The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Fortuna Düsseldorf v SV Meppen

Kickoff: 2026-10-30 18:00 UTC

Final: Fortuna Düsseldorf 0–0 SV Meppen

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

43 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Fortuna Düsseldorf (Local)

Prediction 50.25%1.99fair odd
EV -5.54%
Edge -2.95%
Kelly -6.29%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.25%50.29%50.15%52.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.791.801.8859.88%55.84%55.56%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

SV Meppen (Visit)

Prediction 24.80%4.03fair odd
EV +1.70%
Edge +0.414%
Kelly +0.548%
Growth +0.009%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.27%24.72%24.95%26.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.683.604.1030.77%27.17%27.78%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.95%4.01fair odd
EV -2.69%
Edge -0.691%
Kelly -0.929%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.50%24.99%24.90%26.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.663.653.9029.41%27.29%27.40%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fortuna Düsseldorf (Local): 50.25%; SV Meppen (Visit): 24.80%; Draw: 24.95%. For SV Meppen (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.03. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.70%.

Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.74%EV -5.54%E -2.95%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.27%EV +1.70%E +0.414%K +0.548%G +0.009%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.99%EV -8.43%E -2.30%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-30 17:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.33%EV -6.04%E -3.23%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -0.782%E -0.195%K -0.261%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -10.18%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-30 17:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.33%EV -6.04%E -3.23%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -0.782%E -0.195%K -0.261%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -10.18%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-30 17:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.73%EV -11.07%E -6.25%K -14.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -0.782%E -0.195%K -0.261%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -2.69%E -0.691%K -0.929%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-30 17:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.23%EV -11.57%E -6.57%K -15.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -3.26%E -0.836%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -5.19%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-28 09:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.23%EV -11.57%E -6.57%K -15.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -3.26%E -0.836%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -5.19%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-28 09:15
TABtouch🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.23%EV -11.57%E -6.57%K -15.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -3.26%E -0.836%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -5.19%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-28 09:15
Grosvenor🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.23%EV -11.57%E -6.57%K -15.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -3.26%E -0.836%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -5.19%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-28 09:15
Casumo🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.23%EV -11.57%E -6.57%K -15.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -3.26%E -0.836%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -5.19%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-28 09:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.23%EV -11.57%E -6.57%K -15.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -3.26%E -0.836%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -5.19%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-28 09:14
Unibet (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.23%EV -11.57%E -6.57%K -15.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -3.26%E -0.836%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -5.19%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-28 09:15
Unibet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.23%EV -11.57%E -6.57%K -15.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -3.26%E -0.836%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -5.19%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-28 09:14
Svenska Spel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.23%EV -11.57%E -6.57%K -15.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -3.26%E -0.836%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -5.19%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-28 09:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.23%EV -11.57%E -6.57%K -15.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -3.26%E -0.836%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -5.19%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-28 09:15
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -9.56%E -5.31%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -5.74%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -10.18%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-30 17:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.28%EV -14.58%E -8.58%K -20.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -6.98%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.02%EV -7.68%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-28 09:15
Codere (IT)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.58%EV -8.55%E -4.70%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -8.22%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -6.44%E -1.72%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-30 17:40
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.76%EV -11.07%E -6.25%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.28%EV -8.22%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -10.18%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-30 17:50
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.49%EV -7.05%E -3.81%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -9.46%E -2.59%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -10.18%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-30 17:50
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.49%EV -7.05%E -3.81%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -9.46%E -2.59%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -10.18%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-30 17:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.01%EV -6.54%E -3.52%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.84%EV -10.70%E -2.97%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.16%EV -3.94%E -1.02%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-30 17:50
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -6.04%E -3.23%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -10.70%E -2.97%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -5.19%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-30 17:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.25%EV -5.54%E -2.95%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -10.70%E -2.97%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -7.68%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-30 17:50
Coolbet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.41%EV -8.05%E -4.40%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -10.70%E -2.97%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.96%EV -3.94%E -1.02%K -1.38%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-30 17:50
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.09%EV -11.07%E -6.25%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -10.70%E -2.97%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -5.19%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-30 17:50
1xBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.93%EV -9.06%E -5.00%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -10.70%E -2.97%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 24.97%EV -9.68%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-30 17:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -9.56%E -5.31%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.70%E -2.97%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.18%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-30 17:35
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -9.56%E -5.31%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.70%E -2.97%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.18%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-30 17:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -9.56%E -5.31%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.70%E -2.97%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.18%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-30 17:35
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -9.56%E -5.31%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.70%E -2.97%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.18%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-30 17:40
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -12.07%E -6.90%K -16.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -10.70%E -2.97%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -7.68%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-30 17:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.70%EV -12.07%E -6.90%K -16.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -10.70%E -2.97%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -10.18%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-30 17:50
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -9.56%E -5.31%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.35%EV -11.94%E -3.36%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.66%EV -8.93%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-30 17:50
PlayUp🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -7.05%E -3.81%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -13.18%E -3.77%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -10.18%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-30 17:50
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -9.56%E -5.31%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.18%E -3.77%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -10.18%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-30 17:50
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -7.05%E -3.81%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -13.18%E -3.77%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -15.17%E -4.46%K -6.32%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-30 17:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -7.05%E -3.81%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -13.18%E -3.77%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -15.17%E -4.46%K -6.32%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-30 17:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -7.05%E -3.81%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -13.18%E -3.77%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -15.17%E -4.46%K -6.32%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-30 17:50
SportsBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 50.14%EV -12.57%E -7.23%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.93%EV -13.18%E -3.77%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.93%EV -12.67%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%14.6%2026-10-30 17:50
Sky Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 49.64%EV -12.07%E -6.90%K -16.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -15.66%E -4.61%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.82%EV -12.67%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%15.1%2026-10-30 17:50
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 51.19%EV -16.09%E -9.64%K -24.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.31%EV -19.39%E -5.96%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.50%EV -5.19%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%17.0%2026-10-30 06:19
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 49.87%EV -16.09%E -9.64%K -24.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.63%EV -19.39%E -5.96%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.50%EV -15.17%E -4.46%K -6.32%G +0.000%20.1%2026-10-30 17:50
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 49.87%EV -16.09%E -9.64%K -24.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.63%EV -19.39%E -5.96%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.50%EV -15.17%E -4.46%K -6.32%G +0.000%20.1%2026-10-30 17:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.95I 51.28%NM 50.94%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.83%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.23%0.7%2026-10-30 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.95I 51.28%NM 50.94%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.83%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.23%0.7%2026-10-30 17:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.93I 51.81%NM 51.20%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%1.2%2026-10-30 17:50

Discuss this game on odds.forum

No published comments yet.