Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

1. FC Saarbrücken v Wehen Wiesbaden

Kickoff: 2026-03-04 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

41 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

1. FC Saarbrücken (Local)

Prediction 47.82%2.09fair odd
EV -6.75%
Edge -3.46%
Kelly -7.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.81%47.91%47.53%49.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.901.931.9557.14%52.51%51.81%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Wehen Wiesbaden (Visit)

Prediction 26.14%3.83fair odd
EV +0.103%
Edge +0.027%
Kelly +0.037%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.91%26.05%26.34%27.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.423.403.8331.25%29.23%29.41%26.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.04%3.84fair odd
EV -3.13%
Edge -0.841%
Kelly -1.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.28%26.04%26.13%28.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.493.503.7234.72%28.62%28.57%26.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: 1. FC Saarbrücken (Local): 47.82%; Wehen Wiesbaden (Visit): 26.14%; Draw: 26.04%. For Wehen Wiesbaden (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.826. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.830, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.103%.

Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.44%EV -7.70%E -3.99%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.91%EV +0.103%E +0.027%K +0.037%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.65%EV -3.13%E -0.841%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 15:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.27%EV -7.70%E -3.99%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.03%EV -0.681%E -0.179%K -0.243%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.65%E -0.986%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 15:34
LowVig.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.27%EV -7.70%E -3.99%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.03%EV -0.681%E -0.179%K -0.243%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.65%E -0.986%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 15:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -9.14%E -4.81%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -3.29%E -0.890%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -3.65%E -0.986%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 16:39
Suprabets🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.13%EV -11.53%E -6.23%K -13.56%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.04%EV -5.12%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 25.82%EV -8.34%E -2.37%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-04 15:33
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.99%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.82%EV -7.21%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.86%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-04 17:40
PlayUp🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.02%EV -10.09%E -5.37%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.43%EV -7.21%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -11.46%E -3.37%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-04 15:35
Coolbet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.90%EV -7.70%E -3.99%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -8.52%E -2.43%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -6.25%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-04 16:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.75%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.52%E -2.43%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.86%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-04 14:20
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.75%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.52%E -2.43%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.86%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-04 14:20
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.75%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.52%E -2.43%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.86%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-04 14:19
Codere (IT)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -7.70%E -3.99%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.52%E -2.43%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.86%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-04 14:20
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -10.57%E -5.65%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -8.52%E -2.43%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -8.86%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-04 16:30
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.98%EV -10.57%E -5.65%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -8.52%E -2.43%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -11.46%E -3.37%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-04 15:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.76%EV -7.22%E -3.72%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -9.83%E -2.85%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -4.95%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-04 14:20
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -6.75%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.86%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-04 16:50
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -6.75%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.46%E -3.37%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-04 17:10
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -11.46%E -3.37%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-04 12:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -11.46%E -3.37%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-04 11:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -11.46%E -3.37%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-04 12:00
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -11.53%E -6.23%K -13.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -11.46%E -3.37%K -4.78%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-04 12:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -11.53%E -6.23%K -13.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -11.46%E -3.37%K -4.78%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-04 12:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -11.53%E -6.23%K -13.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -11.46%E -3.37%K -4.78%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-04 12:00
SportsBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 47.78%EV -12.48%E -6.82%K -15.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.72%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.50%EV -14.07%E -4.26%K -6.12%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-04 15:05
LeoVegas🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.02%EV -7.22%E -3.72%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -13.75%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -6.25%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-04 17:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.02%EV -7.22%E -3.72%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -13.75%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -6.25%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-04 17:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.02%EV -7.22%E -3.72%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -13.75%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -6.25%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-04 17:30
Unibet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.02%EV -7.22%E -3.72%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -13.75%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -6.25%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-04 17:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.15%EV -7.70%E -3.99%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -13.75%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -6.25%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-04 17:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.15%EV -7.70%E -3.99%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -13.75%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -6.25%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-04 17:30
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.15%EV -7.70%E -3.99%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -13.75%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -6.25%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-04 17:30
Grosvenor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.15%EV -7.70%E -3.99%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -13.75%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -6.25%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-04 17:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.15%EV -7.70%E -3.99%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -13.75%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -6.25%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-04 17:30
Casumo🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.15%EV -7.70%E -3.99%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -13.75%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -6.25%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-04 17:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.15%EV -7.70%E -3.99%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -13.75%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -6.25%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-04 17:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.15%EV -7.70%E -3.99%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -13.75%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -6.25%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-04 17:35
Sky Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 46.95%EV -11.53%E -6.23%K -13.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.32%EV -13.75%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.73%EV -15.37%E -4.73%K -6.83%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-04 10:35
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.20%EV -13.92%E -7.73%K -17.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.29%EV -13.75%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.52%EV -11.46%E -3.37%K -4.78%G +0.000%15.3%2026-03-04 12:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 45.90%EV -13.92%E -7.73%K -17.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.42%EV -15.06%E -4.63%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.68%EV -25.00%E -8.68%K -13.30%G +0.000%21.0%2026-03-04 10:35
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -6.75%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -16.36%E -5.11%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -11.46%E -3.37%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-02 14:09
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 47.44%EV -16.31%E -9.32%K -21.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 25.95%EV -16.36%E -5.11%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 26.61%EV -18.75%E -6.01%K -8.85%G +0.000%20.4%2026-03-04 17:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.98I 50.51%NM 49.73%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.02%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.26%1.6%2026-03-04 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 49.73%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.02%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.26%1.6%2026-03-04 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 49.73%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.02%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.26%1.6%2026-03-04 17:25