Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Viktoria Köln 1904 v SC Preußen Münster

Kickoff: 2026-08-30 17:29 UTC

Final: FC Viktoria Köln 1904 4–1 SC Preußen Münster

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

40 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Viktoria Köln 1904 (Local)

Prediction 47.47%2.11fair odd
EV -6.01%
Edge -3.04%
Kelly -6.13%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.98

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.14%47.92%47.06%50.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.921.941.9857.14%52.21%51.55%50.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

SC Preußen Münster (Visit)

Prediction 26.86%3.72fair odd
EV +2.07%
Edge +0.544%
Kelly +0.738%
Growth +0.015%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.64%26.53%27.07%28.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.333.353.8033.33%30.01%29.85%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.67%3.90fair odd
EV -0.142%
Edge -0.036%
Kelly -0.049%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.89

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.35%25.55%25.87%26.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.533.503.8930.77%28.36%28.57%25.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Viktoria Köln 1904 (Local): 47.47%; SC Preußen Münster (Visit): 26.86%; Draw: 25.67%. For SC Preußen Münster (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.72. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.07%.

Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.56%EV -10.76%E -5.72%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01%EV +2.07%E +0.544%K +0.738%G +0.015%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.43%EV -0.142%E -0.036%K -0.049%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 17:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -11.23%E -6.01%K -12.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV +2.07%E +0.544%K +0.738%G +0.015%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -5.02%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 17:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.63%EV -7.91%E -4.08%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -3.30%E -0.918%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.16%EV -3.74%E -0.996%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 17:25
PlayUp🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.19%EV -10.76%E -5.72%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -3.30%E -0.918%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -12.72%E -3.74%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-30 17:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.33%EV -7.43%E -3.81%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -4.65%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -3.74%E -0.996%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 17:15
Suprabets🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.17%EV -12.18%E -6.58%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 25.91%EV -5.72%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -6.30%E -1.73%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 17:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -6.01%E -3.04%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -5.99%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -10.15%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-30 17:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.41%EV -6.01%E -3.04%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -7.33%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -5.02%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 17:15
Coolbet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.90%EV -6.01%E -3.04%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-30 17:20
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -9.33%E -4.89%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -2.45%E -0.645%K -0.876%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-30 17:15
Codere (IT)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -6.96%E -3.55%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -10.15%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-30 17:15
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.27%EV -9.33%E -4.89%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -11.44%E -3.31%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-30 17:24
LiveScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.09%EV -7.43%E -3.81%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -10.02%E -2.99%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.51%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-30 17:24
Virgin Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.09%EV -7.43%E -3.81%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -10.02%E -2.99%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.51%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-30 17:20
Unibet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.09%EV -7.43%E -3.81%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -10.02%E -2.99%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.51%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-30 17:25
Grosvenor🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.21%EV -7.91%E -4.08%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -10.02%E -2.99%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-30 17:24
Unibet (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.21%EV -7.91%E -4.08%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -10.02%E -2.99%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-30 17:20
TABtouch🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.21%EV -7.91%E -4.08%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -10.02%E -2.99%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-30 17:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.21%EV -7.91%E -4.08%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -10.02%E -2.99%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-30 17:20
Casumo🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.21%EV -7.91%E -4.08%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -10.02%E -2.99%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-30 17:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.21%EV -7.91%E -4.08%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -10.02%E -2.99%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-30 17:24
ATG (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.21%EV -7.91%E -4.08%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -10.02%E -2.99%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-30 17:20
LeoVegas🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.78%EV -8.86%E -4.61%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.81%EV -10.02%E -2.99%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -12.72%E -3.74%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-30 17:15
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -7.43%E -3.81%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -10.15%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-30 17:04
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -9.33%E -4.89%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -12.72%E -3.74%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-30 17:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -9.33%E -4.89%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -12.72%E -3.74%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-30 17:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -9.33%E -4.89%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -12.72%E -3.74%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-30 17:25
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -7.43%E -3.81%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -10.15%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-30 17:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.09%EV -10.76%E -5.72%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.66%EV -11.44%E -3.31%K -4.67%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-30 17:20
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -9.33%E -4.89%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -14.05%E -4.39%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -10.15%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-30 17:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -9.33%E -4.89%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -14.05%E -4.39%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -10.15%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-30 17:15
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 48.85%EV -16.93%E -9.67%K -22.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.72%EV -14.05%E -4.39%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.43%EV -10.15%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%17.0%2026-08-30 17:20
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 47.63%EV -16.93%E -9.67%K -22.57%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 26.72%EV -16.20%E -5.19%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.65%EV -16.57%E -5.10%K -7.36%G +0.000%20.0%2026-08-30 17:25
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 47.63%EV -16.93%E -9.67%K -22.57%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 26.72%EV -16.20%E -5.19%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.65%EV -16.57%E -5.10%K -7.36%G +0.000%20.0%2026-08-30 17:24
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -7.43%E -3.81%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -16.73%E -5.40%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -12.72%E -3.74%K -5.30%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-30 17:05
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -7.43%E -3.81%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -16.73%E -5.40%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -12.72%E -3.74%K -5.30%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-30 17:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -7.43%E -3.81%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -16.73%E -5.40%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -12.72%E -3.74%K -5.30%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-30 17:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -7.43%E -3.81%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -16.73%E -5.40%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -12.72%E -3.74%K -5.30%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-30 17:05
SportsBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 46.18%EV -10.28%E -5.44%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.15%EV -16.73%E -5.40%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.67%EV -12.72%E -3.74%K -5.30%G +0.000%14.6%2026-08-30 17:05
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 45.14%EV -9.33%E -4.89%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.74%EV -19.42%E -6.47%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.13%EV -15.29%E -4.63%K -6.65%G +0.000%16.0%2026-08-30 17:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.98I 50.51%NM 49.93%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.35%1.1%2026-08-30 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 49.93%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.35%1.1%2026-08-30 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 49.93%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.35%1.1%2026-08-30 17:25