The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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FC Viktoria Köln 1904 v VfB Stuttgart II

Kickoff: 2026-02-28 13:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

37 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Viktoria Köln 1904 (Local)

Prediction 36.95%2.71fair odd
EV -2.07%
Edge -0.782%
Kelly -1.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.76%36.97%36.85%40.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.402.452.6544.44%41.59%40.82%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

VfB Stuttgart II (Visit)

Prediction 36.52%2.74fair odd
EV -1.39%
Edge -0.516%
Kelly -0.819%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.78%36.51%36.54%37.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.532.502.7043.48%39.46%40.00%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.53%3.77fair odd
EV -1.86%
Edge -0.502%
Kelly -0.687%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.38%26.52%26.61%28.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.433.473.7034.72%29.14%28.82%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Viktoria Köln 1904 (Local): 36.95%; VfB Stuttgart II (Visit): 36.52%; Draw: 26.53%. For VfB Stuttgart II (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.74. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.70, with an expected value of -1.39%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.35%EV -2.07%E -0.782%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.62%EV -6.51%E -2.54%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.03%EV -1.86%E -0.502%K -0.687%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-28 11:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.35%EV -2.07%E -0.782%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.62%EV -6.51%E -2.54%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.03%EV -1.86%E -0.502%K -0.687%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-28 11:06
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -5.77%E -2.26%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -6.87%E -2.69%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -8.49%E -2.46%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 11:05
Coolbet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -5.77%E -2.26%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -6.87%E -2.69%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -9.81%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 12:50
Pinnacle🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.81%EV -6.88%E -2.73%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.37%EV -4.31%E -1.65%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.82%EV -2.12%E -0.575%K -0.788%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-28 12:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.62%E -3.05%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.05%E -1.94%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -7.16%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 12:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.62%E -3.05%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -4.51%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 11:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -7.62%E -3.05%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -8.49%E -2.46%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 11:06
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -7.62%E -3.05%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -12.35%E -5.15%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -12.47%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-28 10:45
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -7.62%E -3.05%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -12.35%E -5.15%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -12.47%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-28 10:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -7.62%E -3.05%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -12.35%E -5.15%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -12.47%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-28 10:45
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -7.62%E -3.05%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -12.35%E -5.15%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -12.47%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-28 10:45
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -7.62%E -3.05%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -12.35%E -5.15%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -12.47%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-28 12:50
Fanatics🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -9.46%E -3.86%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -7.16%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-28 12:50
Bovada🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -9.46%E -3.86%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -8.49%E -2.46%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-28 12:41
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -9.46%E -3.86%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -10.52%E -4.30%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -9.81%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-28 12:50
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -9.46%E -3.86%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -12.47%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-28 12:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -9.46%E -3.86%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -12.47%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-28 12:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -9.46%E -3.86%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -12.47%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-28 12:50
Suprabets🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 37.57%EV -10.57%E -4.37%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 36.22%EV -8.33%E -3.32%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.20%EV -7.96%E -2.29%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-28 12:46
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -11.31%E -4.71%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -7.16%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 12:50
SportsBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 35.95%EV -11.31%E -4.71%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.51%EV -16.00%E -6.96%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.54%EV -13.79%E -4.24%K -6.13%G +0.000%15.9%2026-02-28 12:50
Sky Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 35.94%EV -11.31%E -4.71%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.24%EV -13.08%E -5.50%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.82%EV -17.77%E -5.73%K -8.46%G +0.000%15.9%2026-02-28 12:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 34.76%EV -11.31%E -4.71%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.27%EV -16.00%E -6.96%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.97%EV -23.61%E -8.20%K -12.56%G +0.000%19.9%2026-02-28 12:50
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 36.47%EV -15.01%E -6.52%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.47%EV -16.00%E -6.96%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.06%EV -17.77%E -5.73%K -8.46%G +0.000%19.2%2026-02-28 12:48
LeoVegas🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -15.75%E -6.91%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -1.39%E -0.516%K -0.819%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -5.83%E -1.64%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 12:25
Casumo🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.53%EV -16.85%E -7.49%K -13.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.78%EV -1.39%E -0.516%K -0.819%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -5.83%E -1.64%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 12:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.53%EV -16.85%E -7.49%K -13.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.78%EV -1.39%E -0.516%K -0.819%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -5.83%E -1.64%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 12:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.53%EV -16.85%E -7.49%K -13.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.78%EV -1.39%E -0.516%K -0.819%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -5.83%E -1.64%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 12:25
Unibet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.53%EV -16.85%E -7.49%K -13.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.78%EV -1.39%E -0.516%K -0.819%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -5.83%E -1.64%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 12:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.53%EV -16.85%E -7.49%K -13.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.78%EV -1.39%E -0.516%K -0.819%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -5.83%E -1.64%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 12:25
TABtouch🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.53%EV -16.85%E -7.49%K -13.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.78%EV -1.39%E -0.516%K -0.819%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -5.83%E -1.64%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 12:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.53%EV -16.85%E -7.49%K -13.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.78%EV -1.39%E -0.516%K -0.819%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -5.83%E -1.64%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 12:25
Grosvenor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.53%EV -16.85%E -7.49%K -13.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.78%EV -1.39%E -0.516%K -0.819%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -5.83%E -1.64%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 12:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.53%EV -16.85%E -7.49%K -13.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.78%EV -1.39%E -0.516%K -0.819%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -5.83%E -1.64%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 12:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.53%EV -16.85%E -7.49%K -13.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.78%EV -1.39%E -0.516%K -0.819%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -5.83%E -1.64%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 12:25
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.36%EV -16.85%E -7.49%K -13.48%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.26%EV -13.08%E -5.50%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.38%EV -9.81%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%15.9%2026-02-28 12:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.64I 37.88%NM 37.16%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.33%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.51%1.9%2026-02-28 12:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.64I 37.88%NM 37.16%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.33%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.51%1.9%2026-02-28 12:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.64I 37.88%NM 37.16%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.33%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.51%1.9%2026-02-28 12:50