Alemannia Aachen v SC Verl

2026-08-08 12:00 — 3. Liga - Germany

Head to Head

1 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

50%

26%

24%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Alemannia Aachen (Local)

Prediction 49.93%2.00fair odd

EV -7.64%

Edge -4.13%

Kelly -8.98%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

49.93%49.93%49.93%49.93%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.851.851.851.85MINMEANMEDIANMAX

All estimators

Consensus probabilities

49.93%2.003Min

49.93%2.003Max

49.93%2.003Mean

49.93%2.003Median

49.93%2.003IQM

49.93%2.003Margin-weighted

SC Verl (Visit)

Prediction 26.39%3.79fair odd

EV -7.64%

Edge -2.18%

Kelly -3.05%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

26.39%26.39%26.39%26.39%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

3.503.503.503.50MINMEANMEDIANMAX

All estimators

Consensus probabilities

26.39%3.789Min

26.39%3.789Max

26.39%3.789Mean

26.39%3.789Median

26.39%3.789IQM

26.39%3.789Margin-weighted

Draw

Prediction 23.68%4.22fair odd

EV -7.64%

Edge -1.96%

Kelly -2.63%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

23.68%23.68%23.68%23.68%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

3.903.903.903.90MINMEANMEDIANMAX

All estimators

Consensus probabilities

23.68%4.222Min

23.68%4.222Max

23.68%4.222Mean

23.68%4.222Median

23.68%4.222IQM

23.68%4.222Margin-weighted

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Alemannia Aachen (Local) ▼	SC Verl (Visit)	Draw	Margin	Updated
Tipico (DE)	1.85I 54.05% NM 49.93%EV -7.64% E -4.13% K -8.98% G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57% NM 26.39%EV -7.64% E -2.18% K -3.05% G +0.000%	3.90I 25.64% NM 23.68%EV -7.64% E -1.96% K -2.63% G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-07-08 21:35

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth