Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

FC Energie Cottbus v TSV 1860 München

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-07 17:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

41 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

FC Energie Cottbus (Local)

Prévision 50.55%1.98cote équitable
EV -5.47%
Avantage -2.92%
Kelly -6.28%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.87

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.24%50.64%50.56%52.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.731.801.791.8757.80%55.53%55.87%53.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

TSV 1860 München (Visiteur)

Prévision 25.40%3.94cote équitable
EV +0.335%
Avantage +0.085%
Kelly +0.113%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.04%25.26%25.45%26.12%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.623.603.9531.25%27.66%27.78%25.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 24.05%4.16cote équitable
EV -1.41%
Avantage -0.345%
Kelly -0.456%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.11%24.10%24.00%27.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.723.754.1032.26%26.90%26.67%24.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : FC Energie Cottbus (Local) : 50.55% ; TSV 1860 München (Visiteur) : 25.40% ; Match nul : 24.05%. Pour TSV 1860 München (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.94. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.95, soit une espérance positive de +0.335%.

Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.37%EV -7.49%E -4.09%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.26%EV +0.335%E +0.085%K +0.113%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.37%EV -1.41%E -0.345%K -0.456%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-07 16:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.37%EV -7.49%E -4.09%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.26%EV +0.335%E +0.085%K +0.113%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.37%EV -1.41%E -0.345%K -0.456%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-07 16:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -9.00%E -5.00%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -3.48%E -0.915%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -3.82%E -0.955%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-07 16:45
Bovada🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.91%EV -11.03%E -6.26%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.04%EV -3.48%E -0.915%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.63%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-07 16:54
Pinnacle🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -5.97%E -3.21%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.25%EV -4.24%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.56%EV -2.86%E -0.707%K -0.940%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-07 16:55
Betway🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -10.52%E -5.94%K -13.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -4.75%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -3.82%E -0.955%K -1.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-07 16:35
LeoVegas🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.16%EV -9.51%E -5.31%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -4.75%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -9.83%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-07 16:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.13%EV -10.01%E -5.63%K -12.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.60%EV -6.02%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -9.83%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-07 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.13%EV -10.01%E -5.63%K -12.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.60%EV -6.02%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -9.83%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-07 16:30
Unibet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.13%EV -10.01%E -5.63%K -12.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.60%EV -6.02%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -9.83%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-07 16:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.13%EV -10.01%E -5.63%K -12.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.60%EV -6.02%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -9.83%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-07 16:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.13%EV -10.01%E -5.63%K -12.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.60%EV -6.02%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -9.83%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-07 16:25
Grosvenor🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.13%EV -10.01%E -5.63%K -12.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.60%EV -6.02%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -9.83%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-07 16:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.13%EV -10.01%E -5.63%K -12.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.60%EV -6.02%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -9.83%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-07 16:30
TABtouch🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.13%EV -10.01%E -5.63%K -12.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.60%EV -6.02%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -9.83%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-07 16:30
Casumo🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.13%EV -10.01%E -5.63%K -12.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.60%EV -6.02%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -9.83%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-07 16:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.13%EV -10.01%E -5.63%K -12.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.60%EV -6.02%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -9.83%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-07 16:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.13%EV -10.01%E -5.63%K -12.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.60%EV -6.02%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -9.83%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-07 16:25
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.48%E -3.50%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.34%EV -7.29%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -9.83%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-07 16:45
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.48%E -3.50%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.34%EV -7.29%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -9.83%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-07 16:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.43%EV -6.98%E -3.79%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -6.22%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-07 16:45
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.14%EV -6.48%E -3.50%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.09%EV -7.43%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-07 16:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -6.48%E -3.50%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -9.83%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-07 16:40
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -5.47%E -2.92%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -13.44%E -3.73%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-07 16:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.79%EV -6.98%E -3.79%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -11.03%E -2.98%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-07 16:45
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -9.00%E -5.00%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -11.03%E -2.98%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-07 16:39
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.09%EV -10.52%E -5.94%K -13.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -8.63%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-07 16:44
Suprabets🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.78%EV -9.51%E -5.31%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -9.83%E -2.77%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -7.43%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-07 16:52
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -9.00%E -5.00%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -11.10%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -9.83%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-07 16:45
888sport🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -7.49%E -4.09%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -11.10%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -13.44%E -3.73%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-07 16:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -7.49%E -4.09%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -11.10%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -13.44%E -3.73%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-07 16:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -7.49%E -4.09%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -11.10%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -13.44%E -3.73%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-07 16:40
Neds🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -7.49%E -4.09%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -11.10%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -15.84%E -4.53%K -6.34%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-07 16:39
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -7.49%E -4.09%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -11.10%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -15.84%E -4.53%K -6.34%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-07 16:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -7.49%E -4.09%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -11.10%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -15.84%E -4.53%K -6.34%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-07 16:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -7.49%E -4.09%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -11.10%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -15.84%E -4.53%K -6.34%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-07 16:44
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 50.76%EV -12.54%E -7.25%K -17.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -13.64%E -4.01%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.42%EV -9.83%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-07 16:40
SportsBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 49.98%EV -11.53%E -6.59%K -15.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.72%EV -13.64%E -4.01%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.30%EV -13.44%E -3.73%K -5.17%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-07 16:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 48.38%EV -12.54%E -7.25%K -17.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.62%EV -13.64%E -4.01%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.00%EV -25.46%E -8.21%K -12.12%G +0.000%19.5%2026-04-07 16:45
Sky Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 49.25%EV -11.53%E -6.59%K -15.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.12%EV -16.18%E -4.90%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.63%EV -15.84%E -4.53%K -6.34%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-07 16:45
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 48.24%EV -12.54%E -7.25%K -17.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.08%EV -18.72%E -5.85%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.68%EV -21.85%E -6.72%K -9.71%G +0.000%19.8%2026-04-07 16:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.62%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.60%0.9%2026-04-07 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.62%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.60%0.9%2026-04-07 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.62%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.60%0.9%2026-04-07 16:50