The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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FC Würzburger Kickers v TSG Hoffenheim II

Kickoff: 2026-11-08 18:30 UTC

Final: FC Würzburger Kickers 0–1 TSG Hoffenheim II

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Würzburger Kickers (Local)

Prediction 31.52%3.17fair odd
EV +0.851%
Edge +0.266%
Kelly +0.387%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.24%31.31%31.56%32.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.872.883.2038.46%34.86%34.72%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

TSG Hoffenheim II (Visit)

Prediction 43.98%2.27fair odd
EV -4.99%
Edge -2.31%
Kelly -4.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.40%44.15%43.94%46.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.102.102.1651.28%47.63%47.62%46.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.50%4.08fair odd
EV -3.96%
Edge -1.01%
Kelly -1.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.92

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.49%24.54%24.50%25.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.633.603.9229.41%27.55%27.78%25.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Würzburger Kickers (Local): 31.52%; TSG Hoffenheim II (Visit): 43.98%; Draw: 24.50%. For FC Würzburger Kickers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.17. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.851%.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV +0.851%E +0.266%K +0.387%G +0.003%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -12.03%E -6.02%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -4.45%E -1.14%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-08 18:25
Pinnacle🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 30.67%EV -1.67%E -0.535%K -0.788%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.92%EV -6.31%E -2.96%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.41%EV -3.96%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.5%2026-11-08 18:20
LowVig.ag🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -3.88%E -1.27%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.62%EV -7.63%E -3.63%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -6.90%E -1.82%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-08 18:20
BetOnline.ag🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -3.88%E -1.27%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.62%EV -7.63%E -3.63%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -6.90%E -1.82%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-08 18:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.03%EV -8.60%E -2.97%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -5.43%E -2.53%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -8.13%E -2.17%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-08 17:35
Coolbet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.91%EV -8.60%E -2.97%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.06%EV -7.63%E -3.63%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -5.68%E -1.47%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-08 18:08
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -8.60%E -2.97%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.92%EV -7.63%E -3.63%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -6.90%E -1.82%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-08 17:35
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -8.60%E -2.97%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -7.63%E -3.63%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -11.80%E -3.28%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.9%2026-11-08 17:35
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.25%EV -8.60%E -2.97%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.57%EV -8.51%E -4.09%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -11.80%E -3.28%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.3%2026-11-08 18:10
Casumo🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -9.23%E -3.21%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.40%EV -4.99%E -2.31%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -13.03%E -3.67%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-08 17:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -9.23%E -3.21%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.40%EV -4.99%E -2.31%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -13.03%E -3.67%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-08 17:35
Grosvenor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -9.23%E -3.21%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.40%EV -4.99%E -2.31%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -13.03%E -3.67%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-08 17:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -9.23%E -3.21%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.40%EV -4.99%E -2.31%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -13.03%E -3.67%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-08 17:35
TABtouch🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -9.23%E -3.21%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.40%EV -4.99%E -2.31%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -13.03%E -3.67%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-08 17:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -9.23%E -3.21%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.40%EV -4.99%E -2.31%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -13.03%E -3.67%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-08 17:35
Unibet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -9.23%E -3.21%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.40%EV -4.99%E -2.31%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -13.03%E -3.67%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-08 17:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -9.23%E -3.21%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.40%EV -4.99%E -2.31%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -13.03%E -3.67%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-08 17:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -9.23%E -3.21%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.40%EV -4.99%E -2.31%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -13.03%E -3.67%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-08 17:35
888sport🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -9.23%E -3.21%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -7.63%E -3.63%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -14.25%E -4.07%K -5.70%G +0.000%10.9%2026-11-08 17:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -9.23%E -3.21%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -7.63%E -3.63%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -14.25%E -4.07%K -5.70%G +0.000%10.9%2026-11-08 17:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -9.23%E -3.21%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -7.63%E -3.63%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -14.25%E -4.07%K -5.70%G +0.000%10.9%2026-11-08 17:35
Winamax (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.38%EV -10.18%E -3.57%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.95%EV -7.63%E -3.63%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -4.45%E -1.14%K -1.53%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-08 17:35
Codere (IT)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.17%EV -10.18%E -3.57%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.05%EV -6.31%E -2.96%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -9.35%E -2.53%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-08 17:35
Bovada🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.76%EV -10.18%E -3.57%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.10%EV -7.63%E -3.63%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -11.80%E -3.28%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.5%2026-11-08 18:08
1xBet🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 31.83%EV -10.49%E -3.70%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.05%EV -7.63%E -3.63%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -11.80%E -3.28%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.6%2026-11-08 17:35
LeoVegas🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.25%EV -11.76%E -4.20%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.00%EV -7.63%E -3.63%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -10.58%E -2.90%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.7%2026-11-08 18:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14%EV -11.76%E -4.20%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -7.63%E -3.63%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.80%E -3.28%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.1%2026-11-08 17:35
Coral🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14%EV -11.76%E -4.20%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -7.63%E -3.63%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.80%E -3.28%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.1%2026-11-08 17:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14%EV -11.76%E -4.20%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -7.63%E -3.63%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.80%E -3.28%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.1%2026-11-08 17:35
Neds🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14%EV -11.76%E -4.20%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -7.63%E -3.63%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.80%E -3.28%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.1%2026-11-08 17:35
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.88%EV -11.76%E -4.20%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.63%EV -12.03%E -6.02%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -6.90%E -1.82%K -2.46%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-08 18:10
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.81%EV -11.76%E -4.20%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.45%EV -9.83%E -4.80%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -11.80%E -3.28%K -4.54%G +0.000%12.3%2026-11-08 17:35
betfred_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.81%EV -11.76%E -4.20%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.45%EV -9.83%E -4.80%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -11.80%E -3.28%K -4.54%G +0.000%12.3%2026-11-08 18:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.81%EV -11.76%E -4.20%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.45%EV -9.83%E -4.80%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -11.80%E -3.28%K -4.54%G +0.000%12.3%2026-11-08 18:20
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.59%EV -11.76%E -4.20%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.14%EV -9.83%E -4.80%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -14.25%E -4.07%K -5.70%G +0.000%13.1%2026-11-08 18:08
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.55%EV -11.76%E -4.20%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 42.47%EV -8.51%E -4.09%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -16.70%E -4.91%K -6.96%G +0.000%13.2%2026-11-08 17:35
SportsBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.84%EV -13.33%E -4.85%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 43.14%EV -10.71%E -5.28%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.02%EV -14.25%E -4.07%K -5.70%G +0.000%14.2%2026-11-08 17:35
BoyleSports🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 32.73%EV -18.06%E -6.95%K -11.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 43.64%EV -14.23%E -7.30%K -14.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.64%EV -11.80%E -3.28%K -4.54%G +0.000%17.5%2026-11-08 18:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.77%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72%1.1%2026-11-08 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.77%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72%1.1%2026-11-08 18:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.77%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72%1.1%2026-11-08 18:20

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