The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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FC Würzburger Kickers v Waldhof Mannheim

Kickoff: 2026-10-17 14:30 UTC

Final: FC Würzburger Kickers 2–0 Waldhof Mannheim

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

41 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Würzburger Kickers (Local)

Prediction 27.54%3.63fair odd
EV +1.90%
Edge +0.515%
Kelly +0.705%
Growth +0.013%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.30%27.27%27.59%29.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.283.303.7034.48%30.49%30.30%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Waldhof Mannheim (Visit)

Prediction 47.31%2.11fair odd
EV -4.42%
Edge -2.19%
Kelly -4.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.97%47.67%47.15%50.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.921.922.0254.64%52.02%52.08%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.14%3.98fair odd
EV -0.431%
Edge -0.109%
Kelly -0.146%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.96

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.02%25.07%25.26%25.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.573.553.9630.77%28.03%28.17%25.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Würzburger Kickers (Local): 27.54%; Waldhof Mannheim (Visit): 47.31%; Draw: 25.14%. For FC Würzburger Kickers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.63. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.90%.

Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV +1.90%E +0.515%K +0.705%G +0.013%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -11.52%E -6.16%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -4.45%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 14:20
Pinnacle🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.43%EV -0.850%E -0.236%K -0.327%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.55%EV -9.16%E -4.77%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.02%EV -0.431%E -0.109%K -0.146%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-17 14:20
1xBet🎯3.42I 29.24%NM 26.43%EV -5.81%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.33%EV -11.52%E -6.16%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.24%EV -9.99%E -2.79%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-17 14:20
LowVig.ag🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -6.36%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -4.42%E -2.19%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -8.23%E -2.25%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-17 14:25
BetOnline.ag🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -6.36%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -4.42%E -2.19%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -8.23%E -2.25%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-17 14:25
Unibet (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -6.36%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -7.74%E -3.97%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -6.97%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-17 14:20
Unibet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -7.73%E -2.31%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.79%EV -7.26%E -3.71%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -10.74%E -3.03%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-14 18:23
LiveScore Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -7.73%E -2.31%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.79%EV -7.26%E -3.71%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -10.74%E -3.03%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-14 18:25
Virgin Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -7.73%E -2.31%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.79%EV -7.26%E -3.71%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -10.74%E -3.03%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-14 18:25
Unibet (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -7.73%E -2.31%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -7.74%E -3.97%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -10.74%E -3.03%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-14 18:24
TABtouch🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -7.73%E -2.31%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -7.74%E -3.97%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -10.74%E -3.03%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-14 18:25
Unibet (NL)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -7.73%E -2.31%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -7.74%E -3.97%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -10.74%E -3.03%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-14 18:25
Casumo🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -7.73%E -2.31%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -7.74%E -3.97%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -10.74%E -3.03%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-14 18:25
Grosvenor🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -7.73%E -2.31%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -7.74%E -3.97%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -10.74%E -3.03%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-14 18:25
Svenska Spel🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -7.73%E -2.31%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -7.74%E -3.97%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -10.74%E -3.03%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-14 18:24
ATG (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -7.73%E -2.31%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -7.74%E -3.97%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -10.74%E -3.03%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-14 18:25
PlayUp🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -7.73%E -2.31%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.57%EV -10.10%E -5.32%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -10.74%E -3.03%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-17 14:20
Winamax (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -9.11%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.40%EV -7.26%E -3.71%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -4.45%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-17 14:20
Coolbet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -9.11%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -7.74%E -3.97%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -5.71%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-17 14:25
Codere (IT)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.11%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.76%EV -7.26%E -3.71%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -9.48%E -2.63%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-17 14:24
Fanatics🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.11%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.74%E -3.97%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.48%E -2.63%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-17 14:20
NordicBet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.61%EV -9.11%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -7.74%E -3.97%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -10.74%E -3.03%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-17 14:20
Betsson🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.61%EV -9.11%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -7.74%E -3.97%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -10.74%E -3.03%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-17 14:25
theScore Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -9.11%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.26%EV -11.52%E -6.16%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -6.97%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-17 14:25
Bovada🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -9.11%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.24%EV -9.63%E -5.04%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -10.74%E -3.03%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-17 14:19
888sport🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -10.49%E -3.23%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -9.63%E -5.04%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -12.00%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-17 14:20
888sport (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -10.49%E -3.23%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -9.63%E -5.04%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -12.00%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-17 14:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -10.49%E -3.23%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -9.63%E -5.04%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -12.00%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-17 14:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.14%EV -10.49%E -3.23%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 46.92%EV -11.05%E -5.88%K -12.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.94%EV -14.51%E -4.27%K -6.05%G +0.000%13.4%2026-10-14 18:24
LeoVegas🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.87%E -3.71%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.88%EV -9.16%E -4.77%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -9.48%E -2.63%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-17 14:24
betfred_uk🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -11.87%E -3.71%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -9.63%E -5.04%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -9.48%E -2.63%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-17 14:25
Paddy Power🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -11.87%E -3.71%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 47.85%EV -11.52%E -6.16%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.18%EV -6.97%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-17 14:25
Coral🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -11.87%E -3.71%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -9.63%E -5.04%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -12.00%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-17 14:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -11.87%E -3.71%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -9.63%E -5.04%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -12.00%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-17 14:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -11.87%E -3.71%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -9.63%E -5.04%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -12.00%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-17 14:20
Neds🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -11.87%E -3.71%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -9.63%E -5.04%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -12.00%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-17 14:18
SportsBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.20%EV -14.62%E -4.72%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 47.51%EV -12.94%E -7.03%K -15.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.28%EV -9.48%E -2.63%K -3.65%G +0.000%14.4%2026-10-17 14:25
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.23%EV -17.37%E -5.79%K -8.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 44.97%EV -7.74%E -3.97%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -14.51%E -4.27%K -6.05%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-15 15:08
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 28.60%EV -17.37%E -5.79%K -8.69%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 46.89%EV -13.41%E -7.33%K -16.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.51%EV -12.00%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%16.5%2026-10-17 14:25
betano_uk🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 28.76%EV -20.13%E -6.94%K -10.59%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 45.58%EV -13.41%E -7.33%K -16.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.66%EV -18.28%E -5.63%K -8.13%G +0.000%19.9%2026-10-17 14:19
Bet Victor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 28.76%EV -20.13%E -6.94%K -10.59%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 45.58%EV -13.41%E -7.33%K -16.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.66%EV -18.28%E -5.63%K -8.13%G +0.000%19.9%2026-10-17 14:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.80I 26.32%NM 25.89%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.20%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.91%1.6%2026-10-17 14:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.80I 26.32%NM 25.89%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.20%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.91%1.6%2026-10-17 14:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.80I 26.32%NM 25.89%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.20%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.91%1.6%2026-10-17 14:20