Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jahn Regensburg v Wehen Wiesbaden

Kickoff: 2026-10-17 12:00 UTC

Final: Jahn Regensburg 0–0 Wehen Wiesbaden

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

42 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jahn Regensburg (Local)

Prediction 35.87%2.79fair odd
EV -2.79%
Edge -1.03%
Kelly -1.63%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.17%35.93%35.91%38.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.462.432.7144.44%40.73%41.15%36.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Wehen Wiesbaden (Visit)

Prediction 37.88%2.64fair odd
EV -5.30%
Edge -2.12%
Kelly -3.53%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.28%37.80%37.79%38.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.432.452.5044.44%41.10%40.82%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.25%3.81fair odd
EV -2.88%
Edge -0.777%
Kelly -1.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.81%26.26%26.30%27.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.493.503.7031.25%28.67%28.57%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jahn Regensburg (Local): 35.87%; Wehen Wiesbaden (Visit): 37.88%; Draw: 26.25%. For Jahn Regensburg (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.79. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.71, with an expected value of -2.79%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 35.17%EV -2.79%E -1.03%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.58%EV -6.44%E -2.61%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.25%EV -4.71%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-17 11:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.72%EV -5.30%E -2.01%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.72%EV -5.30%E -2.12%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -6.81%E -1.92%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-17 11:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.72%EV -5.30%E -2.01%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.72%EV -5.30%E -2.12%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -6.81%E -1.92%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-17 11:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.74%E -2.59%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.19%E -2.94%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -5.50%E -1.53%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-17 11:55
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.74%E -2.59%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -9.09%E -3.79%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -5.50%E -1.53%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-17 11:35
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -6.74%E -2.59%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -9.09%E -3.79%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.13%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-17 11:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.34%EV -8.53%E -3.35%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -9.09%E -3.79%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -2.88%E -0.777%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-17 11:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -8.53%E -3.35%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -7.19%E -2.94%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.13%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-17 11:39
Codere (IT)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -8.53%E -3.35%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.78%EV -7.95%E -3.27%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.13%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-17 11:50
Betsson🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -8.53%E -3.35%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.73%EV -8.33%E -3.44%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -9.44%E -2.74%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-17 11:40
NordicBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -8.53%E -3.35%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.73%EV -8.33%E -3.44%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -9.44%E -2.74%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-17 11:40
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -8.53%E -3.35%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -9.09%E -3.79%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -10.75%E -3.16%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-17 11:55
Coolbet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -10.33%E -4.13%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -5.30%E -2.12%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -5.50%E -1.53%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-17 11:44
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.33%E -4.13%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -9.09%E -3.79%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -10.75%E -3.16%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-17 11:45
1xBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -10.33%E -4.13%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 38.22%EV -11.36%E -4.85%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.00%EV -9.70%E -2.82%K -3.98%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-17 11:35
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -12.12%E -4.95%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -7.19%E -2.94%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -13.38%E -4.05%K -5.82%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-17 11:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -12.12%E -4.95%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -7.19%E -2.94%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -13.38%E -4.05%K -5.82%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-17 11:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -12.12%E -4.95%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -7.19%E -2.94%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -13.38%E -4.05%K -5.82%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-17 11:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.78%EV -12.84%E -5.28%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -5.30%E -2.12%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -5.50%E -1.53%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-14 17:20
TABtouch🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.78%EV -12.84%E -5.28%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -5.30%E -2.12%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -5.50%E -1.53%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-14 17:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.78%EV -12.84%E -5.28%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -5.30%E -2.12%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -5.50%E -1.53%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-14 17:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.78%EV -12.84%E -5.28%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -5.30%E -2.12%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -5.50%E -1.53%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-14 17:20
Grosvenor🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.78%EV -12.84%E -5.28%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -5.30%E -2.12%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -5.50%E -1.53%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-14 17:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.78%EV -12.84%E -5.28%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -5.30%E -2.12%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -5.50%E -1.53%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-14 17:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.78%EV -12.84%E -5.28%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -5.30%E -2.12%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -5.50%E -1.53%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-14 17:19
Casumo🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.78%EV -12.84%E -5.28%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -5.30%E -2.12%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -5.50%E -1.53%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-14 17:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.78%EV -12.84%E -5.28%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -5.30%E -2.12%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -5.50%E -1.53%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-14 17:19
Unibet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.78%EV -12.84%E -5.28%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -5.30%E -2.12%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -5.50%E -1.53%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-14 17:20
Bovada🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.38%EV -13.91%E -5.80%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.62%EV -7.19%E -2.94%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.00%EV -9.44%E -2.74%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-17 11:38
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -13.91%E -5.80%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -7.19%E -2.94%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -10.75%E -3.16%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-17 04:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -13.91%E -5.80%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -7.19%E -2.94%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -10.75%E -3.16%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-17 04:29
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -13.91%E -5.80%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -7.19%E -2.94%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -10.75%E -3.16%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-17 04:30
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -13.91%E -5.80%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -7.19%E -2.94%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -10.75%E -3.16%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-17 04:30
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.23%EV -13.91%E -5.80%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.23%EV -9.09%E -3.79%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -8.13%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-17 11:45
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.23%EV -13.91%E -5.80%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.23%EV -9.09%E -3.79%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -8.13%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-17 11:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.43%EV -14.63%E -6.15%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.12%EV -9.09%E -3.79%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -8.13%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-17 11:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.76%EV -15.71%E -6.68%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.52%EV -7.95%E -3.27%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.72%EV -9.44%E -2.74%K -3.85%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-14 17:19
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.66%EV -17.50%E -7.61%K -13.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.86%EV -10.98%E -4.67%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.48%EV -10.75%E -3.16%K -4.48%G +0.000%15.4%2026-10-17 11:35
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.55%EV -17.50%E -7.61%K -13.46%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.28%EV -9.84%E -4.14%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.17%EV -13.38%E -4.05%K -5.82%G +0.000%15.8%2026-10-17 11:45
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.10%EV -19.29%E -8.57%K -15.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.10%EV -14.77%E -6.56%K -11.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.81%EV -5.50%E -1.53%K -2.12%G +0.000%16.7%2026-10-17 11:44
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 36.99%EV -19.29%E -8.57%K -15.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 36.99%EV -14.77%E -6.56%K -11.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.01%EV -16.00%E -5.00%K -7.27%G +0.000%20.1%2026-10-17 11:39
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 36.99%EV -19.29%E -8.57%K -15.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 36.99%EV -14.77%E -6.56%K -11.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.01%EV -16.00%E -5.00%K -7.27%G +0.000%20.1%2026-10-17 11:38
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.06%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.60%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.34%1.2%2026-10-17 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.06%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.60%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.34%1.2%2026-10-17 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.06%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.60%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.34%1.2%2026-10-17 11:55