Language:English
Rot-Weiss Essen v SC Fortuna Köln
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Rot-Weiss Essen (Local)
Prediction 62.84%1.59fair odd
EV -3.86%
Edge -2.52%
Kelly -7.28%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.53
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.40%62.67%62.91%64.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.461.451.5372.46%68.60%68.97%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
SC Fortuna Köln (Visit)
Prediction 16.05%6.23fair odd
EV -2.26%
Edge -0.371%
Kelly -0.444%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 6.09
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.18%16.09%16.16%17.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.755.535.506.0921.05%18.08%18.18%16.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 21.11%4.74fair odd
EV -0.762%
Edge -0.162%
Kelly -0.206%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.73%21.24%20.93%23.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.254.314.7027.78%23.51%23.20%21.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rot-Weiss Essen (Local): 62.84%; SC Fortuna Köln (Visit): 16.05%; Draw: 21.11%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.74. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.70, with an expected value of -0.762%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -3.86%E -2.52%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -3.71%E -0.618%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -15.54%E -3.89%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-13 16:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -3.86%E -2.52%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -11.73%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -15.54%E -3.89%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-13 16:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.41%EV -4.49%E -2.95%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 6.09I 16.42%NM 15.58%EV -2.26%E -0.371%K -0.444%G +0.000% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.01%EV -9.00%E -2.09%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-13 16:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.38%EV -6.37%E -4.28%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -3.71%E -0.618%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -11.32%E -2.70%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-13 16:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.98%EV -6.37%E -4.28%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -11.73%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -8.15%E -1.87%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.98%EV -6.37%E -4.28%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -11.73%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -8.15%E -1.87%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.98%EV -6.37%E -4.28%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -11.73%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -8.15%E -1.87%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.98%EV -6.37%E -4.28%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -11.73%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -8.15%E -1.87%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.98%EV -6.37%E -4.28%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -11.73%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -8.15%E -1.87%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.98%EV -6.37%E -4.28%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -11.73%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -8.15%E -1.87%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.98%EV -6.37%E -4.28%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -11.73%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -8.15%E -1.87%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.98%EV -6.37%E -4.28%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -11.73%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -8.15%E -1.87%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.98%EV -6.37%E -4.28%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -11.73%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -8.15%E -1.87%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.98%EV -6.37%E -4.28%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -11.73%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -8.15%E -1.87%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.04%EV -7.00%E -4.73%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -7.72%E -1.34%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -4.99%E -1.11%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-13 16:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.58%EV -7.00%E -4.73%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -11.73%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -4.99%E -1.11%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-13 16:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.57%EV -7.63%E -5.19%K -16.23%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -6.92%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -2.87%E -0.625%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-13 16:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.09%EV -7.63%E -5.19%K -16.23%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -13.34%E -2.47%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.73%EV -0.762%E -0.162%K -0.206%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-13 16:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.63%EV -7.63%E -5.19%K -16.23%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -10.13%E -1.81%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -7.10%E -1.61%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-13 16:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.67%EV -8.26%E -5.66%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.05%EV -8.52%E -1.49%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.28%EV -9.21%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-13 16:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.67%EV -8.26%E -5.66%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.05%EV -8.52%E -1.49%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.28%EV -9.21%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-13 16:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.94%EV -8.89%E -6.13%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -3.71%E -0.618%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -4.99%E -1.11%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-13 16:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.47%EV -8.89%E -6.13%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.47%EV -11.73%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.06%EV -9.21%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-13 16:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.74%EV -9.52%E -6.61%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -13.34%E -2.47%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.53%EV -7.10%E -1.61%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-13 16:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -9.52%E -6.61%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -11.73%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -8.57%E -1.98%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-13 16:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -9.52%E -6.61%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.07%EV -10.13%E -1.81%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -11.32%E -2.70%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-13 16:48 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -9.52%E -6.61%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -11.73%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -11.32%E -2.70%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-13 16:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.10%EV -9.52%E -6.61%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -7.72%E -1.34%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -15.54%E -3.89%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-13 16:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.10%EV -9.52%E -6.61%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -7.72%E -1.34%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -15.54%E -3.89%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-13 16:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.10%EV -9.52%E -6.61%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -7.72%E -1.34%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -15.54%E -3.89%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-13 16:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.99%EV -9.52%E -6.61%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -11.73%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.77%EV -13.43%E -3.28%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-13 16:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -9.52%E -6.61%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -15.74%E -3.00%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -11.32%E -2.70%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-13 11:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -9.52%E -6.61%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -15.74%E -3.00%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -11.32%E -2.70%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-13 11:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -9.52%E -6.61%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -15.74%E -3.00%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -11.32%E -2.70%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-13 11:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -9.52%E -6.61%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -15.74%E -3.00%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -11.32%E -2.70%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-13 11:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.00%EV -10.14%E -7.09%K -23.59%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.89%EV -15.74%E -3.00%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.11%EV -11.32%E -2.70%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.13%EV -10.77%E -7.59%K -25.65%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -3.71%E -0.618%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -7.10%E -1.61%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-13 11:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.13%EV -11.40%E -8.09%K -27.81%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.32%EV -5.31%E -0.900%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.55%EV -7.10%E -1.61%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-13 14:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.37%EV -12.03%E -8.59%K -30.07%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.46%EV -19.76%E -3.95%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.17%EV -8.57%E -1.98%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-10-13 11:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.86%EV -12.03%E -8.59%K -30.07%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.49%EV -15.74%E -3.00%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.65%EV -15.54%E -3.89%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-10-13 11:43 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 59.40%EV -12.03%E -8.59%K -30.07%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 17.51%EV -23.77%E -5.00%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.10%EV -23.99%E -6.66%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 20.3% | 2026-10-13 16:48 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 59.40%EV -12.03%E -8.59%K -30.07%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 17.51%EV -23.77%E -5.00%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.10%EV -23.99%E -6.66%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 20.3% | 2026-10-13 16:47 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 63.82%EV -13.29%E -9.63%K -34.96%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.45%EV -8.52%E -1.49%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.72%EV -10.26%E -2.42%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-10-13 14:03 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.89% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.63% | 1.0% | 2026-10-13 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.18% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.40% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.42% | 1.5% | 2026-10-13 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.30% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.82% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.88% | 1.9% | 2026-10-13 16:55 |