Language:English
Alemannia Aachen v FC Viktoria Köln 1904
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Alemannia Aachen (Local)
Prediction 41.95%2.38fair odd
EV -2.25%
Edge -0.966%
Kelly -1.69%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.78%41.95%42.09%43.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.152.152.3350.00%46.48%46.51%42.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
FC Viktoria Köln 1904 (Visit)
Prediction 31.78%3.15fair odd
EV -1.49%
Edge -0.480%
Kelly -0.709%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.05%31.71%31.75%33.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.832.883.1040.00%35.28%34.72%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.27%3.81fair odd
EV -1.49%
Edge -0.397%
Kelly -0.541%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.90%26.34%26.16%27.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.513.503.7531.25%28.53%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alemannia Aachen (Local): 41.95%; FC Viktoria Köln 1904 (Visit): 31.78%; Draw: 26.27%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.81. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.75, with an expected value of -1.49%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.90%EV -2.25%E -0.966%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.56%EV -4.03%E -1.33%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.54%EV -9.11%E -2.63%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-11 14:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.52%EV -5.19%E -2.30%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -4.67%E -1.56%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -9.37%E -2.72%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-11 14:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.52%EV -5.19%E -2.30%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -4.67%E -1.56%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -9.37%E -2.72%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-11 14:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -7.84%E -2.70%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-11 14:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%EV -9.43%E -3.31%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-11 13:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%EV -9.43%E -3.31%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-11 14:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -7.84%E -2.70%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-11 14:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.02%E -3.94%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -13.31%E -4.03%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-11 14:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.02%E -3.94%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -13.31%E -4.03%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-11 14:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.02%E -3.94%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -13.31%E -4.03%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-11 14:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.49%EV -9.38%E -4.34%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -7.84%E -2.70%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -6.74%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-11 14:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -9.80%E -4.56%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -1.49%E -0.480%K -0.709%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-11 14:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -9.80%E -4.56%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.03%EV -7.84%E -2.70%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -1.49%E -0.397%K -0.541%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-11 14:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -9.80%E -4.56%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -8.48%E -2.94%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -4.12%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -9.80%E -4.56%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -8.48%E -2.94%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -4.12%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -9.80%E -4.56%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -8.48%E -2.94%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -4.12%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -9.80%E -4.56%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -8.48%E -2.94%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -4.12%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -9.80%E -4.56%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -8.48%E -2.94%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -4.12%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -9.80%E -4.56%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -8.48%E -2.94%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -4.12%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -9.80%E -4.56%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -8.48%E -2.94%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -4.12%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -9.80%E -4.56%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -8.48%E -2.94%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -4.12%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -9.80%E -4.56%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -8.48%E -2.94%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -4.12%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -9.80%E -4.56%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -8.48%E -2.94%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -4.12%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -9.80%E -4.56%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -7.84%E -2.70%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-11 14:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -9.80%E -4.56%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -7.84%E -2.70%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-11 14:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -9.80%E -4.56%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -11.02%E -3.94%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-11 14:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.80%E -4.56%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.35%EV -11.02%E -3.94%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -6.74%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-11 14:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -9.80%E -4.56%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -12.61%E -4.59%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-11 13:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -9.80%E -4.56%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -12.61%E -4.59%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-11 13:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -9.80%E -4.56%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -12.61%E -4.59%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-11 13:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -9.80%E -4.56%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -12.61%E -4.59%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-11 13:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -9.80%E -4.56%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -12.61%E -4.59%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-11 14:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -9.80%E -4.56%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -8.48%E -2.94%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -13.31%E -4.03%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-11 14:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -9.80%E -4.56%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -8.48%E -2.94%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -13.31%E -4.03%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-11 14:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.48%EV -11.06%E -5.22%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -11.02%E -3.94%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.37%EV -6.74%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-11 14:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 42.85%EV -11.48%E -5.44%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 32.18%EV -10.70%E -3.81%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 24.98%EV -4.90%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-11 14:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.71%EV -11.90%E -5.67%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.03%EV -11.02%E -3.94%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -6.74%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-11 14:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.56%EV -11.90%E -5.67%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.17%EV -11.02%E -3.94%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -15.94%E -4.98%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-10-11 14:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.32%EV -11.90%E -5.67%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.56%EV -12.61%E -4.59%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.12%EV -15.94%E -4.98%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-10-11 14:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.66%EV -13.16%E -6.36%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.11%EV -12.61%E -4.59%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.23%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 40.80%EV -14.00%E -6.83%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.46%EV -20.56%E -8.22%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 25.74%EV -14.62%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 19.5% | 2026-10-11 14:23 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.01%EV -16.10%E -8.05%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.09%EV -17.38%E -6.68%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.90%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-10-11 14:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.67%EV -16.10%E -8.05%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 32.68%EV -18.97%E -7.44%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 25.64%EV -14.62%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 20.0% | 2026-10-11 14:18 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.95% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.16% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.89% | 1.9% | 2026-10-11 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.95% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.16% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.89% | 1.9% | 2026-10-11 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.04% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.16% | 2.3% | 2026-10-11 14:25 |