The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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FC Viktoria Köln 1904 v SC Verl

Kickoff: 2026-10-24 12:00 UTC

Final: FC Viktoria Köln 1904 3–1 SC Verl

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

43 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Viktoria Köln 1904 (Local)

Prediction 56.52%1.77fair odd
EV -6.75%
Edge -4.09%
Kelly -10.38%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.12%56.68%56.25%58.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.601.611.6565.36%62.42%62.11%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

SC Verl (Visit)

Prediction 21.76%4.60fair odd
EV +4.01%
Edge +0.839%
Kelly +1.06%
Growth +0.043%

assuming max odds 4.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.84%21.61%22.04%24.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.504.114.104.7828.57%24.34%24.39%20.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.72%4.60fair odd
EV -2.25%
Edge -0.499%
Kelly -0.641%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.65%21.71%21.71%22.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.704.214.204.5027.03%23.78%23.81%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Viktoria Köln 1904 (Local): 56.52%; SC Verl (Visit): 21.76%; Draw: 21.72%. For SC Verl (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.60. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.78, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.01%.

Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.17%EV -7.88%E -4.83%K -12.50%G +0.000%4.78I 20.92%NM 19.84%EV +4.01%E +0.839%K +1.06%G +0.043%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.00%EV -6.37%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-24 11:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.83%EV -6.75%E -4.09%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -2.08%E -0.463%K -0.596%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -8.76%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-24 11:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -9.57%E -5.98%K -15.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -2.08%E -0.463%K -0.596%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -2.25%E -0.499%K -0.641%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-24 11:53
LowVig.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.58%EV -9.01%E -5.59%K -14.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -2.08%E -0.463%K -0.596%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -7.68%E -1.81%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-24 11:55
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.97%EV -9.01%E -5.59%K -14.76%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.18%EV -5.78%E -1.34%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -8.76%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-24 11:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.92%EV -10.70%E -6.77%K -18.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.28%EV -6.44%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -4.42%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-21 10:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.92%EV -10.70%E -6.77%K -18.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.28%EV -6.44%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -4.42%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-21 10:00
Unibet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.92%EV -10.70%E -6.77%K -18.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.28%EV -6.44%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -4.42%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-21 10:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.07%EV -11.27%E -7.18%K -19.77%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.20%EV -6.44%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%EV -4.42%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-21 10:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.07%EV -11.27%E -7.18%K -19.77%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.20%EV -6.44%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%EV -4.42%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-21 10:00
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.07%EV -11.27%E -7.18%K -19.77%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.20%EV -6.44%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%EV -4.42%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-21 10:00
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.07%EV -11.27%E -7.18%K -19.77%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.20%EV -6.44%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%EV -4.42%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-21 10:00
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.07%EV -11.27%E -7.18%K -19.77%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.20%EV -6.44%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%EV -4.42%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-21 10:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.07%EV -11.27%E -7.18%K -19.77%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.20%EV -6.44%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%EV -4.42%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-21 10:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.07%EV -11.27%E -7.18%K -19.77%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.20%EV -6.44%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%EV -4.42%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-21 09:59
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.21%EV -10.70%E -6.77%K -18.45%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.27%EV -7.52%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -8.76%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-24 11:45
Coolbet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -6.75%E -4.09%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.11%EV -8.61%E -2.05%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.60%EV -6.59%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-24 10:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.15%EV -6.75%E -4.09%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -8.61%E -2.05%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.80%EV -7.68%E -1.81%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-24 11:45
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 56.91%EV -10.14%E -6.38%K -17.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -8.61%E -2.05%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -8.76%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-24 10:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.68%EV -7.31%E -4.46%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -10.79%E -2.63%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.65%EV -2.25%E -0.499%K -0.641%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-24 11:45
Fanatics🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.99%EV -6.75%E -4.09%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -10.79%E -2.63%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.48%EV -6.59%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-24 10:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.00%EV -7.88%E -4.83%K -12.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -10.79%E -2.63%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.73%EV -8.76%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-24 11:45
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.30%EV -8.44%E -5.21%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -10.79%E -2.63%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.46%EV -7.68%E -1.81%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-24 11:45
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.30%EV -8.44%E -5.21%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -10.79%E -2.63%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.46%EV -7.68%E -1.81%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-24 11:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 57.54%EV -12.96%E -8.42%K -24.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.61%EV -10.79%E -2.63%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.85%EV -7.68%E -1.81%K -2.36%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-21 10:00
1xBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.21%EV -9.01%E -5.59%K -14.76%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 22.24%EV -11.44%E -2.81%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -8.76%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-24 09:55
LeoVegas🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.55%EV -8.44%E -5.21%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -12.96%E -3.24%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.95%EV -10.93%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-24 11:45
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.15%EV -9.57%E -5.98%K -15.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -12.96%E -3.24%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -8.76%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-24 11:45
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -8.44%E -5.21%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -12.96%E -3.24%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -13.11%E -3.28%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-24 10:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.86%EV -9.57%E -5.98%K -15.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -12.96%E -3.24%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.80%EV -10.93%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-24 11:45
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -9.01%E -5.59%K -14.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.96%E -3.24%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -13.11%E -3.28%K -4.37%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-24 11:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -9.01%E -5.59%K -14.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.96%E -3.24%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -13.11%E -3.28%K -4.37%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-24 11:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -9.01%E -5.59%K -14.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.96%E -3.24%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -13.11%E -3.28%K -4.37%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-24 11:45
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.39%EV -8.44%E -5.21%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.72%EV -14.05%E -3.56%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.89%EV -10.93%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-24 10:28
SportsBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 55.55%EV -10.70%E -6.77%K -18.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.51%EV -15.14%E -3.88%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.94%EV -13.11%E -3.28%K -4.37%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-24 11:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.73%EV -6.75%E -4.09%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.77%EV -17.32%E -4.56%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -8.76%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-24 10:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.73%EV -6.75%E -4.09%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.77%EV -17.32%E -4.56%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -8.76%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-24 10:25
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.73%EV -6.75%E -4.09%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.77%EV -17.32%E -4.56%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -8.76%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-24 10:25
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.73%EV -6.75%E -4.09%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.77%EV -17.32%E -4.56%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -8.76%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-24 10:25
Sky Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 54.12%EV -9.57%E -5.98%K -15.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.09%EV -18.40%E -4.91%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.79%EV -17.45%E -4.59%K -6.23%G +0.000%15.5%2026-10-24 11:45
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 54.39%EV -13.53%E -8.84%K -25.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.12%EV -21.67%E -6.02%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.49%EV -19.62%E -5.30%K -7.27%G +0.000%20.2%2026-10-24 11:03
betano_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 54.39%EV -13.53%E -8.84%K -25.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.12%EV -21.67%E -6.02%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.49%EV -19.62%E -5.30%K -7.27%G +0.000%20.2%2026-10-24 11:05
BoyleSports🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 54.63%EV -12.40%E -8.00%K -22.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.20%EV -23.84%E -6.81%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.17%EV -13.11%E -3.28%K -4.37%G +0.000%18.1%2026-10-24 10:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 58.96%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.09%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.95%1.6%2026-10-24 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 58.96%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.09%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.95%1.6%2026-10-24 11:53
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 58.96%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.09%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.95%1.6%2026-10-24 11:53