Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alemannia Aachen v Hansa Rostock

2026-10-17 12:00 UTC — 3. Liga - Germany

Head to Head

1 sportsbook (1 in analysis )

37%

39%

24%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alemannia Aachen (Local)

Prediction 37.04%2.70fair odd

EV -7.39%

Edge -2.96%

Kelly -4.93%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

37.04%37.04%37.04%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.502.502.502.5040.00%40.00%40.00%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hansa Rostock (Visit)

Prediction 38.59%2.59fair odd

EV -7.39%

Edge -3.08%

Kelly -5.28%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

38.59%38.59%38.59%38.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.402.402.402.4041.67%41.67%41.67%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.37%4.10fair odd

EV -7.39%

Edge -1.95%

Kelly -2.64%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

24.37%24.37%24.37%24.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.803.803.803.8026.32%26.32%26.32%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Alemannia Aachen (Local): 37.04%; Hansa Rostock (Visit): 38.59%; Draw: 24.37%. For Hansa Rostock (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.59. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.40, with an expected value of -7.39%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbook)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
Tipico (DE)🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.04%EV -7.39%E -2.96%K -4.93%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -7.39%E -3.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -7.39%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-10-11 20:09

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.