L’École des cotes

Alemannia Aachen v VfB Stuttgart II

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-11 12:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (10 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Alemannia Aachen (Local)

Prévision 49.63%2.01cote équitable
EV -5.20%
Avantage -2.72%
Kelly -5.71%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.91

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.70%49.69%49.71%52.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.731.841.851.9157.80%54.21%54.05%52.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

VfB Stuttgart II (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.00%3.85cote équitable
EV +1.40%
Avantage +0.359%
Kelly +0.483%
Croissance +0.007%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.00%25.87%25.97%27.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.413.403.9032.26%29.29%29.41%25.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.37%4.10cote équitable
EV -2.54%
Avantage -0.634%
Kelly -0.846%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.10%24.44%24.32%26.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.663.654.0032.26%27.36%27.40%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -10.66%E -5.92%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV +1.40%E +0.359%K +0.483%G +0.007%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -4.97%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 11:55
Pinnacle1.91I 52.36%NM 49.93%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.05%EV -4.84%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.02%EV -3.27%E -0.823%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 11:50
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.42%EV -6.69%E -3.56%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.40%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -8.63%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 10:35
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.14%EV -8.18%E -4.42%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.40%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.09%EV -6.19%E -1.61%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 10:29
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -10.66%E -5.92%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -6.40%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -7.41%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 10:30
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 49.82%EV -7.68%E -4.13%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -7.70%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.07%EV -6.19%E -1.61%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 10:35
Codere (IT)1.86I 53.76%NM 49.34%EV -7.68%E -4.13%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -7.70%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -9.85%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 10:40
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -9.17%E -5.01%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -2.54%E -0.634%K -0.846%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 11:45
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -12.28%E -3.41%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 11:45
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -10.66%E -5.92%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -8.63%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-11 10:30
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -10.66%E -5.92%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -12.28%E -3.41%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-11 11:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -10.66%E -5.92%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -12.28%E -3.41%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-11 11:30
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -10.66%E -5.92%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -12.28%E -3.41%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-11 11:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -10.66%E -5.92%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -12.28%E -3.41%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-11 11:30
Suprabets1.84I 54.35%NM 49.38%EV -8.67%E -4.71%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.33%EV -10.30%E -2.99%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.29%EV -8.87%E -2.37%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 11:48
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 48.92%EV -8.18%E -4.42%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -11.60%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -9.85%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-11 11:55
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -8.18%E -4.42%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.60%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -14.72%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-11 11:40
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -8.18%E -4.42%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.60%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -14.72%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-11 11:40
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -8.18%E -4.42%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.60%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -14.72%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-11 11:45
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 49.98%EV -13.14%E -7.51%K -17.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.72%EV -11.60%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.30%EV -12.28%E -3.41%K -4.72%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-11 10:30
LowVig.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 48.51%EV -6.69%E -3.56%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 26.98%EV -12.12%E -3.59%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 24.51%EV -9.36%E -2.52%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 11:55
BetOnline.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 48.51%EV -6.69%E -3.56%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 26.98%EV -12.12%E -3.59%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 24.51%EV -9.36%E -2.52%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 11:55
LeoVegas1.91I 52.36%NM 47.93%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -12.90%E -3.85%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -9.85%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 11:25
LiveScore Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 47.70%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -14.20%E -4.30%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.83%EV -11.07%E -3.03%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-11 11:25
Virgin Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 47.70%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -14.20%E -4.30%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.83%EV -11.07%E -3.03%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-11 11:25
Unibet1.90I 52.63%NM 47.70%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -14.20%E -4.30%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.83%EV -11.07%E -3.03%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-11 11:25
Casumo1.89I 52.91%NM 47.83%EV -6.19%E -3.28%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -14.20%E -4.30%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -11.07%E -3.03%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-11 11:25
Grosvenor1.89I 52.91%NM 47.83%EV -6.19%E -3.28%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -14.20%E -4.30%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -11.07%E -3.03%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-11 11:25
Unibet (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 47.83%EV -6.19%E -3.28%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -14.20%E -4.30%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -11.07%E -3.03%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-11 11:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 47.83%EV -6.19%E -3.28%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -14.20%E -4.30%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -11.07%E -3.03%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-11 11:25
TABtouch1.89I 52.91%NM 47.83%EV -6.19%E -3.28%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -14.20%E -4.30%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -11.07%E -3.03%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-11 11:24
ATG (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 47.83%EV -6.19%E -3.28%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -14.20%E -4.30%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -11.07%E -3.03%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-11 11:25
Svenska Spel1.89I 52.91%NM 47.83%EV -6.19%E -3.28%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -14.20%E -4.30%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -11.07%E -3.03%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-11 11:25
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 49.25%EV -13.14%E -7.51%K -17.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.12%EV -14.20%E -4.30%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.63%EV -14.72%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-11 10:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 48.02%EV -14.13%E -8.17%K -19.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.18%EV -14.20%E -4.30%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.80%EV -24.47%E -7.89%K -11.65%G +0.000%20.4%2026-04-11 10:29
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 48.11%EV -14.13%E -8.17%K -19.36%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 26.67%EV -18.88%E -6.05%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.22%EV -19.59%E -5.94%K -8.52%G +0.000%20.2%2026-04-11 11:54
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 48.77%EV -13.14%E -7.51%K -17.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.53%EV -19.40%E -6.26%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.71%EV -12.28%E -3.41%K -4.72%G +0.000%17.2%2026-04-11 11:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.78%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.07%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15%1.0%2026-04-11 11:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.78%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.07%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15%1.0%2026-04-11 11:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.78%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.07%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15%1.0%2026-04-11 11:50