The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Jahn Regensburg v TSV Havelse

2026-10-10 12:00 UTC — 3. Liga - Germany

Head to Head

37 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jahn Regensburg (Local)

Prediction 57.93%1.73fair odd
EV -6.73%
Edge -4.18%
Kelly -11.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.85%58.22%58.05%61.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.561.561.6166.67%64.18%64.10%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

TSV Havelse (Visit)

Prediction 20.80%4.81fair odd
EV +3.98%
Edge +0.796%
Kelly +0.994%
Growth +0.040%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.45%20.58%20.70%22.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.384.405.0026.67%22.81%22.73%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.27%4.70fair odd
EV -2.14%
Edge -0.465%
Kelly -0.594%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.05%21.20%21.24%22.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.284.304.6025.00%23.37%23.26%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Jahn Regensburg (Local): 57.93%; TSV Havelse (Visit): 20.80%; Draw: 21.27%. For TSV Havelse (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.81. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 5.00, producing a positive expected value of +3.98%.

Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.50%EV -13.10%E -8.74%K -26.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV +3.98%E +0.796%K +0.994%G +0.040%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -2.14%E -0.465%K -0.594%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-03 21:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -9.05%E -5.76%K -15.88%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -4.34%E -0.944%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV -8.52%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-05 12:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -9.05%E -5.76%K -15.88%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -4.34%E -0.944%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV -8.52%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-05 12:05
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -9.05%E -5.76%K -15.88%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -4.34%E -0.944%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV -8.52%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-05 12:05
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.76%EV -9.63%E -6.17%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.93%EV -4.34%E -0.944%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV -8.52%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-05 12:04
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.76%EV -9.63%E -6.17%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.93%EV -4.34%E -0.944%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV -8.52%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-05 12:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.76%EV -9.63%E -6.17%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.93%EV -4.34%E -0.944%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV -8.52%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-05 12:05
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.76%EV -9.63%E -6.17%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.93%EV -4.34%E -0.944%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV -8.52%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-05 12:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.76%EV -9.63%E -6.17%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.93%EV -4.34%E -0.944%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV -8.52%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-05 12:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.76%EV -9.63%E -6.17%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.93%EV -4.34%E -0.944%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV -8.52%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-05 12:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.76%EV -9.63%E -6.17%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.93%EV -4.34%E -0.944%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV -8.52%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-05 12:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.51%EV -11.37%E -7.43%K -21.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -4.34%E -0.944%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -6.39%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-05 07:15
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -7.89%E -4.96%K -13.37%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -6.42%E -1.43%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -4.27%E -0.948%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-04 10:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.89%EV -8.47%E -5.36%K -14.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -6.42%E -1.43%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -10.65%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-05 12:01
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.74%EV -8.47%E -5.36%K -14.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -6.42%E -1.43%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.98%EV -11.71%E -2.82%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-05 12:00
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.74%EV -8.47%E -5.36%K -14.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -6.42%E -1.43%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.98%EV -11.71%E -2.82%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-05 12:00
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.25%EV -11.37%E -7.43%K -21.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -6.42%E -1.43%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.60%EV -6.39%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-04 10:00
1xBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.73%EV -10.79%E -7.00%K -19.98%G +0.000%4.47I 22.37%NM 20.23%EV -7.04%E -1.58%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.03%EV -8.52%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-05 10:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.48%EV -9.05%E -5.76%K -15.88%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -8.50%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.01%EV -12.78%E -3.12%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-05 12:49
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.18%EV -13.10%E -8.74%K -26.21%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.18%EV -8.50%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.64%EV -8.52%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-04 10:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 58.43%EV -12.53%E -8.29%K -24.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.05%EV -8.50%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.52%EV -12.78%E -3.12%K -4.12%G +0.000%13.3%2026-10-05 12:04
Pinnacle🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.82%EV -6.73%E -4.18%K -11.04%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.40%EV -9.54%E -2.19%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.48I 22.32%NM 20.78%EV -4.69%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-04 10:05
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.59%EV -9.05%E -5.76%K -15.88%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -9.96%E -2.30%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.53%EV -10.65%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-04 10:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -6.73%E -4.18%K -11.04%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.41%EV -10.58%E -2.46%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.41%EV -8.52%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-05 04:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -6.73%E -4.18%K -11.04%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.41%EV -10.58%E -2.46%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.41%EV -8.52%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-05 04:50
Bovada🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.66%EV -9.63%E -6.17%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.92%EV -10.58%E -2.46%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.42%EV -10.65%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-05 12:32
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.59%EV -9.05%E -5.76%K -15.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.53%EV -12.66%E -3.01%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -7.88%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-04 21:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.59%EV -9.05%E -5.76%K -15.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.53%EV -12.66%E -3.01%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -7.88%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-04 21:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.59%EV -9.05%E -5.76%K -15.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.53%EV -12.66%E -3.01%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -7.88%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-04 21:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.38%EV -9.63%E -6.17%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -12.66%E -3.01%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -10.65%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-05 12:01
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 57.73%EV -13.10%E -8.74%K -26.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.62%EV -12.66%E -3.01%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.65%EV -14.90%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%15.5%2026-10-04 10:20
Suprabets🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 56.94%EV -10.21%E -6.59%K -18.56%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.53%EV -14.74%E -3.59%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.53%EV -12.78%E -3.12%K -4.12%G +0.000%13.3%2026-10-04 10:22
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.29%EV -10.21%E -6.59%K -18.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -16.82%E -4.20%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -7.88%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-04 10:00
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.29%EV -10.21%E -6.59%K -18.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -16.82%E -4.20%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -7.88%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-04 10:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.29%EV -10.21%E -6.59%K -18.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -16.82%E -4.20%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -7.88%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-04 10:00
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.29%EV -10.21%E -6.59%K -18.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -16.82%E -4.20%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -7.88%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-04 10:00
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 55.85%EV -11.37%E -7.43%K -21.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.79%EV -22.02%E -5.87%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.36%EV -14.90%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%17.0%2026-10-04 10:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.15I 86.96%NM 33.14%1.13I 88.50%NM 33.72%1.15I 86.96%NM 33.14%162.4%2026-10-05 13:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.15I 86.96%NM 33.14%1.13I 88.50%NM 33.72%1.15I 86.96%NM 33.14%162.4%2026-10-05 13:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.15I 86.96%NM 33.14%1.13I 88.50%NM 33.72%1.15I 86.96%NM 33.14%162.4%2026-10-05 13:45