Language:English
Fortuna Düsseldorf v SC Verl
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Fortuna Düsseldorf (Local)
Prediction 49.61%2.02fair odd
EV -5.75%
Edge -3.03%
Kelly -6.39%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.11%49.63%49.65%52.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.811.801.9059.52%55.33%55.56%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
SC Verl (Visit)
Prediction 25.49%3.92fair odd
EV -0.325%
Edge -0.083%
Kelly -0.112%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.63%25.42%25.53%26.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.123.613.603.9132.05%27.67%27.78%25.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.90%4.02fair odd
EV -2.88%
Edge -0.739%
Kelly -0.994%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.58%24.95%24.82%26.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.663.653.9030.30%27.31%27.40%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fortuna Düsseldorf (Local): 49.61%; SC Verl (Visit): 25.49%; Draw: 24.90%. For SC Verl (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.92. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.91, with an expected value of -0.325%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.95%EV -5.75%E -3.03%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -10.78%E -3.08%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -5.37%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-11 17:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.63%EV -5.75%E -3.03%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -10.78%E -3.08%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -7.86%E -2.12%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-11 17:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.30%EV -5.75%E -3.03%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -9.50%E -2.68%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -11.60%E -3.27%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-11 17:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.30%EV -5.75%E -3.03%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -9.50%E -2.68%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -11.60%E -3.27%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-11 17:02 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.80%EV -6.25%E -3.30%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -5.68%E -1.53%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -5.37%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-11 17:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.80%EV -6.25%E -3.30%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -5.68%E -1.53%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -5.37%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-11 17:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.60%EV -6.25%E -3.30%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -10.78%E -3.08%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-11 17:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.55%EV -7.24%E -3.87%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -8.23%E -2.29%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -6.62%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-11 17:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -7.24%E -3.87%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.23%E -2.29%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.35%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-11 16:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.25%EV -8.23%E -4.45%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 24.25%EV -0.325%E -0.083%K -0.112%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.50%EV -3.63%E -0.938%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-11 17:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -8.23%E -4.45%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -8.23%E -2.29%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -12.84%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-11 17:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.57%EV -8.23%E -4.45%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.82%EV -14.60%E -4.36%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.62%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-11 17:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -9.22%E -5.04%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -3.13%E -0.824%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.37%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-11 17:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -9.22%E -5.04%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.23%E -2.29%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -5.37%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-11 16:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -9.22%E -5.04%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -8.23%E -2.29%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -12.84%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-11 17:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -9.22%E -5.04%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -10.78%E -3.08%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -10.35%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-11 17:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -9.22%E -5.04%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -8.23%E -2.29%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -12.84%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-11 17:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -9.22%E -5.04%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -8.23%E -2.29%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -12.84%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-11 17:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -9.22%E -5.04%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -8.23%E -2.29%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -12.84%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-11 17:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -10.71%E -5.95%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -8.23%E -2.29%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -7.86%E -2.12%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-11 17:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -10.71%E -5.95%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -8.23%E -2.29%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.35%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-11 17:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -10.71%E -5.95%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -10.78%E -3.08%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -12.84%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-10-11 17:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -10.71%E -5.95%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -10.78%E -3.08%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -12.84%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-10-11 16:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -10.71%E -5.95%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -10.78%E -3.08%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -12.84%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-10-11 16:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -10.71%E -5.95%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -10.78%E -3.08%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -12.84%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-10-11 16:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -10.71%E -5.95%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -10.78%E -3.08%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -12.84%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-10-11 16:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.20%EV -10.71%E -5.95%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.52%EV -13.33%E -3.92%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.29%EV -17.82%E -5.40%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-10-11 17:13 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 48.71%EV -11.21%E -6.26%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.27%EV -12.05%E -3.49%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.02%EV -16.58%E -4.95%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-10-11 17:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.79%EV -11.70%E -6.57%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 24.91%EV -7.46%E -2.06%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 24.30%EV -7.36%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-11 16:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.54%EV -13.19%E -7.54%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -1.86%E -0.482%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -2.88%E -0.739%K -0.994%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-11 16:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.54%EV -13.19%E -7.54%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -1.86%E -0.482%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -2.88%E -0.739%K -0.994%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-11 16:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.54%EV -13.19%E -7.54%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -1.86%E -0.482%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -2.88%E -0.739%K -0.994%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-11 16:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.54%EV -13.19%E -7.54%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -1.86%E -0.482%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -2.88%E -0.739%K -0.994%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-11 16:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.54%EV -13.19%E -7.54%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -1.86%E -0.482%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -2.88%E -0.739%K -0.994%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-11 16:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.54%EV -13.19%E -7.54%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -1.86%E -0.482%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -2.88%E -0.739%K -0.994%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-11 16:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.54%EV -13.19%E -7.54%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -1.86%E -0.482%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -2.88%E -0.739%K -0.994%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-11 16:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.54%EV -13.19%E -7.54%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -1.86%E -0.482%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -2.88%E -0.739%K -0.994%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-11 16:44 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.54%EV -13.19%E -7.54%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -1.86%E -0.482%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -2.88%E -0.739%K -0.994%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-11 16:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.54%EV -13.19%E -7.54%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -1.86%E -0.482%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -2.88%E -0.739%K -0.994%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-11 16:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.54%EV -14.18%E -8.20%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.97%EV -15.88%E -4.81%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.49%EV -12.84%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-10-11 17:09 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 48.43%EV -14.18%E -8.20%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.18%EV -18.42%E -5.76%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.39%EV -17.82%E -5.40%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 19.4% | 2026-10-11 17:23 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 48.11%EV -14.18%E -8.20%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 26.67%EV -20.46%E -6.56%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.22%EV -17.82%E -5.40%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-10-11 17:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.74%EV -16.66%E -9.92%K -24.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -4.40%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -6.62%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-10-11 16:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.93% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.35% | 1.1% | 2026-10-11 17:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.93% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.35% | 1.1% | 2026-10-11 17:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.93% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.35% | 1.1% | 2026-10-11 17:20 |