La escuela de los momiosEspañol
FC Energie Cottbus v TSV 1860 München
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
FC Energie Cottbus (Local)
Predicción 50.55%1.98momio equitativo
EV -5.47%
Ventaja -2.92%
Kelly -6.28%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.87
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.24%50.64%50.56%52.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.731.801.791.8757.80%55.53%55.87%53.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
TSV 1860 München (Visitante)
Predicción 25.40%3.94momio equitativo
EV +0.335%
Ventaja +0.085%
Kelly +0.113%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.04%25.26%25.45%26.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.623.603.9531.25%27.66%27.78%25.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 24.05%4.16momio equitativo
EV -1.41%
Ventaja -0.345%
Kelly -0.456%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.11%24.10%24.00%27.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.723.754.1032.26%26.90%26.67%24.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (41 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.37%EV -7.49%E -4.09%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.26%EV +0.335%E +0.085%K +0.113%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.37%EV -1.41%E -0.345%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-07 16:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.37%EV -7.49%E -4.09%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.26%EV +0.335%E +0.085%K +0.113%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.37%EV -1.41%E -0.345%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-07 16:39 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -9.00%E -5.00%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -3.48%E -0.915%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -3.82%E -0.955%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-07 16:45 |
| Bovada | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.91%EV -11.03%E -6.26%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.04%EV -3.48%E -0.915%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.63%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-07 16:54 |
| Pinnacle | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -5.97%E -3.21%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.25%EV -4.24%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.56%EV -2.86%E -0.707%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-07 16:55 |
| Betway | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -10.52%E -5.94%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -4.75%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -3.82%E -0.955%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-07 16:35 |
| LeoVegas | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.16%EV -9.51%E -5.31%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -4.75%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -9.83%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-07 16:29 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.13%EV -10.01%E -5.63%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.60%EV -6.02%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -9.83%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-07 16:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.13%EV -10.01%E -5.63%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.60%EV -6.02%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -9.83%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-07 16:30 |
| Unibet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.13%EV -10.01%E -5.63%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.60%EV -6.02%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -9.83%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-07 16:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.13%EV -10.01%E -5.63%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.60%EV -6.02%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -9.83%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-07 16:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.13%EV -10.01%E -5.63%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.60%EV -6.02%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -9.83%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-07 16:25 |
| Grosvenor | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.13%EV -10.01%E -5.63%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.60%EV -6.02%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -9.83%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-07 16:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.13%EV -10.01%E -5.63%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.60%EV -6.02%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -9.83%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-07 16:30 |
| TABtouch | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.13%EV -10.01%E -5.63%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.60%EV -6.02%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -9.83%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-07 16:30 |
| Casumo | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.13%EV -10.01%E -5.63%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.60%EV -6.02%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -9.83%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-07 16:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.13%EV -10.01%E -5.63%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.60%EV -6.02%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -9.83%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-07 16:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.13%EV -10.01%E -5.63%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.60%EV -6.02%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -9.83%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-07 16:25 |
| NordicBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.48%E -3.50%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.34%EV -7.29%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -9.83%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-07 16:45 |
| Betsson | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.48%E -3.50%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.34%EV -7.29%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -9.83%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-07 16:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.43%EV -6.98%E -3.79%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -6.22%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-07 16:45 |
| Coolbet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.14%EV -6.48%E -3.50%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.09%EV -7.43%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-07 16:44 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -6.48%E -3.50%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -9.83%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-07 16:40 |
| Fanatics | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -5.47%E -2.92%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -13.44%E -3.73%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-07 16:40 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.79%EV -6.98%E -3.79%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -11.03%E -2.98%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-07 16:45 |
| PlayUp | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -9.00%E -5.00%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -11.03%E -2.98%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-07 16:39 |
| theScore Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.09%EV -10.52%E -5.94%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -8.63%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-07 16:44 |
| Suprabets | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.78%EV -9.51%E -5.31%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -9.83%E -2.77%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -7.43%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-07 16:52 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -9.00%E -5.00%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -11.10%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -9.83%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-07 16:45 |
| 888sport | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -7.49%E -4.09%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -11.10%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -13.44%E -3.73%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-07 16:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -7.49%E -4.09%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -11.10%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -13.44%E -3.73%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-07 16:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -7.49%E -4.09%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -11.10%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -13.44%E -3.73%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-07 16:40 |
| Neds | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -7.49%E -4.09%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -11.10%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -15.84%E -4.53%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-07 16:39 |
| Coral | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -7.49%E -4.09%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -11.10%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -15.84%E -4.53%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-07 16:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -7.49%E -4.09%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -11.10%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -15.84%E -4.53%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-07 16:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -7.49%E -4.09%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -11.10%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -15.84%E -4.53%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-07 16:44 |
| BoyleSports | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.76%EV -12.54%E -7.25%K -17.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -13.64%E -4.01%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.42%EV -9.83%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-07 16:40 |
| SportsBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 49.98%EV -11.53%E -6.59%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.72%EV -13.64%E -4.01%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.30%EV -13.44%E -3.73%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-07 16:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 48.38%EV -12.54%E -7.25%K -17.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.62%EV -13.64%E -4.01%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.00%EV -25.46%E -8.21%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 19.5% | 2026-04-07 16:45 |
| Sky Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 49.25%EV -11.53%E -6.59%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.12%EV -16.18%E -4.90%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.63%EV -15.84%E -4.53%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-04-07 16:45 |
| Bet Victor | 1.73I 57.80%NM 48.24%EV -12.54%E -7.25%K -17.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.08%EV -18.72%E -5.85%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 25.68%EV -21.85%E -6.72%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 19.8% | 2026-04-07 16:44 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.62% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.60% | 0.9% | 2026-04-07 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.62% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.60% | 0.9% | 2026-04-07 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.62% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.60% | 0.9% | 2026-04-07 16:50 |