The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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1. FC Saarbrücken v Waldhof Mannheim

Kickoff: 2026-11-01 12:33 UTC

Final: 1. FC Saarbrücken 2–1 Waldhof Mannheim

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

43 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

1. FC Saarbrücken (Local)

Prediction 43.70%2.29fair odd
EV -3.87%
Edge -1.76%
Kelly -3.22%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.15%43.78%43.63%45.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.932.082.082.2051.81%48.18%48.08%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Waldhof Mannheim (Visit)

Prediction 32.00%3.12fair odd
EV -0.160%
Edge -0.051%
Kelly -0.075%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.24%31.87%32.20%33.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.862.803.1238.46%35.00%35.71%32.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.30%4.11fair odd
EV -4.25%
Edge -1.08%
Kelly -1.44%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.94

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.64%24.34%24.17%25.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.673.653.9430.30%27.27%27.40%25.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: 1. FC Saarbrücken (Local): 43.70%; Waldhof Mannheim (Visit): 32.00%; Draw: 24.30%. For Waldhof Mannheim (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.125. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.120, with an expected value of -0.160%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.15%EV -3.87%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.12%EV -10.40%E -3.71%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -8.86%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-01 04:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.46%EV -5.61%E -2.60%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -10.40%E -3.71%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -10.08%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-01 04:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.11%EV -10.40%E -3.71%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-01 04:04
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.43%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.58%EV -10.40%E -3.71%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -11.29%E -3.09%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.6%2026-11-01 04:05
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.43%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.58%EV -10.40%E -3.71%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -11.29%E -3.09%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.6%2026-11-01 04:04
Pinnacle🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.09%EV -7.36%E -3.47%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.64%EV -0.160%E -0.051%K -0.075%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.26%EV -4.25%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-01 12:20
Coolbet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%EV -7.36%E -3.47%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.42%EV -8.80%E -3.09%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -6.43%E -1.67%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-31 16:15
LeoVegas🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.27%EV -7.36%E -3.47%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.19%EV -13.60%E -5.04%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.55%EV -11.29%E -3.09%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.6%2026-11-01 12:20
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.68%EV -8.24%E -3.92%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.18%EV -8.80%E -3.09%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -7.65%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-01 12:20
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -8.24%E -3.92%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.54%EV -12.00%E -4.36%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.85%EV -12.51%E -3.47%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.8%2026-11-01 04:04
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -8.24%E -3.92%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.54%EV -12.00%E -4.36%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.85%EV -12.51%E -3.47%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.8%2026-11-01 04:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -8.24%E -3.92%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.54%EV -12.00%E -4.36%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.85%EV -12.51%E -3.47%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.8%2026-11-01 04:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -8.24%E -3.92%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.54%EV -12.00%E -4.36%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.85%EV -12.51%E -3.47%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.8%2026-11-01 04:15
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -8.24%E -3.92%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.54%EV -12.00%E -4.36%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.85%EV -12.51%E -3.47%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.8%2026-11-01 04:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -8.24%E -3.92%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.54%EV -12.00%E -4.36%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.85%EV -12.51%E -3.47%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.8%2026-11-01 04:15
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -8.24%E -3.92%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.54%EV -12.00%E -4.36%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.85%EV -12.51%E -3.47%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.8%2026-11-01 04:14
BetOnline.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.37%EV -9.11%E -4.38%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -0.800%E -0.258%K -0.381%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-01 12:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.37%EV -9.11%E -4.38%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -0.800%E -0.258%K -0.381%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-01 12:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.19%EV -9.11%E -4.38%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -4.00%E -1.33%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -11.29%E -3.09%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-27 12:54
Unibet (NL)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.19%EV -9.11%E -4.38%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -4.00%E -1.33%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -11.29%E -3.09%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-27 12:55
Casumo🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.19%EV -9.11%E -4.38%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -4.00%E -1.33%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -11.29%E -3.09%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-27 12:55
Grosvenor🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.19%EV -9.11%E -4.38%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -4.00%E -1.33%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -11.29%E -3.09%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-27 12:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.19%EV -9.11%E -4.38%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -4.00%E -1.33%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -11.29%E -3.09%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-27 12:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.19%EV -9.11%E -4.38%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -4.00%E -1.33%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -11.29%E -3.09%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-27 12:55
Unibet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.19%EV -9.11%E -4.38%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -4.00%E -1.33%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -11.29%E -3.09%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-27 12:55
TABtouch🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.19%EV -9.11%E -4.38%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -4.00%E -1.33%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -11.29%E -3.09%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-27 12:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.19%EV -9.11%E -4.38%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -4.00%E -1.33%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -11.29%E -3.09%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-27 12:54
ATG (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.19%EV -9.11%E -4.38%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -4.00%E -1.33%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -11.29%E -3.09%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-27 12:55
1xBet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.87%EV -9.98%E -4.85%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -7.20%E -2.48%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 24.97%EV -12.02%E -3.32%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-31 16:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.73%EV -10.42%E -5.08%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -0.800%E -0.258%K -0.381%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-01 12:20
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -10.42%E -5.08%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -7.20%E -2.48%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -7.65%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.6%2026-11-01 12:20
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.08%EV -10.42%E -5.08%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -7.20%E -2.48%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.76%EV -11.29%E -3.09%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.7%2026-11-01 12:20
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.02%EV -10.42%E -5.08%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -10.40%E -3.71%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -7.65%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-31 16:15
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -10.42%E -5.08%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.02%EV -10.40%E -3.71%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -10.08%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000%11.5%2026-11-01 12:20
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -10.42%E -5.08%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.52%EV -12.00%E -4.36%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -8.86%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-31 16:15
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.60%EV -10.42%E -5.08%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.92%EV -10.40%E -3.71%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.49%EV -11.29%E -3.09%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.9%2026-11-01 12:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.45%EV -10.42%E -5.08%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.81%EV -10.40%E -3.71%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -12.51%E -3.47%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.3%2026-11-01 12:20
Sky Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.64%EV -10.42%E -5.08%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.38%EV -13.60%E -5.04%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.98%EV -14.94%E -4.27%K -5.98%G +0.000%14.4%2026-11-01 12:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.23%EV -12.61%E -6.30%K -12.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -7.20%E -2.48%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -14.94%E -4.27%K -5.98%G +0.000%13.1%2026-10-27 12:55
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.55%EV -12.61%E -6.30%K -12.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.26%EV -13.60%E -5.04%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.19%EV -12.51%E -3.47%K -4.81%G +0.000%14.8%2026-11-01 12:20
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 43.64%EV -14.79%E -7.58%K -15.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.73%EV -16.80%E -6.46%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.64%EV -12.51%E -3.47%K -4.81%G +0.000%17.5%2026-10-31 16:00
betano_uk🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 43.08%EV -15.66%E -8.12%K -16.84%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 31.73%EV -16.16%E -6.17%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.19%EV -19.80%E -6.00%K -8.61%G +0.000%20.3%2026-11-01 12:18
Bet Victor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 43.08%EV -15.66%E -8.12%K -16.84%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 31.73%EV -16.16%E -6.17%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.19%EV -19.80%E -6.00%K -8.61%G +0.000%20.3%2026-11-01 12:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.40%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.46%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%1.0%2026-11-01 12:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.19%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.78%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.03%1.5%2026-11-01 12:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.19%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.78%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.03%1.5%2026-11-01 12:20

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