Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Viktoria Köln 1904 v TSV 1860 München

Kickoff: 2026-03-06 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

41 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Viktoria Köln 1904 (Local)

Prediction 37.33%2.68fair odd
EV -1.07%
Edge -0.405%
Kelly -0.651%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.73%37.35%37.60%38.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.432.432.6544.44%41.16%41.15%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

TSV 1860 München (Visit)

Prediction 34.93%2.86fair odd
EV -2.18%
Edge -0.779%
Kelly -1.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.39%34.86%35.10%36.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.562.552.8043.48%39.09%39.22%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.73%3.61fair odd
EV -1.54%
Edge -0.435%
Kelly -0.605%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.85%27.79%27.30%29.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.313.353.5534.72%30.22%29.85%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Viktoria Köln 1904 (Local): 37.33%; TSV 1860 München (Visit): 34.93%; Draw: 27.73%. For FC Viktoria Köln 1904 (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.68. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.65, with an expected value of -1.07%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.43%EV -1.07%E -0.405%K -0.651%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.48%EV -2.18%E -0.779%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.08%EV -7.92%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-06 12:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.43%EV -1.07%E -0.405%K -0.651%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.48%EV -2.18%E -0.779%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.08%EV -7.92%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-06 12:55
Pinnacle🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 36.61%EV -2.57%E -0.984%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.87%EV -4.28%E -1.56%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.52%EV -7.09%E -2.12%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 17:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -6.67%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -2.18%E -0.779%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -11.25%E -3.52%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 17:50
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -6.67%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -9.17%E -3.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -11.25%E -3.52%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-06 16:45
Suprabets🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.36%EV -6.67%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.69%EV -8.47%E -3.23%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 28.95%EV -12.91%E -4.11%K -6.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-06 17:15
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -6.67%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -9.17%E -3.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -12.64%E -4.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-06 17:16
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -8.54%E -3.49%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -9.17%E -3.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -2.93%E -0.837%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-06 16:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -8.54%E -3.49%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -7.42%E -2.80%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -5.70%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-06 13:10
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -8.54%E -3.49%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -8.47%E -3.23%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -5.70%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-06 13:10
NordicBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -8.54%E -3.49%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -8.47%E -3.23%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -5.70%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-06 13:10
Fanatics🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -8.54%E -3.49%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -9.17%E -3.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -5.70%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-06 17:20
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.45%EV -8.54%E -3.49%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -12.66%E -5.07%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -1.54%E -0.435%K -0.605%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 17:25
Bovada🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -8.54%E -3.49%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -9.17%E -3.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -11.25%E -3.52%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-06 17:49
Codere (IT)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.59%EV -9.29%E -3.82%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.14%EV -9.17%E -3.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.27%EV -7.09%E -2.12%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-06 13:20
Unibet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.40%EV -9.29%E -3.82%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.64%EV -13.36%E -5.39%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -2.93%E -0.837%K -1.17%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-06 17:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.40%EV -9.29%E -3.82%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.64%EV -13.36%E -5.39%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -2.93%E -0.837%K -1.17%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-06 17:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.40%EV -9.29%E -3.82%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.64%EV -13.36%E -5.39%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -2.93%E -0.837%K -1.17%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-06 17:25
Grosvenor🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.40%EV -9.29%E -3.82%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.64%EV -13.36%E -5.39%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -2.93%E -0.837%K -1.17%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-06 17:25
TABtouch🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.40%EV -9.29%E -3.82%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.64%EV -13.36%E -5.39%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -2.93%E -0.837%K -1.17%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-06 17:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.40%EV -9.29%E -3.82%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.64%EV -13.36%E -5.39%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -2.93%E -0.837%K -1.17%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-06 17:25
Casumo🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.40%EV -9.29%E -3.82%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.64%EV -13.36%E -5.39%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -2.93%E -0.837%K -1.17%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-06 17:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.40%EV -9.29%E -3.82%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.64%EV -13.36%E -5.39%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -2.93%E -0.837%K -1.17%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-06 17:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.40%EV -9.29%E -3.82%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.64%EV -13.36%E -5.39%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -2.93%E -0.837%K -1.17%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-06 17:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.40%EV -9.29%E -3.82%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.64%EV -13.36%E -5.39%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -2.93%E -0.837%K -1.17%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-06 17:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.40%EV -9.29%E -3.82%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.64%EV -13.36%E -5.39%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -2.93%E -0.837%K -1.17%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-06 17:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -10.41%E -4.34%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -9.17%E -3.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -2.93%E -0.837%K -1.17%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-06 13:10
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -10.41%E -4.34%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.05%EV -8.47%E -3.23%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -14.02%E -4.52%K -6.68%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-06 17:45
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -10.41%E -4.34%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.05%EV -8.47%E -3.23%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -14.02%E -4.52%K -6.68%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-06 13:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -10.41%E -4.34%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.05%EV -8.47%E -3.23%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -14.02%E -4.52%K -6.68%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-06 13:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -10.41%E -4.34%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.05%EV -8.47%E -3.23%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -14.02%E -4.52%K -6.68%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-06 13:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -10.41%E -4.34%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -12.66%E -5.07%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -9.86%E -3.03%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-06 17:30
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -10.41%E -4.34%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -12.66%E -5.07%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -9.86%E -3.03%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-06 17:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -10.41%E -4.34%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -12.66%E -5.07%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -9.86%E -3.03%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-06 17:29
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -10.41%E -4.34%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -12.66%E -5.07%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -9.86%E -3.03%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-06 17:30
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.27%EV -12.27%E -5.22%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.27%EV -10.92%E -4.28%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -5.70%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-06 17:05
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.57%EV -14.14%E -6.15%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.56%EV -12.66%E -5.07%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.87%EV -14.02%E -4.52%K -6.68%G +0.000%15.7%2026-03-06 13:00
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.47%EV -14.14%E -6.15%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.80%EV -10.92%E -4.28%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.73%EV -16.80%E -5.60%K -8.40%G +0.000%16.0%2026-03-06 17:45
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.22%EV -14.14%E -6.15%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.24%EV -12.66%E -5.07%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.54%EV -16.80%E -5.60%K -8.40%G +0.000%16.8%2026-03-06 17:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 35.73%EV -14.14%E -6.15%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 35.73%EV -19.65%E -8.54%K -15.12%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.54%EV -20.12%E -6.99%K -10.70%G +0.000%21.7%2026-03-06 16:05
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 37.10%EV -16.01%E -7.11%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 35.07%EV -16.85%E -7.08%K -12.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.83%EV -16.80%E -5.60%K -8.40%G +0.000%19.8%2026-03-06 13:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.39%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.51%1.0%2026-03-06 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.39%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.51%1.0%2026-03-06 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.00%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.55%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45%1.2%2026-03-06 17:55