The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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SC Fortuna Köln v FC Würzburger Kickers

Kickoff: 2026-10-31 15:33 UTC

Final: SC Fortuna Köln 1–2 FC Würzburger Kickers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

43 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

SC Fortuna Köln (Local)

Prediction 48.82%2.05fair odd
EV -4.80%
Edge -2.46%
Kelly -5.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.01%48.89%48.63%50.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.861.881.9557.14%53.70%53.19%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Würzburger Kickers (Visit)

Prediction 24.63%4.06fair odd
EV +2.95%
Edge +0.705%
Kelly +0.927%
Growth +0.027%

assuming max odds 4.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.79%24.47%24.89%25.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.613.604.1830.77%27.72%27.78%23.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.55%3.77fair odd
EV -1.76%
Edge -0.477%
Kelly -0.653%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.11%26.63%26.49%28.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.403.403.7032.26%29.42%29.41%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SC Fortuna Köln (Local): 48.82%; FC Würzburger Kickers (Visit): 24.63%; Draw: 26.55%. For FC Würzburger Kickers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.06. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.18, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.95%.

Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.94%EV -4.80%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.83%EV +2.95%E +0.705%K +0.927%G +0.027%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.23%EV -10.26%E -3.04%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-31 15:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51%EV -9.68%E -5.23%K -11.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV +0.978%E +0.238%K +0.315%G +0.003%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.07%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-31 15:10
Betway🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -8.22%E -4.37%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -1.49%E -0.371%K -0.495%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -12.38%E -3.75%K -5.38%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-31 15:05
1xBet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.15%EV -10.17%E -5.53%K -12.11%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 23.86%EV -6.66%E -1.76%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.99%EV -11.06%E -3.30%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-31 15:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.63%EV -7.24%E -3.81%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -8.87%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -7.07%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-31 09:05
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.71%EV -8.22%E -4.37%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -8.87%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.54%EV -8.40%E -2.44%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-31 09:04
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.71%EV -8.22%E -4.37%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -8.87%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.54%EV -8.40%E -2.44%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-31 09:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.43%EV -8.22%E -4.37%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -10.11%E -2.77%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -1.76%E -0.477%K -0.653%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-31 09:04
Codere (IT)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.73%EV -8.22%E -4.37%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -10.11%E -2.77%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -7.07%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-31 09:10
Bovada🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.30%EV -8.70%E -4.65%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -10.11%E -2.77%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -11.06%E -3.30%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-31 15:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -12.12%E -6.73%K -15.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.66%EV -10.11%E -2.77%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.35%EV -5.75%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-31 15:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -12.12%E -6.73%K -15.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.66%EV -10.11%E -2.77%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.35%EV -5.75%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-31 15:05
Coolbet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.24%E -3.81%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -11.34%E -3.15%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -4.42%E -1.23%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-31 15:10
Unibet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -7.24%E -3.81%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -11.34%E -3.15%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -7.07%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-30 06:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -7.24%E -3.81%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -11.34%E -3.15%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -7.07%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-30 06:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -7.24%E -3.81%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -11.34%E -3.15%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -7.07%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-30 06:05
Casumo🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.43%EV -7.73%E -4.09%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -11.34%E -3.15%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.07%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-30 06:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.43%EV -7.73%E -4.09%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -11.34%E -3.15%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.07%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-30 06:05
Grosvenor🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.43%EV -7.73%E -4.09%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -11.34%E -3.15%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.07%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-30 06:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.43%EV -7.73%E -4.09%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -11.34%E -3.15%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.07%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-30 06:05
TABtouch🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.43%EV -7.73%E -4.09%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -11.34%E -3.15%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.07%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-30 06:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.43%EV -7.73%E -4.09%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -11.34%E -3.15%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.07%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-30 06:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.43%EV -7.73%E -4.09%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -11.34%E -3.15%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.07%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-30 06:05
Fanatics🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.06%EV -7.73%E -4.09%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -11.34%E -3.15%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.73%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-31 15:10
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -10.66%E -5.82%K -12.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -11.34%E -3.15%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -4.42%E -1.23%K -1.70%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-31 15:10
PlayUp🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.32%EV -8.70%E -4.65%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -11.34%E -3.15%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.73%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-31 15:10
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -6.75%E -3.53%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -11.34%E -3.15%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -15.04%E -4.70%K -6.84%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-31 15:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -6.75%E -3.53%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -11.34%E -3.15%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -15.04%E -4.70%K -6.84%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-31 15:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -6.75%E -3.53%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -11.34%E -3.15%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -15.04%E -4.70%K -6.84%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-31 15:05
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.94%EV -8.70%E -4.65%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.90%EV -11.34%E -3.15%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -12.38%E -3.75%K -5.38%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-31 15:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -9.68%E -5.23%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -11.34%E -3.15%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -12.38%E -3.75%K -5.38%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-31 15:20
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -9.68%E -5.23%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.33%EV -12.57%E -3.54%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -8.40%E -2.44%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-31 09:05
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -10.66%E -5.82%K -12.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -13.80%E -3.94%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -9.73%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-31 15:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -9.68%E -5.23%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -13.80%E -3.94%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -12.38%E -3.75%K -5.38%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-31 15:10
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -9.68%E -5.23%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -13.80%E -3.94%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -12.38%E -3.75%K -5.38%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-31 15:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -9.68%E -5.23%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -13.80%E -3.94%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -12.38%E -3.75%K -5.38%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-31 15:10
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -9.68%E -5.23%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -13.80%E -3.94%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -12.38%E -3.75%K -5.38%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-31 15:10
SportsBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 47.94%EV -10.66%E -5.82%K -12.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.07%EV -13.80%E -3.94%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.99%EV -13.71%E -4.22%K -6.09%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-31 15:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.15%EV -10.66%E -5.82%K -12.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.54%EV -15.03%E -4.36%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.30%EV -11.06%E -3.30%K -4.70%G +0.000%13.5%2026-10-30 06:05
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.00%EV -12.12%E -6.73%K -15.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.41%EV -16.26%E -4.78%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.59%EV -13.71%E -4.22%K -6.09%G +0.000%15.7%2026-10-31 09:49
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 48.90%EV -14.56%E -8.32%K -19.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.17%EV -16.26%E -4.78%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.93%EV -12.38%E -3.75%K -5.38%G +0.000%16.9%2026-10-31 06:09
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 47.55%EV -14.56%E -8.32%K -19.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.60%EV -19.96%E -6.14%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.84%EV -17.69%E -5.71%K -8.43%G +0.000%20.2%2026-10-31 15:08
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 47.55%EV -14.56%E -8.32%K -19.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.60%EV -19.96%E -6.14%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.84%EV -17.69%E -5.71%K -8.43%G +0.000%20.2%2026-10-31 15:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.98I 50.51%NM 50.00%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.50%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%1.0%2026-10-31 15:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.97I 50.76%NM 50.13%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.43%1.3%2026-10-31 15:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.97I 50.76%NM 50.13%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.43%1.3%2026-10-31 15:25

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