The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Alemannia Aachen v SC Preußen Münster

Kickoff: 2026-11-01 18:30 UTC

Final: Alemannia Aachen 2–1 SC Preußen Münster

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

42 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alemannia Aachen (Local)

Prediction 53.29%1.88fair odd
EV -5.68%
Edge -3.21%
Kelly -7.38%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.07%53.49%53.04%55.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.721.731.7762.50%57.99%57.80%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

SC Preußen Münster (Visit)

Prediction 22.70%4.41fair odd
EV -0.127%
Edge -0.029%
Kelly -0.037%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.24%22.55%22.86%24.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.893.804.4028.57%25.70%26.32%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.01%4.16fair odd
EV -1.54%
Edge -0.376%
Kelly -0.497%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.80%23.96%24.10%25.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.773.794.1029.41%26.52%26.39%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alemannia Aachen (Local): 53.29%; SC Preußen Münster (Visit): 22.70%; Draw: 24.01%. For SC Preußen Münster (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.41. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.40, with an expected value of -0.127%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -5.68%E -3.21%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -9.21%E -2.30%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -8.75%E -2.30%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-01 18:10
Grosvenor🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.93%EV -5.68%E -3.21%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -13.75%E -3.62%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -7.55%E -1.96%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-01 06:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.93%EV -5.68%E -3.21%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -13.75%E -3.62%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -7.55%E -1.96%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-01 06:40
TABtouch🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.93%EV -5.68%E -3.21%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -13.75%E -3.62%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -7.55%E -1.96%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-01 06:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.93%EV -5.68%E -3.21%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -13.75%E -3.62%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -7.55%E -1.96%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-01 06:40
Unibet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.93%EV -5.68%E -3.21%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -13.75%E -3.62%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -7.55%E -1.96%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-01 06:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.93%EV -5.68%E -3.21%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -13.75%E -3.62%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -7.55%E -1.96%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-01 06:40
Casumo🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.93%EV -5.68%E -3.21%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -13.75%E -3.62%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -7.55%E -1.96%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-01 06:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.93%EV -5.68%E -3.21%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -13.75%E -3.62%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -7.55%E -1.96%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-01 06:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.93%EV -5.68%E -3.21%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -13.75%E -3.62%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -7.55%E -1.96%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-01 06:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.93%EV -5.68%E -3.21%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -13.75%E -3.62%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -7.55%E -1.96%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-01 06:39
Pinnacle🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.53%EV -6.75%E -3.86%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 21.74%EV -0.354%E -0.081%K -0.105%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.74%EV -3.46%E -0.861%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-01 18:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -6.75%E -3.86%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -9.21%E -2.30%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -6.34%E -1.63%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-01 17:58
Winamax (DE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -7.28%E -4.18%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -9.21%E -2.30%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -3.94%E -0.986%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-01 18:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.17%EV -7.81%E -4.52%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -2.40%E -0.557%K -0.726%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -6.34%E -1.63%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-01 18:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.17%EV -7.81%E -4.52%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -2.40%E -0.557%K -0.726%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -6.34%E -1.63%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-01 18:05
Coolbet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.81%E -4.52%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -9.21%E -2.30%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -3.94%E -0.986%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-01 18:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -7.81%E -4.52%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.21%E -2.30%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -8.75%E -2.30%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-01 18:00
Betway🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -7.81%E -4.52%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.21%E -2.30%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -8.75%E -2.30%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-01 18:00
LeoVegas🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.34%EV -7.81%E -4.52%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.52%EV -12.61%E -3.28%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -9.95%E -2.65%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.4%2026-11-01 18:05
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.27%EV -7.81%E -4.52%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -9.21%E -2.30%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -13.55%E -3.76%K -5.21%G +0.000%10.6%2026-11-01 18:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.27%EV -7.81%E -4.52%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -9.21%E -2.30%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -13.55%E -3.76%K -5.21%G +0.000%10.6%2026-11-01 18:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.27%EV -7.81%E -4.52%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -9.21%E -2.30%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -13.55%E -3.76%K -5.21%G +0.000%10.6%2026-11-01 18:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.84%EV -7.81%E -4.52%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -14.88%E -3.97%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -11.15%E -3.01%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.5%2026-11-01 17:45
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.84%EV -7.81%E -4.52%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -14.88%E -3.97%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -11.15%E -3.01%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.5%2026-11-01 17:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.84%EV -7.81%E -4.52%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -14.88%E -3.97%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -11.15%E -3.01%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.5%2026-11-01 17:45
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.84%EV -7.81%E -4.52%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -14.88%E -3.97%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -11.15%E -3.01%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.5%2026-11-01 17:45
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.95%EV -8.35%E -4.85%K -11.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -9.21%E -2.30%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -9.95%E -2.65%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-01 18:00
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.95%EV -8.35%E -4.85%K -11.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -9.21%E -2.30%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -9.95%E -2.65%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-01 18:00
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -9.41%E -5.54%K -13.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -9.21%E -2.30%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -9.95%E -2.65%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.5%2026-11-01 17:45
1xBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.16%EV -9.41%E -5.54%K -13.44%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 22.94%EV -10.57%E -2.68%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 23.91%EV -9.23%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.7%2026-11-01 17:45
Bovada🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.07%EV -9.41%E -5.54%K -13.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -9.21%E -2.30%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -11.15%E -3.01%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.9%2026-11-01 18:04
Paddy Power🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.78%EV -9.41%E -5.54%K -13.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -13.75%E -3.62%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -8.75%E -2.30%K -3.12%G +0.000%11.5%2026-11-01 17:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -9.41%E -5.54%K -13.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.54%EV -13.75%E -3.62%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -9.95%E -2.65%K -3.62%G +0.000%11.8%2026-11-01 18:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 51.94%EV -9.41%E -5.54%K -13.44%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.19%EV -17.15%E -4.70%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.87%EV -11.15%E -3.01%K -4.13%G +0.000%13.2%2026-11-01 06:40
Sky Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 51.07%EV -9.41%E -5.54%K -13.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.12%EV -18.29%E -5.08%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.81%EV -15.95%E -4.56%K -6.38%G +0.000%15.2%2026-11-01 18:04
SportsBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 52.41%EV -10.48%E -6.24%K -15.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.80%EV -16.02%E -4.33%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.80%EV -11.15%E -3.01%K -4.13%G +0.000%13.6%2026-11-01 17:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.96%EV -11.01%E -6.59%K -16.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -0.127%E -0.029%K -0.037%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -1.54%E -0.376%K -0.497%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-01 18:00
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -11.01%E -6.59%K -16.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -9.21%E -2.30%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -9.95%E -2.65%K -3.62%G +0.000%11.5%2026-11-01 18:00
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 51.52%EV -11.01%E -6.59%K -16.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.58%EV -20.56%E -5.87%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.90%EV -13.55%E -3.76%K -5.21%G +0.000%16.2%2026-11-01 18:00
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 52.22%EV -14.74%E -9.21%K -24.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.21%EV -18.29%E -5.08%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.57%EV -18.35%E -5.40%K -7.65%G +0.000%19.7%2026-11-01 17:58
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 52.22%EV -14.74%E -9.21%K -24.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.21%EV -18.29%E -5.08%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.57%EV -18.35%E -5.40%K -7.65%G +0.000%19.7%2026-11-01 18:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.34%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.58%1.0%2026-11-01 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.48%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51%1.3%2026-11-01 18:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.48%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51%1.3%2026-11-01 18:15

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