Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jahn Regensburg v TSV Havelse

2026-10-10 12:00 UTC — 3. Liga - Germany

Head to Head

1 sportsbook (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jahn Regensburg (Local)

Prediction 61.45%1.63fair odd
EV -7.83%
Edge -5.22%
Kelly -15.66%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.45%61.45%61.45%61.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.501.501.5066.67%66.67%66.67%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

TSV Havelse (Visit)

Prediction 18.07%5.53fair odd
EV -7.83%
Edge -1.54%
Kelly -1.91%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.07%18.07%18.07%18.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.105.105.105.1019.61%19.61%19.61%19.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 20.48%4.88fair odd
EV -7.83%
Edge -1.74%
Kelly -2.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.48%20.48%20.48%20.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.504.504.504.5022.22%22.22%22.22%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Jahn Regensburg (Local): 61.45%; TSV Havelse (Visit): 18.07%; Draw: 20.48%. For TSV Havelse (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.53. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 5.10, with an expected value of -7.83%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbook)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.45%EV -7.83%E -5.22%K -15.66%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -7.83%E -1.54%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -7.83%E -1.74%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-19 20:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.