E -7.78%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 40.56%EV -15.60%E -7.61%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.71%EV -14.67%E -4.89%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 20.3% | 2026-09-06 17:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.