Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Fortuna Düsseldorf v 1. FC Saarbrücken

2026-10-17 12:00 UTC — 3. Liga - Germany

Head to Head

1 sportsbook (1 in analysis )

40%

32%

28%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Fortuna Düsseldorf (Local)

Prediction 40.16%2.49fair odd

EV -7.63%

Edge -3.32%

Kelly -5.87%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

40.16%40.16%40.16%40.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.302.302.302.3043.48%43.48%43.48%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

1. FC Saarbrücken (Visit)

Prediction 31.85%3.14fair odd

EV -7.63%

Edge -2.63%

Kelly -4.02%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

31.85%31.85%31.85%31.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.902.902.902.9034.48%34.48%34.48%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.99%3.57fair odd

EV -7.63%

Edge -2.31%

Kelly -3.32%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

27.99%27.99%27.99%27.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.303.303.303.3030.30%30.30%30.30%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Fortuna Düsseldorf (Local): 40.16%; 1. FC Saarbrücken (Visit): 31.85%; Draw: 27.99%. For 1. FC Saarbrücken (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.14. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.90, with an expected value of -7.63%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbook)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
Tipico (DE)🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -7.63%E -3.32%K -5.87%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -7.63%E -2.63%K -4.02%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-10-11 20:04

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.