Language:English
FC Ingolstadt 04 v FC Viktoria Köln 1904
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
FC Ingolstadt 04 (Local)
Prediction 48.81%2.05fair odd
EV -5.79%
Edge -3.00%
Kelly -6.23%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.93
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.23%48.80%48.82%50.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.851.831.9357.80%54.17%54.64%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
FC Viktoria Köln 1904 (Visit)
Prediction 26.02%3.84fair odd
EV -3.73%
Edge -1.01%
Kelly -1.38%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.30%26.13%26.00%27.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.123.483.503.7032.05%28.73%28.57%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.17%3.97fair odd
EV +0.681%
Edge +0.170%
Kelly +0.227%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.42%25.06%25.19%27.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.613.654.0033.33%27.72%27.40%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Ingolstadt 04 (Local): 48.81%; FC Viktoria Köln 1904 (Visit): 26.02%; Draw: 25.17%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.97. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.681%.
Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -6.77%E -3.54%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -11.54%E -3.39%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV +0.681%E +0.170%K +0.227%G +0.002% | 6.8% | 2026-04-08 16:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.24%EV -5.79%E -3.00%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.75%EV -3.99%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01%EV -4.35%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-08 16:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -8.72%E -4.66%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -3.73%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -4.35%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-08 16:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.95%EV -7.26%E -3.82%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -8.94%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -4.35%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-08 16:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -10.67%E -5.83%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -8.94%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -4.35%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-08 16:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.55%EV -8.72%E -4.66%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -5.61%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-08 16:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.87%EV -11.16%E -6.13%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -8.94%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -5.61%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-08 16:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.87%EV -11.16%E -6.13%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -8.94%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -5.61%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-08 16:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.87%EV -11.16%E -6.13%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -8.94%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -5.61%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-08 16:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.87%EV -11.16%E -6.13%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -8.94%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -5.61%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-08 16:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.87%EV -11.16%E -6.13%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -8.94%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -5.61%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-08 16:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.87%EV -11.16%E -6.13%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -8.94%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -5.61%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-08 16:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.87%EV -11.16%E -6.13%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -8.94%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -5.61%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-08 16:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.87%EV -11.16%E -6.13%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -8.94%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -5.61%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-08 16:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.87%EV -11.16%E -6.13%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -8.94%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -5.61%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-08 16:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.87%EV -11.16%E -6.13%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -8.94%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -5.61%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-08 16:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.87%EV -11.16%E -6.13%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -8.94%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -5.61%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-08 16:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -12.14%E -6.74%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -8.94%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -6.87%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-08 16:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.64%EV -7.26%E -3.82%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -7.64%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -8.13%E -2.23%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-08 16:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.64%EV -7.26%E -3.82%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -7.64%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -8.13%E -2.23%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-08 16:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.60%EV -7.75%E -4.10%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.94%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -8.13%E -2.23%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-08 16:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.77%E -3.54%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -9.39%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-08 16:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -6.77%E -3.54%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.94%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.39%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-08 16:35 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.90%EV -9.21%E -4.95%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 25.84%EV -8.42%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -9.39%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-08 16:52 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.02%EV -8.23%E -4.38%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -11.54%E -3.39%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.43%EV -10.65%E -3.00%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-08 16:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.87%EV -7.26%E -3.82%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 26.44%EV -10.50%E -3.05%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 25.69%EV -10.90%E -3.08%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-08 16:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.87%EV -7.26%E -3.82%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 26.44%EV -10.50%E -3.05%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 25.69%EV -10.90%E -3.08%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-08 16:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -9.70%E -5.24%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -8.94%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -11.90%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-08 16:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -10.67%E -5.83%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -8.94%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -11.90%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-08 16:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -10.67%E -5.83%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -8.94%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -11.90%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-08 16:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -10.67%E -5.83%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -8.94%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -11.90%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-08 16:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -10.67%E -5.83%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -8.94%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -11.90%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-08 16:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.74%EV -10.67%E -5.83%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.30%EV -16.74%E -5.23%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.96%EV -11.90%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-04-08 16:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.70%E -5.24%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -8.94%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -14.42%E -4.24%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-08 16:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.70%E -5.24%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -8.94%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -14.42%E -4.24%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-08 16:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.70%E -5.24%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -8.94%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -14.42%E -4.24%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-08 16:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.20%EV -12.14%E -6.74%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.52%EV -11.54%E -3.39%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.29%EV -16.94%E -5.13%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-04-08 16:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.59%EV -10.67%E -5.83%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.61%EV -11.54%E -3.39%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.80%EV -18.20%E -5.60%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-04-08 16:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 47.63%EV -14.58%E -8.33%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 26.72%EV -18.82%E -6.03%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 25.65%EV -18.20%E -5.60%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 20.0% | 2026-04-08 16:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 47.23%EV -15.56%E -8.99%K -21.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 25.53%EV -16.74%E -5.23%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.24%EV -24.49%E -8.16%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 22.4% | 2026-04-08 16:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.53% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.40% | 1.0% | 2026-04-08 16:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.53% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.40% | 1.0% | 2026-04-08 16:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.36% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.99% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.64% | 1.3% | 2026-04-08 16:55 |