1. FC Saarbrücken v Rot-Weiss Essen

2026-08-08 12:00 — 3. Liga - Germany

Head to Head

1 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

36%

39%

26%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

1. FC Saarbrücken (Local)

Prediction 35.64%2.81fair odd

EV -7.33%

Edge -2.82%

Kelly -4.58%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

35.64%35.64%35.64%35.64%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.602.602.602.60MINMEANMEDIANMAX

All estimators

Consensus probabilities

35.64%2.806Min

35.64%2.806Max

35.64%2.806Mean

35.64%2.806Median

35.64%2.806IQM

35.64%2.806Margin-weighted

Rot-Weiss Essen (Visit)

Prediction 38.61%2.59fair odd

EV -7.33%

Edge -3.05%

Kelly -5.23%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

38.61%38.61%38.61%38.61%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.402.402.402.40MINMEANMEDIANMAX

All estimators

Consensus probabilities

38.61%2.590Min

38.61%2.590Max

38.61%2.590Mean

38.61%2.590Median

38.61%2.590IQM

38.61%2.590Margin-weighted

Draw

Prediction 25.74%3.88fair odd

EV -7.33%

Edge -2.04%

Kelly -2.82%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

25.74%25.74%25.74%25.74%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

3.603.603.603.60MINMEANMEDIANMAX

All estimators

Consensus probabilities

25.74%3.885Min

25.74%3.885Max

25.74%3.885Mean

25.74%3.885Median

25.74%3.885IQM

25.74%3.885Margin-weighted

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	1. FC Saarbrücken (Local) ▼	Rot-Weiss Essen (Visit)	Draw	Margin	Updated
Tipico (DE)	2.60I 38.46% NM 35.64%EV -7.33% E -2.82% K -4.58% G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67% NM 38.61%EV -7.33% E -3.05% K -5.23% G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78% NM 25.74%EV -7.33% E -2.04% K -2.82% G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-07-08 21:35

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth