Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hansa Rostock v SV Meppen

Kickoff: 2026-10-13 17:00 UTC

Final: Hansa Rostock 0–2 SV Meppen

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

43 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hansa Rostock (Local)

Prediction 64.21%1.56fair odd
EV -5.61%
Edge -3.81%
Kelly -11.93%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.47

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.16%64.35%64.41%66.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.421.441.4775.19%70.38%69.44%68.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

SV Meppen (Visit)

Prediction 15.45%6.47fair odd
EV +0.879%
Edge +0.135%
Kelly +0.159%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 6.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.19%15.45%15.29%17.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.755.675.606.5321.05%17.65%17.86%15.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 20.34%4.92fair odd
EV -0.345%
Edge -0.070%
Kelly -0.089%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.76%20.21%20.30%21.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.494.504.9025.64%22.26%22.22%20.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hansa Rostock (Local): 64.21%; SV Meppen (Visit): 15.45%; Draw: 20.34%. For SV Meppen (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.47. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.53, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.879%.

Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.35%EV -5.61%E -3.81%K -11.93%G +0.000%6.53I 15.31%NM 14.49%EV +0.879%E +0.135%K +0.159%G +0.001%4.47I 22.37%NM 21.16%EV -9.09%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-13 16:50
1xBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.97%EV -13.31%E -9.86%K -38.03%G +0.000%6.37I 15.70%NM 14.19%EV -1.59%E -0.250%K -0.297%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.84%EV -2.38%E -0.496%K -0.626%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-13 15:42
Coolbet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.84%EV -10.10%E -7.21%K -25.25%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.75%EV -3.45%E -0.551%K -0.656%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -3.40%E -0.715%K -0.906%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-13 16:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.65%EV -5.61%E -3.81%K -11.93%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.09%EV -4.22%E -0.680%K -0.811%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -10.51%E -2.39%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-13 16:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.84%EV -8.82%E -6.21%K -20.99%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.08%EV -4.22%E -0.680%K -0.811%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -0.345%E -0.070%K -0.089%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-13 16:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.80%EV -6.25%E -4.28%K -13.58%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.02%EV -4.22%E -0.680%K -0.811%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.17%EV -10.51%E -2.39%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-13 16:44
Betway🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.43%EV -6.89%E -4.75%K -15.31%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -7.31%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.24%EV -11.94%E -2.76%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-13 16:54
theScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.23%EV -12.67%E -9.32%K -35.19%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.01%EV -7.31%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.76%EV -2.38%E -0.496%K -0.626%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-13 16:49
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -10.10%E -7.21%K -25.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -7.31%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -11.94%E -2.76%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-13 16:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -10.10%E -7.21%K -25.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -7.31%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -11.94%E -2.76%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-13 16:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -10.10%E -7.21%K -25.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -7.31%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -11.94%E -2.76%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-13 16:34
betfred_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.69%EV -12.67%E -9.32%K -35.19%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -7.31%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -6.45%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-13 16:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.21%EV -6.89%E -4.75%K -15.31%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -11.17%E -1.94%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -3.40%E -0.715%K -0.906%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-13 16:54
Fanatics🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -7.53%E -5.23%K -17.12%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -11.17%E -1.94%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -8.48%E -1.88%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-13 16:50
Betsson🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -7.53%E -5.23%K -17.12%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.14%EV -11.94%E -2.10%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -6.45%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-13 16:55
NordicBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -7.53%E -5.23%K -17.12%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.14%EV -11.94%E -2.10%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -6.45%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-13 16:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.53%EV -6.89%E -4.75%K -15.31%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.45%EV -13.49%E -2.41%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -6.45%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-13 15:40
Unibet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.53%EV -6.89%E -4.75%K -15.31%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.45%EV -13.49%E -2.41%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -6.45%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-13 15:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.53%EV -6.89%E -4.75%K -15.31%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.45%EV -13.49%E -2.41%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -6.45%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-13 15:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.69%EV -7.53%E -5.23%K -17.12%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.38%EV -13.49%E -2.41%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -6.45%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-13 15:40
Casumo🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.69%EV -7.53%E -5.23%K -17.12%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.38%EV -13.49%E -2.41%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -6.45%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-13 15:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.69%EV -7.53%E -5.23%K -17.12%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.38%EV -13.49%E -2.41%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -6.45%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-13 15:39
TABtouch🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.69%EV -7.53%E -5.23%K -17.12%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.38%EV -13.49%E -2.41%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -6.45%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-13 15:39
Grosvenor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.69%EV -7.53%E -5.23%K -17.12%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.38%EV -13.49%E -2.41%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -6.45%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-13 15:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.69%EV -7.53%E -5.23%K -17.12%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.38%EV -13.49%E -2.41%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -6.45%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-13 15:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.69%EV -7.53%E -5.23%K -17.12%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.38%EV -13.49%E -2.41%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -6.45%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-13 15:39
Codere (IT)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.69%EV -7.53%E -5.23%K -17.12%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.38%EV -13.49%E -2.41%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -6.45%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-13 16:55
Bovada🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 63.60%EV -9.46%E -6.71%K -23.07%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.01%EV -13.49%E -2.41%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.38%EV -10.51%E -2.39%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-13 16:48
Winamax (DE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.28%EV -7.53%E -5.23%K -17.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -15.03%E -2.73%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.89%EV -0.345%E -0.070%K -0.089%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-13 16:54
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.77%EV -6.89%E -4.75%K -15.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -15.03%E -2.73%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.68%EV -10.51%E -2.39%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-13 16:54
LeoVegas🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.54%EV -8.82%E -6.21%K -20.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.41%EV -15.03%E -2.73%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.05%EV -8.48%E -1.88%K -2.42%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-13 16:54
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -10.10%E -7.21%K -25.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -15.03%E -2.73%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -11.94%E -2.76%K -3.58%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-13 16:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -10.10%E -7.21%K -25.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -15.03%E -2.73%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -11.94%E -2.76%K -3.58%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-13 16:55
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 62.98%EV -10.10%E -7.21%K -25.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -15.03%E -2.73%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -14.58%E -3.47%K -4.56%G +0.000%13.4%2026-10-13 16:49
Sky Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 65.05%EV -14.60%E -10.97%K -44.23%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.73%EV -15.03%E -2.73%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.22%EV -8.48%E -1.88%K -2.42%G +0.000%15.6%2026-10-13 16:02
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.39%EV -10.10%E -7.21%K -25.25%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.44%EV -16.58%E -3.07%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.17%EV -10.51%E -2.39%K -3.09%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-13 15:39
SportsBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 63.26%EV -10.74%E -7.73%K -27.55%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.28%EV -16.58%E -3.07%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.45%EV -12.55%E -2.92%K -3.80%G +0.000%13.7%2026-10-13 16:54
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.44%EV -7.53%E -5.23%K -17.12%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.13%EV -18.89%E -3.60%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.43%EV -10.51%E -2.39%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-13 16:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.44%EV -7.53%E -5.23%K -17.12%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.13%EV -18.89%E -3.60%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.43%EV -10.51%E -2.39%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-13 16:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.44%EV -7.53%E -5.23%K -17.12%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.13%EV -18.89%E -3.60%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.43%EV -10.51%E -2.39%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-13 16:54
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.44%EV -7.53%E -5.23%K -17.12%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.13%EV -18.89%E -3.60%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.43%EV -10.51%E -2.39%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-13 16:55
betano_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 61.16%EV -12.67%E -9.32%K -35.19%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 17.51%EV -26.62%E -5.60%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.33%EV -20.68%E -5.30%K -7.13%G +0.000%20.2%2026-10-13 16:47
Bet Victor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 61.16%EV -12.67%E -9.32%K -35.19%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 17.51%EV -26.62%E -5.60%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.33%EV -20.68%E -5.30%K -7.13%G +0.000%20.2%2026-10-13 16:48
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.72%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81%1.0%2026-10-13 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.72%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81%1.0%2026-10-13 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.72%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81%1.0%2026-10-13 16:55