Language:English
1. FC Saarbrücken v Jahn Regensburg
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
1. FC Saarbrücken (Local)
Prediction 47.83%2.09fair odd
EV -4.33%
Edge -2.17%
Kelly -4.33%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.86%47.96%47.67%50.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.911.922.0055.56%52.43%52.08%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jahn Regensburg (Visit)
Prediction 26.06%3.84fair odd
EV +1.89%
Edge +0.484%
Kelly +0.650%
Growth +0.012%
assuming max odds 3.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.36%25.95%26.04%27.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.423.403.9132.26%29.20%29.41%25.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.11%3.83fair odd
EV -0.797%
Edge -0.210%
Kelly -0.285%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.09%26.09%26.29%27.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.483.503.8033.33%28.75%28.57%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: 1. FC Saarbrücken (Local): 47.83%; Jahn Regensburg (Visit): 26.06%; Draw: 26.11%. For Jahn Regensburg (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.84. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.91, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.89%.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.10%EV -7.20%E -3.71%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 24.36%EV +1.89%E +0.484%K +0.650%G +0.012% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.53%EV -6.28%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-14 12:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -10.55%E -5.64%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -0.974%E -0.256%K -0.348%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -3.41%E -0.921%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-14 12:35 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.58%EV -10.55%E -5.64%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 24.62%EV -3.84%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 26.80%EV -11.50%E -3.39%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-14 12:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -6.72%E -3.45%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.19%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.63%E -2.47%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-13 10:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -6.72%E -3.45%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -7.49%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -8.63%E -2.47%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-13 10:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -6.72%E -3.45%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -7.49%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -8.63%E -2.47%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-13 10:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.73%EV -7.68%E -3.98%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -7.49%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.63%E -2.47%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 01:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.67%EV -4.33%E -2.17%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.24%EV -8.79%E -2.51%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.09%EV -0.797%E -0.210%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-14 12:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.67%EV -4.33%E -2.17%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.24%EV -8.79%E -2.51%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.09%EV -0.797%E -0.210%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-14 12:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.03%EV -8.16%E -4.25%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.79%E -2.51%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -6.02%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -8.64%E -4.52%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.79%E -2.51%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.63%E -2.47%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -8.64%E -4.52%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.79%E -2.51%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.63%E -2.47%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-14 12:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -10.55%E -5.64%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.79%E -2.51%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -6.02%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-14 04:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.00%EV -7.68%E -3.98%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -8.79%E -2.51%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.08%EV -12.54%E -3.74%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-14 12:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.36%EV -7.68%E -3.98%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.89%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -7.32%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -6.72%E -3.45%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-14 04:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.02%EV -10.07%E -5.36%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.43%EV -7.32%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-13 10:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -8.64%E -4.52%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-12 09:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -8.64%E -4.52%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-12 09:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -8.64%E -4.52%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-12 09:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -8.64%E -4.52%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-12 09:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.98%EV -10.55%E -5.64%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -8.63%E -2.47%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -8.64%E -4.52%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -13.85%E -4.20%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-14 12:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -8.64%E -4.52%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -13.85%E -4.20%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-14 12:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -8.64%E -4.52%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -13.85%E -4.20%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-14 12:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.30%EV -8.16%E -4.25%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -12.70%E -3.79%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -7.32%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.30%EV -8.16%E -4.25%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -12.70%E -3.79%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -7.32%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.30%EV -8.16%E -4.25%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -12.70%E -3.79%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -7.32%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.30%EV -8.16%E -4.25%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -12.70%E -3.79%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -7.32%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.30%EV -8.16%E -4.25%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -12.70%E -3.79%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -7.32%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.30%EV -8.16%E -4.25%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -12.70%E -3.79%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -7.32%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.30%EV -8.16%E -4.25%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -12.70%E -3.79%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -7.32%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.30%EV -8.16%E -4.25%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -12.70%E -3.79%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -7.32%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.30%EV -8.16%E -4.25%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -12.70%E -3.79%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -7.32%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.30%EV -8.16%E -4.25%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -12.70%E -3.79%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -7.32%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.30%EV -8.16%E -4.25%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -12.70%E -3.79%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -7.32%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.78%EV -12.46%E -6.81%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.50%EV -14.00%E -4.24%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.72%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 46.95%EV -11.51%E -6.22%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.73%EV -15.31%E -4.71%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.32%EV -13.85%E -4.20%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.00%EV -13.90%E -7.72%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.59%EV -15.31%E -4.71%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.41%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-03-10 11:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 46.43%EV -13.90%E -7.72%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 26.79%EV -18.69%E -5.99%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 26.79%EV -18.55%E -5.95%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 19.7% | 2026-03-14 12:43 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 45.86%EV -13.90%E -7.72%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 26.63%EV -19.22%E -6.20%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.51%EV -21.68%E -7.23%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 21.1% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.95% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.03% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.02% | 1.1% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.95% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.03% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.02% | 1.1% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.95% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.03% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.02% | 1.1% | 2026-03-14 12:55 |