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Alemannia Aachen v Hansa Rostock
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Alemannia Aachen (Local)
Prediction 36.73%2.72fair odd
EV -3.41%
Edge -1.30%
Kelly -2.09%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.63
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.73%36.75%36.64%37.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.502.502.6343.48%40.01%40.00%38.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Hansa Rostock (Visit)
Prediction 37.11%2.69fair odd
EV -3.51%
Edge -1.35%
Kelly -2.20%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.00%37.14%37.16%38.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.412.382.6045.45%41.55%42.02%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.16%3.82fair odd
EV -1.89%
Edge -0.504%
Kelly -0.687%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.32%26.11%26.20%27.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.473.503.7531.25%28.78%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alemannia Aachen (Local): 36.73%; Hansa Rostock (Visit): 37.11%; Draw: 26.16%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.82. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.75, with an expected value of -1.89%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.01%EV -3.41%E -1.30%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.69%EV -11.68%E -4.91%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.43%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-17 08:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.01%EV -3.41%E -1.30%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.69%EV -11.68%E -4.91%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.43%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-17 08:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.01%EV -3.41%E -1.30%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.69%EV -11.68%E -4.91%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.43%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-17 08:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.01%EV -3.41%E -1.30%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.69%EV -11.68%E -4.91%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.43%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-17 08:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.01%EV -3.41%E -1.30%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.69%EV -11.68%E -4.91%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.43%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-17 08:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.01%EV -3.41%E -1.30%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.69%EV -11.68%E -4.91%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.43%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-17 08:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.01%EV -3.41%E -1.30%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.69%EV -11.68%E -4.91%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.43%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-17 08:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.01%EV -3.41%E -1.30%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.69%EV -11.68%E -4.91%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.43%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-17 08:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.01%EV -3.41%E -1.30%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.69%EV -11.68%E -4.91%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.43%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-17 08:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.01%EV -3.41%E -1.30%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.69%EV -11.68%E -4.91%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.43%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-17 08:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -4.51%E -1.74%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -9.08%E -3.71%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -5.81%E -1.61%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-17 11:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.46%EV -5.25%E -2.03%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.04%EV -5.74%E -2.26%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -7.12%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-17 11:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.43%EV -5.25%E -2.03%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.72%EV -5.00%E -1.95%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -8.43%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-17 11:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -6.35%E -2.49%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -9.08%E -3.71%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.43%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-17 11:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.73%EV -6.35%E -2.49%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.84%EV -15.39%E -6.75%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.43%EV -12.35%E -3.69%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-10-17 08:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.52%EV -6.72%E -2.64%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.65%EV -3.51%E -1.35%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.83%EV -3.46%E -0.937%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-17 11:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 35.19%EV -6.72%E -2.64%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 38.20%EV -13.16%E -5.62%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 26.60%EV -12.09%E -3.60%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-17 11:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.22%EV -8.18%E -3.27%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.08%E -3.71%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -1.89%E -0.504%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-17 11:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -8.18%E -3.27%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -5.37%E -2.10%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -8.43%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-17 11:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -8.18%E -3.27%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -9.08%E -3.71%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.43%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-17 11:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.18%E -3.27%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -10.93%E -4.56%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -5.81%E -1.61%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-17 11:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -8.18%E -3.27%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.29%EV -12.79%E -5.44%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.71%EV -8.43%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-17 11:43 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -8.18%E -3.27%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -11.68%E -4.91%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -11.05%E -3.25%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-17 11:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -8.18%E -3.27%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -11.68%E -4.91%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -11.05%E -3.25%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-17 11:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.84%EV -8.18%E -3.27%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.81%EV -12.05%E -5.08%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -11.05%E -3.25%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-17 11:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.84%EV -8.18%E -3.27%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.81%EV -12.05%E -5.08%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -11.05%E -3.25%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-17 11:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -10.02%E -4.09%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.09%EV -7.22%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -3.20%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-17 11:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.28%EV -10.02%E -4.09%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.24%EV -6.48%E -2.57%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -9.74%E -2.82%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-17 11:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.28%EV -10.02%E -4.09%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.24%EV -6.48%E -2.57%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -9.74%E -2.82%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-17 11:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.90%EV -10.02%E -4.09%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.90%EV -9.08%E -3.71%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.20%EV -9.74%E -2.82%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-17 11:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -10.02%E -4.09%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -7.22%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -13.66%E -4.14%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-17 11:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -10.02%E -4.09%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -7.22%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -13.66%E -4.14%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-17 11:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -10.02%E -4.09%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -7.22%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -13.66%E -4.14%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-17 11:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -11.86%E -4.94%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -7.22%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -8.43%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-17 11:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -11.86%E -4.94%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -10.93%E -4.56%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -5.81%E -1.61%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-17 11:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.23%EV -11.86%E -4.94%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.23%EV -10.93%E -4.56%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -8.43%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-17 11:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.58%EV -12.59%E -5.29%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.58%EV -11.68%E -4.91%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -5.81%E -1.61%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-17 11:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -15.53%E -6.75%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -14.65%E -6.37%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.73%EV -8.43%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-10-17 11:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.36%EV -15.53%E -6.75%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.36%EV -14.65%E -6.37%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.27%EV -11.05%E -3.25%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-10-17 11:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.00%EV -15.53%E -6.75%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.68%EV -18.36%E -8.34%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.32%EV -8.43%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 17.5% | 2026-10-17 11:49 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.18%EV -15.53%E -6.75%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 37.82%EV -18.36%E -8.34%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.00%EV -16.28%E -5.09%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-10-17 11:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.18%EV -15.53%E -6.75%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 37.82%EV -18.36%E -8.34%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.00%EV -16.28%E -5.09%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-10-17 11:43 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.26% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.70% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.03% | 2.4% | 2026-10-17 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.26% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.70% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.03% | 2.4% | 2026-10-17 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.26% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.70% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.03% | 2.4% | 2026-10-17 11:55 |