L’École des cotesFrançais
Jahn Regensburg v TSG Hoffenheim II
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Jahn Regensburg (Local)
Prévision 48.24%2.07cote équitable
EV -1.58%
Avantage -0.775%
Kelly -1.52%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.04
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.93%48.76%47.81%53.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.671.881.882.0459.88%53.28%53.19%49.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
TSG Hoffenheim II (Visiteur)
Prévision 28.56%3.50cote équitable
EV +9.95%
Avantage +2.58%
Kelly +3.49%
Croissance +0.347%
avec la cote maximale 3.85
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.44%28.12%28.90%30.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.233.203.8535.71%30.93%31.25%25.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 23.20%4.31cote équitable
EV -0.254%
Avantage -0.059%
Kelly -0.077%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.30
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.78%23.12%23.29%25.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.783.754.3031.25%26.44%26.67%23.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (39 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.16%EV -14.61%E -8.25%K -18.97%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV +9.95%E +2.58%K +3.49%G +0.347% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -2.57%E -0.613%K -0.804%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 11:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.91%EV -14.61%E -8.25%K -18.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV +5.67%E +1.53%K +2.10%G +0.119% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -0.254%E -0.059%K -0.077%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 11:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.90%EV -12.68%E -7.00%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV +4.24%E +1.16%K +1.60%G +0.068% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -2.57%E -0.613%K -0.804%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 11:54 |
| PlayUp | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.71%EV -15.57%E -8.90%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV +4.24%E +1.16%K +1.60%G +0.068% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.50%EV -10.69%E -2.78%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-02 11:55 |
| Betway | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -14.61%E -8.25%K -18.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -0.044%E -0.013%K -0.018%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -2.57%E -0.613%K -0.804%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 11:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.33%EV -9.30%E -4.95%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.12%EV -4.33%E -1.29%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.55%EV -14.17%E -3.83%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-02 11:55 |
| Unibet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.16%EV -9.30%E -4.95%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -4.33%E -1.29%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -15.33%E -4.20%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-02 11:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.16%EV -9.30%E -4.95%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -4.33%E -1.29%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -15.33%E -4.20%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-02 11:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.16%EV -9.30%E -4.95%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -4.33%E -1.29%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -15.33%E -4.20%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-02 11:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.16%EV -9.30%E -4.95%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -4.33%E -1.29%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -15.33%E -4.20%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-02 11:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.16%EV -9.30%E -4.95%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -4.33%E -1.29%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -15.33%E -4.20%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-02 11:56 |
| Casumo | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.16%EV -9.30%E -4.95%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -4.33%E -1.29%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -15.33%E -4.20%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-02 11:56 |
| Grosvenor | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.16%EV -9.30%E -4.95%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -4.33%E -1.29%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -15.33%E -4.20%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-02 11:55 |
| TABtouch | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.16%EV -9.30%E -4.95%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -4.33%E -1.29%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -15.33%E -4.20%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-02 11:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.16%EV -9.30%E -4.95%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -4.33%E -1.29%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -15.33%E -4.20%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-02 11:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.16%EV -9.30%E -4.95%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -4.33%E -1.29%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -15.33%E -4.20%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-02 11:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.83%EV -8.34%E -4.39%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -7.18%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.63%EV -4.89%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-02 11:56 |
| Pinnacle | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.75%EV -1.58%E -0.775%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.71%EV -8.33%E -2.59%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.55%EV -6.05%E -1.49%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-02 11:35 |
| Coolbet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -5.92%E -3.04%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -8.61%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -7.21%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 11:56 |
| Fanatics | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -7.85%E -4.11%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.61%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -7.21%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 11:56 |
| BoyleSports | 1.67I 59.88%NM 50.99%EV -19.43%E -11.64%K -29.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.61%EV -8.61%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.41%EV -11.85%E -3.12%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 17.4% | 2026-05-02 11:55 |
| Bovada | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.56%EV -7.85%E -4.11%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -10.04%E -3.19%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.60%EV -10.69%E -2.78%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-02 11:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.34%EV -3.51%E -1.76%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -11.47%E -3.70%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -9.53%E -2.44%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-02 11:54 |
| theScore Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.20%EV -7.85%E -4.11%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -11.47%E -3.70%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -11.85%E -3.12%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| Neds | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -7.85%E -4.11%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.47%E -3.70%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -14.17%E -3.83%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-02 11:56 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -7.85%E -4.11%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.47%E -3.70%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -14.17%E -3.83%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-02 11:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -7.85%E -4.11%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.47%E -3.70%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -14.17%E -3.83%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-02 11:56 |
| Coral | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -7.85%E -4.11%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.47%E -3.70%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -14.17%E -3.83%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-02 11:55 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -10.75%E -5.81%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -11.47%E -3.70%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -11.85%E -3.12%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-02 11:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -10.75%E -5.81%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -11.47%E -3.70%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -11.85%E -3.12%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-02 11:56 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -10.75%E -5.81%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -11.47%E -3.70%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -11.85%E -3.12%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-02 11:55 |
| Bet Victor | 1.70I 58.82%NM 49.16%EV -17.98%E -10.58%K -25.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 26.96%EV -11.47%E -3.70%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.88%EV -18.81%E -5.37%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 19.7% | 2026-05-02 11:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.43%EV -2.55%E -1.26%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -12.90%E -4.23%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -13.01%E -3.47%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 04:10 |
| Suprabets | 1.99I 50.25%NM 45.76%EV -3.99%E -2.01%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.15%EV -13.75%E -4.55%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.09%EV -12.32%E -3.26%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 11:37 |
| betfred_uk | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%EV -5.92%E -3.04%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -14.32%E -4.77%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -13.01%E -3.47%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-30 23:58 |
| Paddy Power | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.74%EV -7.85%E -4.11%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -14.32%E -4.77%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.50%EV -11.85%E -3.12%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Sky Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.37%EV -7.85%E -4.11%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.88%EV -17.18%E -5.92%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.76%EV -18.81%E -5.37%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 46.34%EV -10.27%E -5.52%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.72%EV -17.18%E -5.92%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.94%EV -16.49%E -4.58%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-05-02 09:01 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 44.93%EV -11.71%E -6.40%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.37%EV -20.04%E -7.16%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 25.70%EV -25.77%E -8.05%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 21.6% | 2026-05-02 09:30 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (3)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.97% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.63% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.39% | 1.5% | 2026-05-02 11:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.11% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.56% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.33% | 1.8% | 2026-05-02 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.24% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.27% | 2.1% | 2026-05-02 11:56 |