Language:English
FC Viktoria Köln 1904 v FC Ingolstadt 04
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
FC Viktoria Köln 1904 (Local)
Prediction 47.85%2.09fair odd
EV -3.34%
Edge -1.65%
Kelly -3.28%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.02
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.35%47.91%47.79%50.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.931.932.0255.56%51.70%51.81%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
FC Ingolstadt 04 (Visit)
Prediction 27.75%3.60fair odd
EV -0.082%
Edge -0.023%
Kelly -0.032%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.99%27.62%27.90%30.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.183.103.6033.33%31.42%32.26%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.39%4.10fair odd
EV -4.86%
Edge -1.25%
Kelly -1.68%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.72%24.47%24.31%25.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.663.653.9030.77%27.33%27.40%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Viktoria Köln 1904 (Local): 47.85%; FC Ingolstadt 04 (Visit): 27.75%; Draw: 24.39%. For FC Ingolstadt 04 (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.603. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.600, with an expected value of -0.082%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.35%EV -3.34%E -1.65%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -13.96%E -4.50%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -10.96%E -3.00%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-16 18:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.35%EV -3.34%E -1.65%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -13.96%E -4.50%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -10.96%E -3.00%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-16 18:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.35%EV -3.34%E -1.65%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -13.96%E -4.50%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -10.96%E -3.00%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-16 18:21 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.35%EV -3.34%E -1.65%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -13.96%E -4.50%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -10.96%E -3.00%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-16 18:21 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.35%EV -3.34%E -1.65%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -13.96%E -4.50%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -10.96%E -3.00%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-16 18:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.35%EV -3.34%E -1.65%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -13.96%E -4.50%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -10.96%E -3.00%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-16 18:21 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.35%EV -3.34%E -1.65%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -13.96%E -4.50%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -10.96%E -3.00%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-16 18:21 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.35%EV -3.34%E -1.65%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -13.96%E -4.50%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -10.96%E -3.00%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-16 18:21 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.35%EV -3.34%E -1.65%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -13.96%E -4.50%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -10.96%E -3.00%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-16 18:21 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.35%EV -3.34%E -1.65%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -13.96%E -4.50%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -10.96%E -3.00%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-16 18:21 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.79%EV -5.25%E -2.65%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.51%EV -9.80%E -3.01%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -8.52%E -2.27%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-18 04:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -9.80%E -3.01%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.04%EV -6.08%E -1.58%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-17 18:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.85%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -9.80%E -3.01%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.03%EV -10.96%E -3.00%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-18 04:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.85%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -9.80%E -3.01%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.03%EV -10.96%E -3.00%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-18 04:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.28%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -12.57%E -3.99%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -12.18%E -3.38%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-18 04:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.23%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -16.74%E -5.58%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -7.30%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-16 19:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -13.96%E -4.50%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -12.18%E -3.38%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-17 00:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -13.96%E -4.50%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -12.18%E -3.38%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-17 00:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -13.96%E -4.50%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -12.18%E -3.38%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-17 00:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -13.96%E -4.50%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -12.18%E -3.38%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-17 00:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.60%EV -7.17%E -3.70%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.49%EV -16.74%E -5.58%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.92%EV -13.40%E -3.78%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-16 18:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.72%EV -7.65%E -3.96%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -2.86%E -0.817%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -6.08%E -1.58%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-18 12:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.72%EV -7.65%E -3.96%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -2.86%E -0.817%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -6.08%E -1.58%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-18 12:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.54%EV -7.65%E -3.96%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.51%EV -12.57%E -3.99%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -12.18%E -3.38%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-18 04:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.92%EV -8.13%E -4.23%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.06%EV -13.96%E -4.50%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -8.52%E -2.27%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-18 04:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -8.60%E -4.50%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -8.41%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -7.30%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-18 06:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -8.60%E -4.50%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -11.18%E -3.50%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -7.30%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-17 18:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.20%EV -8.60%E -4.50%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -13.96%E -4.50%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -7.30%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-17 12:06 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -8.60%E -4.50%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -8.41%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -14.62%E -4.18%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-17 13:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -8.60%E -4.50%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -8.41%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -14.62%E -4.18%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-17 14:01 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -8.60%E -4.50%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -8.41%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -14.62%E -4.18%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-17 13:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -8.60%E -4.50%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -13.96%E -4.50%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -8.52%E -2.27%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-17 18:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.82%EV -8.60%E -4.50%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -16.74%E -5.58%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.01%EV -14.62%E -4.18%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-17 12:06 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.19%EV -9.08%E -4.78%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 26.78%EV -3.14%E -0.898%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.03%EV -5.11%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-18 05:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.81%EV -9.08%E -4.78%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.16%EV -15.35%E -5.03%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.04%EV -9.74%E -2.63%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-17 12:06 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.70%EV -9.56%E -5.06%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -5.63%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -7.30%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-17 23:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.93%EV -10.04%E -5.34%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.72%EV -9.80%E -3.01%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -9.74%E -2.63%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-18 12:53 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.03%EV -10.52%E -5.62%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -0.082%E -0.023%K -0.032%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -4.86%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-18 12:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.39%EV -10.52%E -5.62%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -5.63%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.00%EV -11.69%E -3.23%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-18 00:15 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.82%EV -13.39%E -7.40%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 27.10%EV -9.52%E -2.92%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 24.08%EV -10.47%E -2.85%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-17 13:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 47.62%EV -13.87%E -7.70%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -16.74%E -5.58%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.81%EV -12.18%E -3.38%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-09-17 14:02 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 46.43%EV -13.87%E -7.70%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.86%EV -16.74%E -5.58%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 25.71%EV -20.72%E -6.38%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 19.7% | 2026-09-17 16:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 46.43%EV -13.87%E -7.70%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.86%EV -16.74%E -5.58%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 25.71%EV -20.72%E -6.38%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 19.7% | 2026-09-17 16:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08% | 8.0% | 2026-09-18 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.99% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.82% | 9.1% | 2026-09-18 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.99% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.82% | 9.1% | 2026-09-18 15:30 |