The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Rot-Weiss Essen v Alemannia Aachen

2026-11-07 13:00 UTC — 3. Liga - Germany

Head to Head

1 sportsbook (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rot-Weiss Essen (Local)

Prediction 48.65%2.06fair odd
EV -7.57%
Edge -3.98%
Kelly -8.41%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.65%48.65%48.65%48.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.901.901.901.9052.63%52.63%52.63%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Alemannia Aachen (Visit)

Prediction 25.68%3.89fair odd
EV -7.57%
Edge -2.10%
Kelly -2.91%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.68%25.68%25.68%25.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.603.603.6027.78%27.78%27.78%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.68%3.89fair odd
EV -7.57%
Edge -2.10%
Kelly -2.91%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.68%25.68%25.68%25.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.603.603.6027.78%27.78%27.78%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Rot-Weiss Essen (Local): 48.65%; Alemannia Aachen (Visit): 25.68%; Draw: 25.68%. For Alemannia Aachen (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.89. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.60, with an expected value of -7.57%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbook)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.57%E -3.98%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -7.57%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -7.57%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-26 00:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.