Language:English
FC Viktoria Köln 1904 v SG Sonnenhof Großaspach
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
FC Viktoria Köln 1904 (Local)
Prediction 58.80%1.70fair odd
EV -5.33%
Edge -3.31%
Kelly -8.74%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.61
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.87%58.87%59.05%61.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.531.531.6169.93%65.42%65.36%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
SG Sonnenhof Großaspach (Visit)
Prediction 19.84%5.04fair odd
EV +5.18%
Edge +0.977%
Kelly +1.20%
Growth +0.062%
assuming max odds 5.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.30%19.69%19.65%21.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.684.505.3025.64%21.38%22.22%18.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 21.36%4.68fair odd
EV -1.76%
Edge -0.383%
Kelly -0.489%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.12%21.44%21.30%22.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.704.244.304.6027.03%23.59%23.26%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Viktoria Köln 1904 (Local): 58.80%; SG Sonnenhof Großaspach (Visit): 19.84%; Draw: 21.36%. For SG Sonnenhof Großaspach (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.04. 14 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.18%.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.59%EV -12.39%E -8.31%K -25.28%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.31%EV +5.18%E +0.977%K +1.20%G +0.062% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.10%EV -7.10%E -1.63%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-14 12:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.59%EV -12.39%E -8.31%K -25.28%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.31%EV +5.18%E +0.977%K +1.20%G +0.062% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.10%EV -7.10%E -1.63%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-14 12:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.59%EV -12.39%E -8.31%K -25.28%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.31%EV +5.18%E +0.977%K +1.20%G +0.062% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.10%EV -7.10%E -1.63%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-14 12:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.59%EV -12.39%E -8.31%K -25.28%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.31%EV +5.18%E +0.977%K +1.20%G +0.062% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.10%EV -7.10%E -1.63%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-14 12:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.59%EV -12.39%E -8.31%K -25.28%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.31%EV +5.18%E +0.977%K +1.20%G +0.062% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.10%EV -7.10%E -1.63%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-14 12:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.59%EV -12.39%E -8.31%K -25.28%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.31%EV +5.18%E +0.977%K +1.20%G +0.062% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.10%EV -7.10%E -1.63%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-14 12:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.59%EV -12.39%E -8.31%K -25.28%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.31%EV +5.18%E +0.977%K +1.20%G +0.062% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.10%EV -7.10%E -1.63%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-14 12:23 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.59%EV -12.39%E -8.31%K -25.28%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.31%EV +5.18%E +0.977%K +1.20%G +0.062% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.10%EV -7.10%E -1.63%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-14 12:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.59%EV -12.39%E -8.31%K -25.28%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.31%EV +5.18%E +0.977%K +1.20%G +0.062% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.10%EV -7.10%E -1.63%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-14 12:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.59%EV -12.39%E -8.31%K -25.28%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.31%EV +5.18%E +0.977%K +1.20%G +0.062% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.10%EV -7.10%E -1.63%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-14 12:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -5.33%E -3.31%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 5.21I 19.19%NM 18.21%EV +3.39%E +0.651%K +0.805%G +0.027% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.86%EV -11.37%E -2.74%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-14 16:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.84%EV -6.51%E -4.09%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV +1.21%E +0.237%K +0.294%G +0.004% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -12.44%E -3.03%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-14 16:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.84%EV -6.51%E -4.09%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV +1.21%E +0.237%K +0.294%G +0.004% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -12.44%E -3.03%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-14 16:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.70%EV -15.92%E -11.13%K -37.02%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.30%EV +1.21%E +0.237%K +0.294%G +0.004% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.01%EV -10.30%E -2.45%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-10-14 12:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.25%EV -8.86%E -5.72%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV -4.75%E -0.989%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -1.76%E -0.383%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-14 16:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.85%EV -8.86%E -5.72%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -5.74%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -3.90%E -0.866%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-14 16:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.04%EV -7.68%E -4.89%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -5.74%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -14.58%E -3.64%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-14 16:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.90%EV -11.21%E -7.43%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 4.71I 21.23%NM 19.21%EV -6.53%E -1.39%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.89%EV -7.53%E -1.74%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-14 16:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.79%EV -11.21%E -7.43%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.21%EV -6.73%E -1.43%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.00%EV -8.17%E -1.90%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-14 16:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.99%EV -11.80%E -7.87%K -23.60%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -8.72%E -1.89%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -6.03%E -1.37%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-14 16:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.03%EV -5.92%E -3.70%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.70%E -2.38%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -7.10%E -1.63%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-14 16:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.32%EV -8.27%E -5.30%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -10.70%E -2.38%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.12%EV -1.76%E -0.383%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-14 16:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.03%EV -6.51%E -4.09%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -10.70%E -2.38%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.46%EV -8.17%E -1.90%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-14 16:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.78%EV -8.27%E -5.30%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -10.70%E -2.38%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -6.03%E -1.37%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-14 16:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.65%EV -8.86%E -5.72%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -10.70%E -2.38%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.14%EV -8.17%E -1.90%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-14 16:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.65%EV -8.86%E -5.72%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -10.70%E -2.38%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.14%EV -8.17%E -1.90%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-14 16:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.65%EV -8.86%E -5.72%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -10.70%E -2.38%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.14%EV -8.17%E -1.90%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-14 16:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.68%EV -10.04%E -6.56%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -10.70%E -2.38%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -10.30%E -2.45%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-14 16:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.68%EV -10.04%E -6.56%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -10.70%E -2.38%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -10.30%E -2.45%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-14 16:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.11%EV -10.04%E -6.56%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.21%EV -12.68%E -2.88%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.68%EV -12.44%E -3.03%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-14 16:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.59%EV -10.04%E -6.56%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -14.07%E -3.25%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -7.53%E -1.74%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-14 16:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.22%EV -10.04%E -6.56%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.57%EV -14.07%E -3.25%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -10.30%E -2.45%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-14 16:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.22%EV -10.04%E -6.56%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.57%EV -14.07%E -3.25%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -10.30%E -2.45%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-14 16:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.22%EV -10.04%E -6.56%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.57%EV -14.07%E -3.25%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -10.30%E -2.45%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-14 16:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 57.69%EV -10.62%E -6.99%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.39%EV -14.67%E -3.41%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.92%EV -14.58%E -3.64%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-10-14 16:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.53%EV -8.86%E -5.72%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.23%EV -16.65%E -3.97%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.23%EV -10.30%E -2.45%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-14 16:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.53%EV -8.86%E -5.72%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.23%EV -16.65%E -3.97%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.23%EV -10.30%E -2.45%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-14 16:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.53%EV -8.86%E -5.72%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.23%EV -16.65%E -3.97%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.23%EV -10.30%E -2.45%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-14 16:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.53%EV -8.86%E -5.72%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.23%EV -16.65%E -3.97%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.23%EV -10.30%E -2.45%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-14 16:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 57.73%EV -11.80%E -7.87%K -23.60%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.62%EV -16.65%E -3.97%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.65%EV -14.58%E -3.64%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-10-14 16:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 56.34%EV -10.04%E -6.56%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.55%EV -20.62%E -5.16%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.10%EV -16.71%E -4.28%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-10-14 16:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 55.87%EV -11.80%E -7.87%K -23.60%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 21.49%EV -22.61%E -5.80%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 22.65%EV -20.98%E -5.67%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 19.3% | 2026-10-14 16:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 55.87%EV -11.80%E -7.87%K -23.60%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 21.49%EV -22.61%E -5.80%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 22.65%EV -20.98%E -5.67%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 19.3% | 2026-10-14 16:52 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.20% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.77% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.03% | 1.2% | 2026-10-14 16:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.20% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.77% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.03% | 1.2% | 2026-10-14 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.49% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.63% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.88% | 1.9% | 2026-10-14 16:55 |