Language:English
FC Ingolstadt 04 v Wehen Wiesbaden
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
FC Ingolstadt 04 (Local)
Prediction 39.36%2.54fair odd
EV -5.94%
Edge -2.49%
Kelly -4.27%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.39
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.39%39.32%39.40%42.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.062.262.302.3948.54%44.30%43.48%41.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Wehen Wiesbaden (Visit)
Prediction 33.48%2.99fair odd
EV +1.78%
Edge +0.586%
Kelly +0.873%
Growth +0.016%
assuming max odds 3.04
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.70%33.43%33.45%34.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.752.703.0440.82%36.35%37.04%32.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.16%3.68fair odd
EV -3.57%
Edge -1.01%
Kelly -1.40%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.85%27.25%27.15%28.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.353.403.5533.33%29.82%29.41%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Ingolstadt 04 (Local): 39.36%; Wehen Wiesbaden (Visit): 33.48%; Draw: 27.16%. For Wehen Wiesbaden (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.99. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.04, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.78%.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.90%EV -5.94%E -2.49%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.37%EV +1.78%E +0.586%K +0.873%G +0.016% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.73%EV -9.82%E -2.96%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-11 11:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.79%EV -15.78%E -7.37%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -1.23%E -0.417%K -0.632%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.79%EV -15.78%E -7.37%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -1.23%E -0.417%K -0.632%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.79%EV -15.78%E -7.37%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -1.23%E -0.417%K -0.632%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.79%EV -15.78%E -7.37%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -1.23%E -0.417%K -0.632%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.79%EV -15.78%E -7.37%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -1.23%E -0.417%K -0.632%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.79%EV -15.78%E -7.37%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -1.23%E -0.417%K -0.632%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.79%EV -15.78%E -7.37%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -1.23%E -0.417%K -0.632%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.79%EV -15.78%E -7.37%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -1.23%E -0.417%K -0.632%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.79%EV -15.78%E -7.37%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -1.23%E -0.417%K -0.632%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.79%EV -15.78%E -7.37%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -1.23%E -0.417%K -0.632%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 42.91%EV -18.93%E -9.19%K -17.86%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.70%EV -3.58%E -1.24%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.39%EV -9.00%E -2.69%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.49%EV -6.33%E -2.66%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.86%EV -4.24%E -1.48%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -7.64%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-11 11:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.49%EV -6.33%E -2.66%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.86%EV -4.24%E -1.48%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -7.64%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-11 11:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -7.52%E -3.20%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -4.58%E -1.61%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -7.64%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-11 11:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -9.48%E -4.12%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -7.93%E -2.88%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -3.57%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-11 11:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -7.52%E -3.20%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -7.93%E -2.88%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -7.64%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-11 11:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.59%EV -8.70%E -3.75%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.40%EV -7.93%E -2.88%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -7.64%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-11 11:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.59%EV -8.70%E -3.75%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.40%EV -7.93%E -2.88%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -7.64%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-11 11:14 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 39.69%EV -9.09%E -3.93%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.34%EV -7.93%E -2.88%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -7.64%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-11 11:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 39.81%EV -10.66%E -4.70%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.22%EV -8.93%E -3.28%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.97%EV -9.00%E -2.69%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-11 03:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.34%EV -7.52%E -3.20%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -9.60%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-11 11:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -6.33%E -2.66%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.60%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -7.64%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-11 11:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -9.48%E -4.12%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -9.60%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -10.36%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-11 11:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.39%EV -7.52%E -3.20%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -9.60%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -13.08%E -4.09%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-11 11:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -9.48%E -4.12%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -9.60%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -15.79%E -5.09%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-10-11 11:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -9.48%E -4.12%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -9.60%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -15.79%E -5.09%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-10-11 11:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -9.48%E -4.12%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -9.60%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -15.79%E -5.09%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-10-11 11:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.79%EV -7.52%E -3.20%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -11.28%E -4.26%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.64%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-11 11:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -7.52%E -3.20%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.26%EV -11.28%E -4.26%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -9.00%E -2.69%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-11 11:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.89%EV -9.48%E -4.12%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.01%EV -11.95%E -4.54%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -10.36%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-11 11:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.89%EV -9.48%E -4.12%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.01%EV -11.95%E -4.54%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -10.36%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-11 11:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.41%EV -11.45%E -5.09%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -11.95%E -4.54%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -10.36%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-10-11 11:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -9.48%E -4.12%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -12.28%E -4.69%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -10.36%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-11 11:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -9.48%E -4.12%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -12.28%E -4.69%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -10.36%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-11 11:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -11.45%E -5.09%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -12.28%E -4.69%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -7.64%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-11 11:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.86%EV -13.42%E -6.10%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 32.63%EV -12.28%E -4.69%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.50%EV -18.51%E -6.17%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -9.48%E -4.12%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -12.95%E -4.98%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-11 11:19 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -9.48%E -4.12%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -12.95%E -4.98%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -7.64%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-11 11:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.59%EV -11.45%E -5.09%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.40%EV -12.95%E -4.98%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.01%EV -15.79%E -5.09%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.53%EV -13.42%E -6.10%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.11%EV -14.62%E -5.73%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.36%EV -10.36%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-10-11 11:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 38.89%EV -15.39%E -7.16%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 34.13%EV -17.97%E -7.34%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 26.97%EV -15.79%E -5.09%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 19.6% | 2026-10-11 11:18 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 38.89%EV -15.39%E -7.16%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 34.13%EV -17.97%E -7.34%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 26.97%EV -15.79%E -5.09%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 19.6% | 2026-10-11 11:14 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.19% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.37% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.44% | 1.2% | 2026-10-11 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.19% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.37% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.44% | 1.2% | 2026-10-11 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.19% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.37% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.44% | 1.2% | 2026-10-11 11:25 |